Trading Signals: GOOGL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Feb. 11, 2015

Trading Signals: GOOGL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Alphabet Inc. Class A)
GOOGL latest price $538.0000 (-0.4%) ($536.0000 - $541.9500) on Wed. Feb. 11, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.43% (three month average)
RSI   50
Latest Price   $538.0000(-0.4%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   GOOGL advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GOOGL advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GOOGL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(55%)    SPY(50%)    XLK(49%)    VT(44%)    XLY(42%)
Factors Impacting GOOGL price   GOOGL will decline at least -0.715% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-15%)    TLT(-8%)    UUP(-3%)    GDXJ(-3%)    SHY(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.715% (StdDev 1.43%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $534.23(0.71%)
10 Day Moving Average   $531.61(1.2%)
20 Day Moving Average   $526.19(2.24%)
To recent high   -4.1%
To recent low   8.2%
Market Cap   $366.494b

Alphabet, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the business of acquisition and operation of different companies. It operates through the Google and Other Bets segments. The Google segment includes its main Internet products such as Ads, Android, Chrome, Commerce, Google Cloud, Google Maps, Google Play, Hardware, Search, and YouTube. The Other Bets segment includes businesses such as Access, Calico, CapitalG, GV, Nest, Verily, Waymo, and X. The company was founded by Lawrence E. Page and Sergey Mikhaylovich Brin on October 2, 2015 and is headquartered in Mountain View, CA.

$. GOOGL price fluctuates within 2.3% (three month std-dev: 1.43%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 12 Average positive next day return: 2.15%(42%) Average negative next day return: -0.65%(58%) Sample size 12 Average positive next three day return: 1.7%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -1.65%(50%) Sample size 12 Average positive next weekly return: 3.13%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.8%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150311

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_11_2015	541.17	526.19	531.61	534.23	534.61	537.27	538(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	183	40	209	104	1.92	47%	-0.1	65.7	1.43%	0	1	50	0
2	Feb_10_2015	541.71	524.43	529.16	531.85	532.01	533.03	540.16(2.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	61	10	70	32	2.37	48%	-0.11	55.5	1.43%	0	1.2	59	0
3	Feb_9_2015	542.3	522.32	527.2	530.48	530.66	531.94	529.28(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	23	20	25	16	1.52	45%	-0.15	42.9	1.41%	0	0.5	60	0
4	Feb_6_2015	543.09	520.96	527.82	531.06	531.02	530.98	533.88(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	63	-0	66	55	2.15	45%	-0.12	33.2	1.41%	0	0.9	62	0
5	Feb_5_2015	543.74	519.6	528.41	531.8	530.46	529.39	529.83(0.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-32	-20	-55	38	1.66	44%	-0.12	27.3	1.41%	0	0.7	64	0

6	Feb_4_2015	544.39	518.38	529.05	528.48	530.69	531.06	526.1(-1.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	95	20	91	106	1.69	44%	-0.12	11.4	1.42%	0	0.5	61	0
7	Feb_3_2015	545.04	517.41	528.6	525.74	525.93	531.53	533.3(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	119	80	119	120	2.35	44%	-0.09	-3.6	1.41%	0	1.1	66	0
8	Feb_2_2015	545.54	516.61	526.4	523.32	522.68	530.32	532.2(-1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	339	100	377	224	3.77	44%	-0.1	-15.8	1.41%	0	1.1	68	0
9	Jan_30_2015	546.08	516.32	524.31	524.22	521.52	520.33	537.55(4.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	140	-30	139	142	6.06	46%	-0.1	-17.1	1.42%	0	1.6	68	0
10	Jan_29_2015	546.63	515.77	520.99	525.1	523.64	515.03	513.23(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-387	-120	-485	-93	3.95	39%	-0.15	-19.1	1.28%	0	-0.2	55	0

11	Jan_28_2015	547.46	516.78	520.5	529.92	530.91	522.71	512.43(-1.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-345	-100	-444	-48	1.79	41%	-0.15	-7.7	1.28%	0	-0.3	56	0
12	Jan_27_2015	548.28	517.94	519.71	531.51	533.76	532.25	521.19(-2.89%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-134	-10	-198	58	1.96	43%	-0.15	1.1	1.28%	0	0.2	60	0
13	Jan_26_2015	549.11	518.81	517.48	529.26	531.04	539.12	536.72(-0.97%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	311	120	332	246	1.55	47%	-0.11	4.9	1.23%	0	1.2	58	0
14	Jan_23_2015	549.74	518.63	513.8	524.01	524.53	535.27	541.95(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	635	150	728	354	2.3	50%	-0.1	4.1	1.23%	0	1.5	53	0
15	Jan_22_2015	550.27	518.23	510	516.42	516.18	522.97	537.3(3.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	452	90	531	214	2.8	50%	-0.1	2.5	1.25%	0	1.3	50	0

16	Jan_21_2015	550.81	517.8	506.49	510.15	510.16	513.8	520.39(2.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	221	50	278	51	2.32	45%	-0.13	-4.7	1.18%	0	0.2	36	0
17	Jan_20_2015	551.51	517.77	504.94	506.43	507.04	509.4	509.94(-0.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	137	40	193	-33	2.34	44%	-0.14	-11.5	1.16%	0	-0.5	26	0
18	Jan_16_2015	552.26	518.07	505.69	503.85	504.7	506.53	510.46(1.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	88	30	144	-82	2.48	41%	-0.13	-21.6	1.22%	0	-0.5	24	0
19	Jan_15_2015	552.98	517.98	507.31	501.9	502.2	504.68	504.01(-0.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	33	40	86	-125	2.56	37%	-0.15	-31.8	1.21%	0	-0.9	24	0
20	Jan_14_2015	553.79	517.88	509.79	502.48	501.67	502.88	505.93(0.82%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	72	10	133	-111	2.64	37%	-0.15	-42.5	1.22%	0	-0.8	23	0

21	Jan_13_2015	554.64	518.46	512.53	502.33	501.55	499.72	501.8(0.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-98	-30	-66	-192	3.05	36%	-0.16	-46.4	1.22%	0	-1.1	28	0
22	Jan_12_2015	555.55	519.53	515.99	503.3	502.86	500.46	497.06(-0.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-237	-40	-235	-242	2.86	36%	-0.18	-48.4	1.23%	0	-1.5	38	0
23	Jan_9_2015	556.54	521.35	520.43	507.78	507.01	503.39	500.72(-1.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-199	-50	-204	-184	2.1	32%	-0.17	-47.2	1.27%	0	-1.5	45	0
24	Jan_8_2015	557.48	522.8	524.14	513.54	511.78	505.27	506.91(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-343	-100	-389	-206	3.66	34%	-0.16	-40.9	1.29%	0	-1.2	55	0
25	Jan_7_2015	558.4	524.29	527.41	518.29	518.96	510.64	505.15(-0.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-391	-110	-461	-180	2.35	32%		-33.5	1.31%	0	-1.5	59	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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