Trading Signals: GOOS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jun. 7, 2017

Trading Signals: GOOS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 16, 2017 - Fri. May. 26, 2023)

(Canada Goose Holdings Inc.)
GOOS latest price $22.9600 (-1.96%) ($22.9100 - $24.3200) on Wed. Jun. 7, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.08% (three month average)
RSI   88
Latest Price   $22.9600(-1.96%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   GOOS advances 4.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GOOS advances 12% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GOOS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(56%)    IWO(56%)    IBUY(53%)    IWC(53%)    XLY(53%)
Factors Impacting GOOS price   GOOS will decline at least -1.54% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-13%)    TLT(-12%)    VIXM(-11%)    SHY(-3%)    IPO(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.54% (StdDev 3.08%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $21.85(5.08%)
10 Day Moving Average   $20.06(14.46%)
20 Day Moving Average   $18.93(21.29%)
To recent high   -2%
To recent low   49.1%
Market Cap   $2.537b

$. GOOS price fluctuates within 10.3% (three month std-dev: 3.08%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 25 Average positive next day return: 6.95%(56%) Average negative next day return: -2.27%(44%) Sample size 25 Average positive next three day return: 12.56%(64%) Average negative next three day return: -6.74%(36%) Sample size 25 Average positive next weekly return: 17.56%(52%) Average negative next weekly return: -7.04%(48%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170707

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_7_2017	17.24	18.93	20.06	21.85	22.38	23.23	22.96(-1.96%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	105	340	55	256	1.62	84%	0.58	70.2	3.08%	0	2.1	88	0
2	Jun_6_2017	17.14	18.63	19.58	20.86	21.16	22.5	23.42(4.09%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.5	98	490	63	202	2.01	84%	0.65	64.6	3.09%	0	2.8	78	0
3	Jun_5_2017	17.03	18.29	19.01	19.78	19.89	21.53	22.5(3.97%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2	87	590	68	143	2	83%	0.59	61	3.09%	0	3.1	78	0
4	Jun_2_2017	16.93	18.01	18.48	18.88	18.91	19.82	21.64(15.66%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.9	65	340	58	86	4.91	82%	0.53	62.2	3.08%	0	3.8	77	0
5	Jun_1_2017	16.84	17.77	18.03	18.16	18.16	18.26	18.71(3.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	19	40	14	35	1.33	77%	0.18	86	2.3%	0	2	68	0

6	May_31_2017	16.81	17.66	17.91	18.02	18.03	18	18.05(0.33%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	2	-10	-4	20	0.49	75%	0.12	68.9	2.28%	0	0.8	63	0
7	May_30_2017	16.79	17.57	17.91	18.07	18.08	18.05	17.99(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	9	-10	-3	44	0.28	75%	0.18	60.1	2.3%	0	0.7	64	0
8	May_26_2017	16.76	17.5	17.94	18.1	18.15	18.07	18.01(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	19	-20	5	60	0.42	75%	0.12	65	2.32%	0	0.8	62	0
9	May_25_2017	16.74	17.44	17.91	18	18.11	18.1	18.03(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	19	10	5	59	0.23	75%	0.18	67.7	2.34%	0	1	61	0
10	May_24_2017	16.71	17.38	17.84	17.88	17.97	18.23	18(-1.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	120	9	52	0.42	75%	0.18	67.5	2.37%	0	1	62	0

11	May_23_2017	16.68	17.32	17.76	17.78	17.81	18.11	18.34(1.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	21	120	9	56	0.68	75%	0.18	66.8	2.37%	0	1.6	74	0
12	May_22_2017	16.65	17.22	17.64	17.79	17.69	17.71	18.11(3.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	20	-10	4	69	0.38	75%	0.18	67.8	2.4%	0	1.4	75	0
13	May_19_2017	16.62	17.11	17.54	17.77	17.79	17.51	17.52(0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	14	-110	-6	74	0.34	72%	0.12	66.8	2.38%	0	0.7	63	0
14	May_18_2017	16.6	17.04	17.52	17.81	17.79	17.68	17.42(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	17	-60	-6	85	0.41	72%	0.12	66.1	2.4%	0	0.6	58	0
15	May_17_2017	16.58	16.97	17.5	17.77	17.86	18.07	17.49(-5.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	27	100	5	93	1.16	72%	0.12	64.8	2.43%	0	0.8	60	0

16	May_16_2017	16.56	16.91	17.4	17.72	17.69	18.04	18.42(2.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	44	130	26	96	1.55	83%	0.3	63.3	2.32%	0	2.3	70	0
17	May_15_2017	16.51	16.8	17.17	17.45	17.39	17.65	18(1.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	30	90	17	69	0.5	82%	0.18	55.7	2.32%	0	2.1	72	0
18	May_12_2017	16.48	16.7	17.02	17.29	17.23	17.33	17.73(2.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	22	30	9	62	0.55	82%	0.18	46.9	2.34%	0	2	74	0
19	May_11_2017	16.45	16.62	16.93	17.2	17.17	17.33	17.23(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	17	-20	1	65	0.3	80%	0.18	41.7	2.33%	0	1.3	69	0
20	May_10_2017	16.42	16.56	16.88	17.18	17.19	17.14	17.2(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	24	-20	7	76	0.2	80%	0.12	37.8	2.37%	0	1.4	66	0

21	May_9_2017	16.4	16.51	16.84	17.02	17.11	17.21	17.1(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	27	60	12	72	0.23	80%	0.06	31.1	2.4%	0	1.3	62	0
22	May_8_2017	16.39	16.49	16.77	16.83	16.88	17.24	17.19(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	24	160	13	58	0.33	80%	0.18	32.2	2.43%	0	1.7	62	0
23	May_5_2017	16.36	16.46	16.64	16.71	16.67	17.01	17.29(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	24	140	16	49	0.79	80%	0.12	35.9	2.46%	0	2.1	68	0
24	May_4_2017	16.34	16.42	16.51	16.62	16.67	16.52	17.14(4.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	15	-20	8	36	0.89	80%	0.18	36.6	2.49%	0	2.1	63	0
25	May_3_2017	16.31	16.39	16.41	16.54	16.54	16.33	16.39(1.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-2	-90	-11	25	0.25	76%		34.4	2.41%	0	0	57	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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