Trading Signals: GOOGL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. May. 27, 2014

Trading Signals: GOOGL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Alphabet Inc. Class A)
GOOGL latest price $574.8700 (1.96%) ($564.1500 - $574.8700) on Tue. May. 27, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.58% (three month average)
RSI   78
Latest Price   $574.8700(1.96%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   GOOGL advances 1.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GOOGL advances 3.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GOOGL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(55%)    SPY(50%)    XLK(50%)    VT(44%)    XLY(42%)
Factors Impacting GOOGL price   GOOGL will decline at least -0.79% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-16%)    TLT(-8%)    UUP(-2%)    SHY(-2%)    GDXJ(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.79% (StdDev 1.58%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $556.84(3.24%)
10 Day Moving Average   $546.41(5.21%)
20 Day Moving Average   $538.62(6.73%)
To recent high   -5.8%
To recent low   11%
Market Cap   $391.61b

Alphabet, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the business of acquisition and operation of different companies. It operates through the Google and Other Bets segments. The Google segment includes its main Internet products such as Ads, Android, Chrome, Commerce, Google Cloud, Google Maps, Google Play, Hardware, Search, and YouTube. The Other Bets segment includes businesses such as Access, Calico, CapitalG, GV, Nest, Verily, Waymo, and X. The company was founded by Lawrence E. Page and Sergey Mikhaylovich Brin on October 2, 2015 and is headquartered in Mountain View, CA.

$. GOOGL price fluctuates within 2.56% (three month std-dev: 1.58%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 12 Average positive next day return: 1.21%(42%) Average negative next day return: -0.68%(58%) Sample size 12 Average positive next three day return: 3.23%(42%) Average negative next three day return: -1.59%(58%) Sample size 12 Average positive next weekly return: 3.1%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.76%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140627

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_27_2014	568.32	538.62	546.41	556.84	557.74	565.35	574.87(1.96%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	382	100	415	283	2.19	44%	0.02	48.8	1.58%	0	2.6	78	0
2	May_23_2014	568.23	535.89	542.49	549.63	550.34	557.21	563.8(1.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	348	90	381	248	2.67	42%	-0.01	35.5	1.53%	0	2.5	63	0
3	May_22_2014	568.29	533.75	538.66	542.53	543.57	550.13	555.45(1.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	320	90	358	206	2.15	42%	-0.03	12.1	1.53%	0	2.3	61	0
4	May_21_2014	568.47	532.57	535.1	537.27	537.05	543.47	549.7(1.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	259	80	296	149	1.56	42%	-0.05	-20.8	1.53%	0	2.2	55	0
5	May_20_2014	568.74	531.83	531.92	534.21	533.12	537	540.39(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	193	40	225	97	2.43	41%	-0.07	-40.1	1.51%	0	1.1	53	0

6	May_19_2014	569.14	531.97	530.12	534.44	532.36	530.63	538.83(1.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	7	-30	9	2	1.98	41%	-0.08	-39.7	1.51%	0	0.9	51	0
7	May_16_2014	569.58	531.92	529.6	534.36	534.25	529.23	528.3(-0.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-163	-70	-194	-71	1.91	38%	-0.11	-39.7	1.48%	0	-0.5	55	0
8	May_15_2014	570.19	532.63	530.13	534.02	535.77	534.09	529.12(-0.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-104	-10	-126	-38	1.83	38%	-0.11	-41.5	1.49%	0	-0.4	55	0
9	May_14_2014	570.8	534.23	531	532.23	533.6	539.27	534.41(-1.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	139	80	161	73	1.28	38%	-0.1	-37.8	1.5%	0	0	50	0
10	May_13_2014	571.35	534.87	530.96	528.95	529.01	537.44	541.54(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	370	110	437	168	2.01	40%	-0.08	-48.8	1.49%	0	0.6	51	0

11	May_12_2014	571.81	534.96	530.26	525.16	523.62	527.93	538.43(2.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	227	50	276	81	1.95	40%	-0.09	-56.4	1.5%	0	0.3	44	0
12	May_9_2014	572.33	534.9	528.7	524.54	522.13	520.58	526.62(1.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-23	-30	-14	-50	2.26	38%	-0.13	-61.3	1.46%	0	-0.8	42	0
13	May_8_2014	573.06	535.9	528.43	525.99	524.76	519.31	520.17(0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-229	-80	-254	-155	2.45	38%	-0.15	-67.8	1.46%	0	-1.4	36	0
14	May_7_2014	573.91	538.17	529.9	529.66	529.34	523.69	518(-0.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-285	-80	-318	-186	3.07	38%	-0.16	-54.4	1.47%	0	-1.7	26	0
15	May_6_2014	574.83	540.17	531.92	533.04	533.64	530.21	522.57(-2.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-181	-40	-197	-132	1.84	38%	-0.15	-52.5	1.48%	0	-1.5	39	0

16	May_5_2014	575.7	541.18	534.19	535.79	535.05	534.98	535.33(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-58	-10	-55	-65	1.23	40%	-0.12	-56.6	1.46%	0	-0.5	45	0
17	May_2_2014	576.38	541.69	534.53	533.32	534.56	537.07	533.87(-0.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	118	40	154	9	1.78	40%	-0.13	-69.6	1.48%	0	-0.7	49	0
18	May_1_2014	577.12	543.47	535.41	531.16	530.48	535.12	538.53(0.68%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.6	110	60	148	-5	2	40%	-0.12	-61.9	1.49%	0	-0.4	46	0
19	Apr_30_2014	577.79	544.85	537.63	530.35	528.36	532.05	534.88(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	143	40	189	5	2.04	40%	-0.13	-59	1.49%	0	-0.7	37	0
20	Apr_29_2014	578.56	546.45	538.94	530.87	529.25	525.83	536.33(2.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-26	-50	-8	-78	2.54	40%	-0.13	-59.8	1.51%	0	-0.7	42	0

21	Apr_28_2014	579.33	547.53	539.81	532.71	531.32	524.68	522.98(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-339	-100	-379	-218	3.75	37%	-0.18	-63.6	1.48%	0	-1.7	46	0
22	Apr_25_2014	580.37	549.5	541.53	535.98	536.31	532.67	523.1(-2.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-227	-50	-250	-159	2.37	37%	-0.19	-73.1	1.49%	0	-2	44	0
23	Apr_24_2014	581.45	551.34	544.07	540.03	539.41	537.97	534.44(-0.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-134	-20	-140	-116	2.07	39%	-0.15	-89.5	1.48%	0	-1.5	39	0
24	Apr_23_2014	582.35	552.97	547.22	545.92	542.31	539.95	537.51(-1.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-131	-50	-143	-95	1.96	39%	-0.15	-91.7	1.49%	0	-1.4	41	0
25	Apr_22_2014	583.23	555.05	549.24	548.16	547.6	540.86	545.5(1.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-136	-90	-149	-96	2.33	39%		-91.2	1.5%	0	-0.8	43	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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