Trading Signals: GOOG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Oct. 22, 2014

Trading Signals: GOOG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 27, 2014 - Fri. May. 31, 2024)

(Alphabet Inc. Class C)
GOOG latest price $532.7100 (1.17%) ($528.8000 - $539.8000) on Wed. Oct. 22, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.17% (three month average)
RSI   34
Latest Price   $532.7100(1.17%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   GOOG advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GOOG declines -4.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GOOG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(55%)    SPY(50%)    XLK(49%)    VT(43%)    XLY(42%)
Factors Impacting GOOG price   GOOG will decline at least -0.585% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-15%)    TLT(-8%)    SHY(-2%)    GDXJ(-2%)    UUP(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.585% (StdDev 1.17%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

Resistance Level   $551.46
5 Day Moving Average   $523.15(1.83%)
10 Day Moving Average   $531.65(0.2%)
20 Day Moving Average   $551.46(-3.4%)
To recent high   -10.6%
To recent low   4.2%
Market Cap   $362.89b

Alphabet, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the business of acquisition and operation of different companies. It operates through the Google and Other Bets segments. The Google segment includes its main Internet products such as Ads, Android, Chrome, Commerce, Google Cloud, Google Maps, Google Play, Hardware, Search, and YouTube. The Other Bets segment includes businesses such as Access, Calico, CapitalG, GV, Nest, Verily, Waymo, and X. The company was founded by Lawrence E. Page and Sergey Mikhaylovich Brin on October 2, 2015 and is headquartered in Mountain View, CA.

$. GOOG price fluctuates within 4.24% (three month std-dev: 1.17%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 1.55%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.6%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 1.92%(25%) Average negative next three day return: -2.8%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 6.77%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.47%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_22_2014	570.62	551.46	531.65	523.15	522.93	528.6	532.71(1.17%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.4	327	70	450	-41	2.92	34%	-0.02	-68.9	1.17%	0	-0.8	34	INF
2	Oct_21_2014	570.74	554.15	535.23	522.62	520.23	519.72	526.54(1.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	8	-20	75	-195	2.33	32%	-0.05	-69.1	1.16%	0	-1.2	32	INF
3	Oct_20_2014	571.02	556.92	538.79	524.9	521.14	517.26	520.84(1.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-327	-70	-317	-357	2.61	32%	-0.07	-67.5	1.15%	0	-1.5	27	INF
4	Oct_17_2014	571.41	560.31	544.3	527.37	527.2	520.73	511.17(-2.54%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-326	-90	-323	-336	5.53	34%	-0.09	-64.1	1.22%	0	-2.1	22	INF
5	Oct_16_2014	571.91	564.67	550.84	534.04	532.38	525.01	524.51(-1.04%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-535	-110	-576	-412	3.7	36%	-0.06	-60	1.2%	0	-2	24	INF

6	Oct_15_2014	572.28	568.02	555.55	541.31	540.1	533.67	530.03(-1.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-476	-90	-514	-360	3.71	36%	-0.06	-55	1.2%	0	-2.1	28	INF
7	Oct_14_2014	572.65	570.9	559.58	549.8	549.5	539.75	537.94(0.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-442	-130	-481	-325	2.22	37%	-0.06	-48.2	1.18%	0	-2	25	INF
8	Oct_13_2014	573	573.16	563.62	554.96	556.51	546.52	533.21(-2.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-661	-120	-745	-410	2.58	37%	-0.03	-45.7	1.19%	0	-2.8	28	INF
9	Oct_10_2014	573.2	575.39	568.19	563.79	563.79	559.25	544.49(-2.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-432	-60	-485	-274	3.08	42%	-0	-44.7	1.18%	0	-2.9	29	INF
10	Oct_9_2014	573.21	577.13	571.66	569.95	570.05	566.51	560.88(-2.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-142	-40	-146	-128	2.52	46%	0.04	-44.4	1.12%	0	-2	30	INF

11	Oct_8_2014	572.98	578.23	573.18	571.79	572.26	568.32	572.5(1.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-225	-50	-242	-172	1.99	46%	0.08	-43.4	1.1%	0	-0.8	40	INF
12	Oct_7_2014	572.55	578.77	574.6	570.94	572.46	573.59	563.74(-2.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-144	20	-147	-136	1.91	43%	0.06	-44.9	1.11%	0	-2	38	INF
13	Oct_6_2014	572.19	579.71	576.41	573.67	573.2	576.21	577.35(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	185	30	237	29	1.21	47%	0.1	-34.7	1.07%	0	-0.3	49	INF
14	Oct_3_2014	571.61	580.29	577.29	573.47	572.91	571.33	575.28(0.91%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	31	-20	53	-35	1.14	47%	0.1	-24.4	1.08%	0	-0.7	53	INF
15	Oct_2_2014	571.05	580.83	579.22	573.83	572.87	570.19	570.08(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-234	-40	-264	-144	1.18	47%	0.08	-12	1.07%	0	-1.6	48	INF

16	Oct_1_2014	570.6	581.49	581.16	574.83	575.02	574.48	568.27(-1.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-114	-10	-126	-77	1.45	47%	0.06	-0.9	1.07%	0	-2.1	43	INF
17	Sep_30_2014	570.24	582.07	582.94	578.77	577.27	575.56	577.36(0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-52	-30	-60	-28	1.62	49%	0.08	18.2	1.07%	0	-0.8	47	INF
18	Sep_29_2014	569.76	582.12	583.3	579.53	579.31	575.57	576.36(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-198	-50	-233	-94	1.28	49%	0.1	20.2	1.07%	0	-1	48	INF
19	Sep_26_2014	569.17	581.97	583.3	581.73	581.7	578.98	577.1(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-250	-30	-293	-121	1.44	49%	0.12	21	1.07%	0	-0.8	42	INF
20	Sep_25_2014	568.5	581.67	583.17	585.53	584.92	583.05	575.06(-2.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-133	-30	-159	-56	1.93	54%	0.12	26.3	1.07%	0	-1	44	INF

21	Sep_24_2014	567.83	581.56	583.91	588.37	587.97	584.43	587.99(1.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-102	-40	-127	-28	1.72	58%	0.13	28	1.08%	0	0.9	54	INF
22	Sep_23_2014	567.09	581.03	583.37	587.72	588.67	586.8	581.13(-1.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-174	-20	-212	-61	1.47	56%	0.1	19.8	1.07%	0	0	54	INF
23	Sep_22_2014	566.55	580.99	583.41	587.49	588.38	591.52	587.37(-1.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	130	40	145	85	1.69	56%	0.11	18.1	1.07%	0	0.9	58	INF
24	Sep_19_2014	565.94	580.7	583.53	584.63	585.14	590.55	596.08(1.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	358	70	413	193	3.73	59%	0.12	12.4	1.06%	0	2.3	70	INF
25	Sep_18_2014	565.28	579.96	582.35	580.54	579.87	585.24	589.27(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	290	60	335	155	1.44	60%		2.1	1.05%	0	1.7	68	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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