Trading Signals: GPRE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Dec. 4, 2015

Trading Signals: GPRE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Sep. 21, 2015 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Green Plains Inc)
GPRE latest price $22.7100 (-4.26%) ($22.5000 - $23.5600) on Fri. Dec. 4, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.61% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $22.7100(-4.26%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   GPRE advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GPRE advances 8.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GPRE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(22%)    OIH(18%)    USO(17%)    DIA(15%)    MCHI(13%)
Factors Impacting GPRE price   GPRE will decline at least -1.805% in a week (0% probabilities).
BNDX(-10%)    BND(-10%)    VCSH(-9%)    XLU(-8%)    TLT(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.805% (StdDev 3.61%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -3%

5 Day Moving Average   $23.57(-3.65%)
10 Day Moving Average   $22.66(0.22%)
20 Day Moving Average   $21.62(5.04%)
To recent high   -6.3%
To recent low   24.4%
Market Cap   $810m

Green Plains, Inc. engages in the production of fuel-grade ethanol and corn oil; provision of grain handling; and storage commodity marketing and distribution services. It operates through the following segments: Ethanol Production; Agribusiness and Energy Services; Food and Ingredients; and Partnership. The Ethanol Production segment produces ethanol, distillers grain, and corn oil at ethanol plants in Indiana, Iowa, Minnesota, Nebraska, Tennessee, and Texas. The Agribusiness and Energy Services segment includes grain procurement and its commodity marketing business, which markets, sells, and distributes ethanol, distillers grains, and corn oil produced at ethanol plants. The Food and Ingredients segment is involved in cattle food-grade corn oil operations. The Partnership segment provides fuel storage and transportation services by owning, operating, developing, and acquiring ethanol and fuel storage tanks, terminals, transportation assets, and other related assets and businesses. The company was founded in June 2004 and is headquartered in Omaha, NE.

$. GPRE price fluctuates within 6.8% (three month std-dev: 3.61%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 2.03%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.56%(50%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 2.32%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -3.89%(50%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 3.91%(83%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.38%(17%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160104

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_4_2015	20.88	21.62	22.66	23.57	23.65	23.41	22.71(-4.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	32	-60	-4	140	0.68	57%	0.14	39	3.61%	0	0.7	71	INF
2	Dec_3_2015	20.85	21.57	22.45	23.54	23.71	23.75	23.72(0.94%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	46	30	9	155	0.6	60%	0.29	43.9	3.59%	0	1.5	80	INF
3	Dec_2_2015	20.79	21.47	22.11	23.23	23.32	23.89	23.5(-3.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	46	180	12	147	0.8	60%	0.24	45.8	3.62%	0	1.5	74	INF
4	Dec_1_2015	20.74	21.41	21.72	22.98	22.93	23.67	24.23(2.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	61	220	37	133	1.22	60%	0.34	56.2	3.63%	0	2.2	63	INF
5	Nov_30_2015	20.67	21.23	21.28	22.24	22.24	22.76	23.69(5.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	43	160	29	85	1.58	60%	0.29	52.9	3.65%	0	2.2	59	INF

6	Nov_27_2015	20.61	21.06	20.88	21.63	21.51	22.18	22.56(1.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	26	200	21	41	0.29	58%	0.24	46.3	3.63%	0	1.5	52	INF
7	Nov_25_2015	20.56	20.95	20.59	21.2	21.07	21.72	22.18(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	21	200	25	8	0.52	58%	0.15	40.8	3.66%	0	1.3	50	INF
8	Nov_24_2015	20.53	20.87	20.37	20.81	20.66	20.85	22.22(8.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	11	40	23	-24	0.93	58%	0.2	35	3.7%	0	1.4	48	INF
9	Nov_23_2015	20.49	20.7	20.27	20.27	20.31	20.43	20.53(-0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-14	50	3	-66	0.48	53%	0	14.9	3.54%	0	-0.2	29	INF
10	Nov_20_2015	20.49	20.65	20.37	20.17	20.18	20.47	20.65(1.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-9	100	9	-62	0.74	53%	0	10.3	3.58%	0	0	50	INF

11	Nov_19_2015	20.49	20.61	20.48	20.02	20.07	20.2	20.44(1.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-7	50	10	-59	0.55	53%	0	1.4	3.61%	0	-0.2	52	INF
12	Nov_18_2015	20.49	20.58	20.61	19.87	19.91	19.89	20.21(3.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-15	-0	0	-60	0.8	53%	-0.05	-6.9	3.65%	0	-0.3	51	INF
13	Nov_17_2015	20.5	20.53	20.79	19.85	19.87	19.95	19.53(-2.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-24	30	-13	-57	1.06	53%	-0.1	-15	3.66%	0	-0.9	45	INF
14	Nov_16_2015	20.52	20.56	21.1	20.27	20.12	19.94	20.04(0.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-11	-80	-10	-12	0.64	53%	-0.05	-7.1	3.68%	0	-0.5	63	INF
15	Nov_13_2015	20.53	20.54	21.2	20.61	20.48	19.79	19.89(0.96%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-14	-250	-21	9	0.53	53%	-0.1	-5	3.73%	0	-0.6	58	INF

16	Nov_12_2015	20.55	20.59	21.29	21.01	20.97	20.31	19.7(-2.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-12	-230	-26	30	0.6	53%	-0.1	-0.2	3.77%	0	-0.8	53	INF
17	Nov_11_2015	20.57	20.66	21.39	21.44	21.46	21.18	20.11(-6.9%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.3	2	-90	-17	58	1.05	53%	-0.05	5.9	3.81%	0	-0.5	56	INF
18	Nov_10_2015	20.58	20.69	21.46	21.84	21.62	21.63	21.6(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	18	-30	-8	97	0.78	58%	0.1	13.3	3.68%	0	0.9	70	INF
19	Nov_9_2015	20.56	20.63	21.21	22.06	21.62	21.74	21.73(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	31	-50	6	106	0.51	58%	0.19	13	3.73%	0	1.1	61	INF
20	Nov_6_2015	20.52	20.63	20.97	21.89	21.77	21.6	21.93(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	29	-70	6	97	0.58	58%	0.2	9.7	3.78%	0	1.3	64	INF

21	Nov_5_2015	20.48	20.6	20.76	21.6	21.54	21.81	21.84(-1.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	25	80	7	78	0.88	58%	0.2	8.3	3.84%	0	1.2	55	INF
22	Nov_4_2015	20.44	20.59	20.55	21.33	21.25	21.94	22.12(-2.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	30	220	19	64	1.04	58%	0.25	13.6	3.89%	0	1.4	56	INF
23	Nov_3_2015	20.39	20.55	20.23	21.03	20.84	21.26	22.66(8.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	35	110	32	44	1.6	58%	0.39	14.9	3.92%	0	2	59	INF
24	Nov_2_2015	20.31	20.55	19.93	20.26	20.34	20.56	20.88(1.8%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	11	90	15	-1	0.99	53%	0.05	9.7	3.68%	0	0.4	52	INF
25	Oct_30_2015	20.3	20.5	19.79	19.93	19.87	20.41	20.51(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-1	180	9	-29	0.72	53%		12.7	3.73%	0	0	45	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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