Trading Signals: GOOG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Aug. 11, 2015

Trading Signals: GOOG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 27, 2014 - Tue. May. 28, 2024)

(Alphabet Inc. Class C)
GOOG latest price $660.7800 (4.27%) ($654.2700 - $674.9000) on Tue. Aug. 11, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.37% (three month average)
RSI   46
Latest Price   $660.7800(4.27%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   GOOG advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GOOG advances 0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GOOG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(55%)    SPY(50%)    XLK(49%)    VT(44%)    XLY(42%)
Factors Impacting GOOG price   GOOG will decline at least -1.185% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-14%)    TLT(-7%)    UUP(-2%)    SHY(-2%)    GDXJ(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.185% (StdDev 2.37%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $643.25(2.73%)
10 Day Moving Average   $637.09(3.72%)
20 Day Moving Average   $634.92(4.07%)
To recent high   -1.8%
To recent low   27.9%
Market Cap   $450.133b

Alphabet, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the business of acquisition and operation of different companies. It operates through the Google and Other Bets segments. The Google segment includes its main Internet products such as Ads, Android, Chrome, Commerce, Google Cloud, Google Maps, Google Play, Hardware, Search, and YouTube. The Other Bets segment includes businesses such as Access, Calico, CapitalG, GV, Nest, Verily, Waymo, and X. The company was founded by Lawrence E. Page and Sergey Mikhaylovich Brin on October 2, 2015 and is headquartered in Mountain View, CA.

$. GOOG price fluctuates within 4.71% (three month std-dev: 2.37%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -1.53%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 2.99%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -4.45%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 2.94%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.9%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150911

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_11_2015	556.84	634.92	637.09	643.25	645.02	650.88	660.78(4.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	328	70	381	168	5.03	72%	0.19	87.9	2.37%	0	0.9	46	INF
2	Aug_10_2015	555.8	630.17	633.6	636.95	638.77	636.98	633.73(-0.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-22	-10	-23	-20	1.81	69%	0.14	77.6	2.32%	0	0.1	32	INF
3	Aug_7_2015	555.05	626.22	633.01	636.44	637	639.15	635.3(-1.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-7	30	-1	-26	1.4	71%	0.14	70.3	2.33%	0	0.2	33	INF
4	Aug_6_2015	554.27	621.4	631.9	634.51	634.94	640.55	642.68(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	129	60	166	19	1.57	69%	0.15	62.4	2.32%	0	0.5	31	INF
5	Aug_5_2015	553.42	615.69	631.8	632.49	631.82	634.85	643.78(2.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	123	30	153	31	2.33	67%	0.17	56.4	2.33%	0	0.6	71	INF

6	Aug_4_2015	552.47	609.68	633.19	630.12	629.37	629.32	629.25(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	12	-0	14	6	1.49	67%	0.14	52.6	2.33%	0	0.4	73	INF
7	Aug_3_2015	551.71	604.77	636.26	629.87	629.18	628.79	631.21(0.9%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-3	-10	-14	32	1.3	67%	0.16	51.1	2.33%	0	0.5	73	INF
8	Jul_31_2015	550.85	599.6	639.25	629.08	629.31	629.41	625.61(-1.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	26	0	7	83	1.71	67%	0.13	49.6	2.35%	0	0.5	75	INF
9	Jul_30_2015	550.13	594.71	643.83	628.67	628.54	629.58	632.59(0.1%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	24	10	-12	132	1.47	64%	0.15	47.3	2.34%	0	0.7	79	INF
10	Jul_29_2015	549.3	589.3	639.35	631.01	629.88	629.21	631.93(0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	3	-10	-46	151	1.58	64%	0.14	46.9	2.36%	0	0.7	81	INF

11	Jul_28_2015	548.52	583.81	633.05	637.04	635.72	627.5	628(0.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-107	-100	-187	134	1.73	64%	0.11	48.3	2.37%	0	0.8	81	INF
12	Jul_27_2015	547.92	578.52	627.12	643.9	644.7	630.54	627.26(0.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-281	-150	-404	89	2.68	63%	0.11	50.9	2.37%	0	0.8	77	INF
13	Jul_24_2015	547.31	573.67	619.81	651.05	653.55	643.93	623.56(-3.22%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.5	-274	-90	-407	127	3.63	65%	0.09	55.3	2.38%	0	0.9	77	INF
14	Jul_23_2015	546.82	569.13	611.26	660.93	659.99	658.85	644.28(-2.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-0	-20	-99	296	3.03	69%	0.13	62.1	2.37%	0	1.3	83	INF
15	Jul_22_2015	546.09	563.5	599.33	648.04	661.94	663.18	662.1(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	392	80	368	463	3.93	72%	0.17	59.2	2.34%	0	1.8	89	INF

16	Jul_21_2015	545.19	556.94	584.79	627.66	638.81	661.12	662.3(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	372	300	359	411	3.38	72%	0.17	54.5	2.34%	0	2.1	89	INF
17	Jul_20_2015	544.26	550.2	570.64	607.42	613.74	660.69	663.02(-1.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.3	1176	570	1318	749	5.86	73%	0.2	50.4	2.34%	0	2.6	89	INF
18	Jul_17_2015	543.19	543.28	555.91	584.13	587.26	616.51	672.93(16.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.6	1309	360	1493	756	11.16	71%	0.22	44.5	2.34%	0	3.8	86	INF
19	Jul_16_2015	542	535.74	539.82	555.57	557.1	566.79	579.85(3.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	580	130	640	401	4.77	61%	0.07	44.6	1.27%	0	2.8	70	INF
20	Jul_15_2015	541.63	532.98	533.68	543.74	546.1	558.01	560.22(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.4	625	170	712	364	1.78	57%	0.05	28.1	1.2%	0	2.2	61	INF

21	Jul_14_2015	541.38	531.25	529.5	535.06	536.36	547.42	561.1(2.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.5	684	150	799	337	3.24	55%	0.06	10.7	1.2%	0	2.9	59	INF
22	Jul_13_2015	541.08	529.4	525.23	527.84	527.38	534.18	546.55(3.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.4	421	90	506	167	2.21	52%	0.01	-11.4	1.17%	0	2.2	53	INF
23	Jul_10_2015	541.01	528.58	523.42	523.1	523.04	525.31	530.13(1.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	209	30	267	36	1.96	48%	-0.02	-32.8	1.1%	0	0.2	42	INF
24	Jul_9_2015	541.14	528.76	523.73	521.76	521.3	520.58	520.68(0.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-33	-10	-14	-88	1.84	45%	-0.04	-39.1	1.08%	0	-1.1	30	INF
25	Jul_8_2015	541.33	529.57	525.35	521.99	521.44	520.78	516.83(-1.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-91	-10	-85	-110	1.3	45%		-41.2	1.07%	0	-1.8	39	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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