Trading Signals: GM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Feb. 12, 2015

Trading Signals: GM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Fri. Jul. 14, 2023)

(General Motors Company)
GM latest price $31.7653 (0.93%) ($31.5230 - $31.8990) on Thu. Feb. 12, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.71% (three month average)
RSI   75
Latest Price   $31.7653(0.93%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   GM advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GM advances 5.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(68%)    IVE(67%)    PEJ(66%)    XLF(64%)    SPY(63%)
Factors Impacting GM price   GM will decline at least -0.855% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-21%)    TLT(-21%)    UUP(-12%)    IGOV(-7%)    SHY(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.855% (StdDev 1.71%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $30.95(2.63%)
10 Day Moving Average   $29.92(6.17%)
20 Day Moving Average   $29(9.54%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   23.7%
Market Cap   $57.178b

General Motors Co. engages in the designing, manufacturing, and selling of cars, trucks and automobile parts. It also provides automotive financing services through General Motors Financial Company, Inc. The firm operates through the following segments: GM North America, GM International, and GM Financial. It sells vehicles under the Chevrolet, Cadillac, Baojun, Buick, GMC, Holden, Jiefang, Wuling, Maven, and OnStar brands. The company was founded by William C. Durant on September 16, 1908 and is headquartered in Detroit, MI.

$. GM price fluctuates within 4.83% (three month std-dev: 1.71%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 2.25%(50%) Average negative next day return: -5.79%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 4.84%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -16.98%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 3.41%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.16%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_12_2015	27.3	29	29.92	30.95	31.03	31.55	31.77(0.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	72	130	27	207	15.54	61%	0.15	30.6	1.71%	0	2	75	0
2	Feb_11_2015	27.26	28.83	29.51	30.65	30.66	31.23	31.47(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	76	130	38	190	22.63	61%	0.15	23.5	1.71%	0	2.1	74	0
3	Feb_10_2015	27.22	28.71	29.1	30.34	30.39	30.51	31.35(4.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	73	30	42	165	32.37	61%	0.11	20.3	1.71%	0	2.4	72	0
4	Feb_9_2015	27.19	28.62	28.74	29.75	30	30.09	30.08(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	46	50	22	118	14.8	58%	0.07	11.7	1.65%	0	1.5	66	0
5	Feb_6_2015	27.17	28.59	28.54	29.27	29.57	30.27	30.08(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	59	200	47	95	16.32	59%	0.07	0.6	1.65%	0	1.6	68	0

6	Feb_5_2015	27.15	28.58	28.33	28.71	28.87	29.91	30.29(1.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	67	270	67	66	20.85	59%	0.11	-10.9	1.66%	0	1.8	71	0
7	Feb_4_2015	27.12	28.55	28.11	28.19	28.15	28.86	29.94(5.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	52	170	62	22	49.3	59%	0.07	-24.1	1.66%	0	1.5	59	0
8	Feb_3_2015	27.1	28.49	27.92	27.69	27.65	27.83	28.39(2.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	3	40	20	-48	26.21	55%	0	-40.3	1.53%	0	-0.1	36	0
9	Feb_2_2015	27.1	28.51	27.9	27.6	27.52	27.43	27.66(1.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-28	-30	-8	-88	18.4	52%	0.04	-41	1.5%	0	-1	23	0
10	Jan_30_2015	27.09	28.58	27.95	27.69	27.64	27.47	27.25(-1.63%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-40	-50	-18	-107	19.17	53%	-0.04	-33.3	1.49%	0	-1.6	21	0

11	Jan_29_2015	27.1	28.68	28.03	27.88	27.84	27.62	27.7(0.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-42	-60	-16	-121	15.82	55%	0	-22.7	1.5%	0	-1.2	20	0
12	Jan_28_2015	27.1	28.77	28.12	27.99	28.04	27.81	27.44(-1.74%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-48	-50	-20	-131	16.94	58%	0	-11.1	1.51%	0	-1.7	22	0
13	Jan_27_2015	27.1	28.85	28.32	28.17	28.18	28.06	27.92(-0.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-36	-30	-12	-109	14.79	61%	0.04	4	1.56%	0	-1.3	39	0
14	Jan_26_2015	27.09	28.85	28.51	28.17	28.27	28.26	28.16(-0.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-23	-0	-1	-87	10.82	61%	-0.04	18.4	1.55%	0	-1	47	0
15	Jan_23_2015	27.1	28.85	28.66	28.25	28.28	28.3	28.2(-0.21%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-16	10	4	-76	13.99	57%	0	31.4	1.6%	0	-1	43	0

16	Jan_22_2015	27.1	28.87	28.86	28.2	28.2	28.28	28.26(-0.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-20	20	-3	-71	14.26	58%	0	45.8	1.61%	0	-0.9	43	0
17	Jan_21_2015	27.1	28.85	29.02	28.28	28.25	28.25	28.31(-0.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-21	-0	-7	-61	14.35	60%	0	59.8	1.62%	0	-0.8	42	0
18	Jan_20_2015	27.1	28.82	29.11	28.51	28.33	28.12	28.35(0.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-31	-70	-24	-50	12.05	60%	0	75.6	1.63%	0	-0.7	47	0
19	Jan_16_2015	27.1	28.74	29.16	28.82	28.71	28.25	28.14(0.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-30	-120	-31	-26	17.78	60%	-0.04	77.3	1.61%	0	-0.7	53	0
20	Jan_15_2015	27.11	28.65	29.27	29.14	29.18	28.54	27.93(-2.54%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.3	-34	-150	-46	4	19.44	60%	0	72.9	1.62%	0	-0.8	54	0

21	Jan_14_2015	27.11	28.56	29.41	29.61	29.55	29.16	28.66(-2.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-16	-100	-39	55	27.9	63%	0	67.6	1.59%	0	0.1	59	0
22	Jan_13_2015	27.11	28.44	29.49	29.86	29.95	29.81	29.45(-1.65%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	28	-20	-1	113	21.89	64%	0.04	59.7	1.55%	0	0.8	69	0
23	Jan_12_2015	27.1	28.29	29.44	29.8	29.93	29.94	29.94(0.7%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	42	20	11	134	10.66	66%	0.07	48.7	1.55%	0	1.2	77	0
24	Jan_9_2015	27.08	28.13	29.27	29.54	29.7	30.09	29.74(-1.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	46	110	15	138	14.69	59%	0.04	42.4	1.58%	0	1.2	81	0
25	Jan_8_2015	27.07	27.98	29.1	29.42	29.44	29.93	30.24(1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	64	120	33	158	15.21	61%		37.1	1.64%	0	1.6	88	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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