Trading Signals: GOOG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Oct. 16, 2015

Trading Signals: GOOG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 27, 2014 - Tue. Jun. 18, 2024)

(Alphabet Inc. Class C)
GOOG latest price $662.2000 (0.07%) ($657.2000 - $664.9700) on Fri. Oct. 16, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.78% (three month average)
RSI   92
Latest Price   $662.2000(0.07%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   GOOG advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GOOG advances 3.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GOOG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(54%)    IWF(53%)    SPY(49%)    VUG(48%)    XLK(48%)
Factors Impacting GOOG price   GOOG will decline at least -1.39% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-13%)    TLT(-7%)    XLRE(-3%)    UUP(-3%)    GDXJ(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.39% (StdDev 2.78%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $654.81(1.13%)
10 Day Moving Average   $649.04(2.03%)
20 Day Moving Average   $632.97(4.62%)
To recent high   -1.6%
To recent low   14.2%
Market Cap   $451.101b

Alphabet, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the business of acquisition and operation of different companies. It operates through the Google and Other Bets segments. The Google segment includes its main Internet products such as Ads, Android, Chrome, Commerce, Google Cloud, Google Maps, Google Play, Hardware, Search, and YouTube. The Other Bets segment includes businesses such as Access, Calico, CapitalG, GV, Nest, Verily, Waymo, and X. The company was founded by Lawrence E. Page and Sergey Mikhaylovich Brin on October 2, 2015 and is headquartered in Mountain View, CA.

$. GOOG price fluctuates within 3.03% (three month std-dev: 2.78%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 18 Average positive next day return: 0.75%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.16%(50%) Sample size 18 Average positive next three day return: 2.02%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -2.42%(50%) Sample size 18 Average positive next weekly return: 1.9%(61%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.68%(39%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151116

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_16_2015	599.12	632.97	649.04	654.81	655.72	660.31	662.2(0.07%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	133	50	133	133	1.61	65%	0.21	32.7	2.78%	0	1.5	92	INF
2	Oct_15_2015	597.88	631.16	645.56	651.1	651.21	655.83	661.74(1.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	134	50	135	132	1.89	65%	0.21	29.9	2.81%	0	1.7	73	INF
3	Oct_14_2015	596.65	629.97	640.65	646.58	646.89	651.13	651.16(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	123	50	125	117	1.42	67%	0.2	30.6	2.8%	0	1.3	60	INF
4	Oct_13_2015	595.45	629.06	636.55	644.82	643.01	646.59	652.3(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	88	30	86	95	1.81	69%	0.1	35.7	2.82%	0	1.4	62	INF
5	Oct_12_2015	594.87	628.03	631.02	643.45	641.63	642.65	646.67(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	66	0	62	76	1.28	69%	0.18	41.5	2.84%	0	1.2	60	INF

6	Oct_9_2015	593.78	626.77	625.99	642.41	641.24	639.43	643.61(0.7%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	7	-30	-3	36	1.65	70%	0.17	48.7	2.84%	0	1.1	52	INF
7	Oct_8_2015	592.75	625.78	622.73	639.07	639.9	640.61	639.16(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	24	10	20	34	2.18	68%	0.17	50.2	2.84%	0	0.9	53	INF
8	Oct_7_2015	591.73	624.84	621.14	633.49	634.53	643.05	642.36(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	146	100	169	78	2.09	68%	0.18	42.1	2.85%	0	1.2	47	INF
9	Oct_6_2015	590.66	623.32	618.85	626.71	625.61	639.19	645.44(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	288	150	341	130	2.24	68%	0.2	35.1	2.85%	0	1.6	52	INF
10	Oct_5_2015	589.51	621.7	616.21	616.61	616.3	626.01	641.47(2.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	298	110	359	114	1.8	68%	0.19	14.2	2.85%	0	1.5	51	INF

11	Oct_2_2015	588.41	619.66	615.1	607.3	606.55	612.02	626.91(2.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	103	60	134	10	2.68	68%	0.15	-15.1	2.86%	0	0.6	51	INF
12	Oct_1_2015	587.51	618.66	615.06	604.31	603.09	606.6	611.29(0.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	39	30	60	-25	1.87	68%	0.14	-31.9	2.85%	0	-0.6	44	INF
13	Sep_30_2015	586.67	618.87	618.01	607.21	606.27	601.08	608.42(2.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-24	-60	-17	-45	2.41	68%	0.14	-31.2	2.85%	0	-0.8	45	INF
14	Sep_29_2015	585.86	618.52	620.72	610	610.08	599.59	594.97(0.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-249	-120	-285	-141	2.31	66%	0.1	-19.6	2.84%	0	-1.7	45	INF
15	Sep_28_2015	585.26	619.82	624.93	615.54	616.7	611.47	594.89(-2.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-193	-50	-224	-100	3.13	66%	0.1	1	2.85%	0	-1.9	44	INF

16	Sep_25_2015	584.68	621.68	628.16	623.65	621.92	620.58	611.97(-2.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-49	-20	-61	-13	2.17	66%	0.14	27.1	2.83%	0	-0.8	59	INF
17	Sep_24_2015	583.85	622.93	629.77	627.11	625.03	621.94	625.8(0.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-46	-40	-61	-0	2.24	66%	0.18	31.8	2.81%	0	0.2	62	INF
18	Sep_23_2015	582.81	623.02	629.45	630.53	628.21	623.25	622.36(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-110	-70	-139	-22	1.47	66%	0.16	27.5	2.81%	0	-0.1	55	INF
19	Sep_22_2015	581.88	621.22	628.74	633.25	632.79	628.12	622.69(-2.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-95	-50	-125	-5	2.56	66%	0.14	5.4	2.81%	0	0.1	63	INF
20	Sep_21_2015	581.04	619.72	628.14	635.74	635.85	633.17	635.44(0.98%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-46	-30	-69	22	1.79	66%	0.17	-10.2	2.8%	0	1	56	INF

21	Sep_18_2015	580.05	618.51	624.84	633.3	635.36	637.46	629.25(-2.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	16	30	8	40	5.13	67%	0.16	-27.4	2.8%	0	0.7	49	INF
22	Sep_17_2015	579.11	619.17	622.66	632.61	632.93	638.54	642.9(1.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	136	60	152	87	2.27	67%	0.17	-29.7	2.78%	0	1.4	50	INF
23	Sep_16_2015	578.15	619.71	619.62	628.3	628.06	633.26	635.98(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	140	60	161	78	1.29	67%	0.15	-33.4	2.78%	0	0.9	52	INF
24	Sep_15_2015	577.31	620.43	615.81	623.64	623.58	627.32	635.14(1.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	106	40	121	59	2.08	67%	0.14	-39	2.78%	0	0.7	67	INF
25	Sep_14_2015	576.5	621.43	613.85	619.55	620.19	622.87	623.24(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	80	30	91	48	1.7	67%		-36.1	2.78%	0	0.1	61	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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