Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GLD: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. May. 20, 2024

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Fri. Jul. 5, 2024)

(SPDR Gold Shares)
GLD latest price $224.5600 (0.4%) ($223.0200 - $225.6600) on Mon. May. 20, 2024.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.9% (three month average)
RSI   76
Latest Price   $224.5600(0.4%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GLD advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GLD advances 1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Rotation from value to growth for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GLD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GDX(90%)    GDXJ(90%)    IWO(42%)    IWM(39%)    SPY(39%)
Factors Impacting GLD price   GLD will decline at least -0.45% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-54%)    VXX(-2%)    VIXM(-1%)    JETS(8%)    TAN(10%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.45% (StdDev 0.9%)
Hourly BBV 1.2 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $221.45(1.4%)
10 Day Moving Average   $218.9(2.59%)
20 Day Moving Average   $216.77(3.59%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   19.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GLD price fluctuates within 1.53% (three month std-dev: 0.9%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 29 Average positive next day return: 1.24%(34%) Average negative next day return: -0.65%(66%) Sample size 29 Average positive next three day return: 1.77%(45%) Average negative next three day return: -2.37%(55%) Sample size 29 Average positive next weekly return: 2.4%(55%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.87%(45%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20240620

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_20_2024	201.06	216.77	218.9	221.45	221.71	223.55	224.56(0.4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	193	60	189	204	5.98	72%	0.17	21.6	0.9%	1.2	2.4	76	1.1
2	May_17_2024	200.72	216.28	217.93	219.79	220.07	221.44	223.66(1.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	150	50	148	157	10.47	72%	0.16	0.7	0.91%	1.7	2.5	61	1.2
3	May_16_2024	200.39	216.08	216.83	218.8	218.51	219.87	220.03(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	87	40	81	106	4.29	70%	0.14	-3.3	0.9%	0.7	1.5	55	1.4
4	May_15_2024	200.1	216.05	216.14	218.18	218.22	218.69	220.89(1.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	130	20	136	112	9.53	70%	0.15	-8.2	0.89%	1.6	1.8	59	1.5
5	May_14_2024	199.8	215.94	215.39	216.72	217.22	217.15	218.09(0.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	13	0	6	34	4.64	69%	0.1	-17.1	0.88%	0.4	0.8	57	1

6	May_13_2024	199.61	216.06	214.77	215.94	216.27	217.75	216.26(-1.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	42	50	47	28	4.87	66%	0.14	-18.3	0.88%	-0.7	0.1	53	1
7	May_10_2024	199.34	216.26	214.73	215.73	215.72	217.3	218.71(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	161	50	187	82	8.7	68%	0.15	-13.8	0.88%	1.2	0.9	56	1
8	May_9_2024	199.04	216.16	214.45	214.58	214.79	214.79	216.95(1.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	55	0	72	3	7.71	68%	0.15	-21.8	0.89%	2	0.3	39	1
9	May_8_2024	198.74	216.28	214.3	213.82	213.98	214.14	213.58(-0.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-35	10	-26	-63	4.46	67%	0.13	-16.5	0.88%	-1.5	-0.9	33	1
10	May_7_2024	198.48	216.4	214.41	213.86	213.65	214.79	214.21(-0.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	40	30	67	-41	5.65	67%	0.14	-12.3	0.87%	0	-0.8	36	0.9

11	May_6_2024	198.21	216.58	214.49	213.39	213.46	213.81	215.2(1.05%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.7	56	10	94	-58	6.83	67%	0.15	-6.3	0.87%	1.3	-0.5	34	1.2
12	May_3_2024	197.91	216.65	214.51	213.59	212.86	212.5	212.96(-0.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-92	-20	-76	-141	8.68	65%	0.13	9.4	0.86%	-0.4	-1.3	29	0.6
13	May_2_2024	197.66	216.79	215.28	214.32	213.79	213.11	213.13(-0.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-62	-30	-47	-106	6.28	63%	0.13	31.1	0.87%	0.3	-1.3	44	-0
14	May_1_2024	197.4	216.76	215.97	214.88	214.78	213.23	213.79(0.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-94	-50	-88	-112	10.36	65%	0.16	50	0.88%	0.3	-1	39	-0.2
15	Apr_30_2024	197.08	216.75	216.55	215.05	215.22	214.48	211.87(-1.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-128	-20	-132	-117	11.21	63%	0.15	65	0.87%	-1.6	-1.6	46	-0.5

16	Apr_29_2024	196.79	216.76	217.5	215.68	215.78	216.33	216.18(-0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	20	20	37	-31	6.37	68%	0.16	77.5	0.83%	-0.2	-0.2	48	0.1
17	Apr_26_2024	196.47	216.39	217.96	215.56	215.41	215.96	216.62(0.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	23	20	38	-21	6.23	68%	0.15	84.8	0.83%	1.2	0.1	51	-0.1
18	Apr_25_2024	196.17	215.9	218.01	216.44	215.29	215.23	215.92(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-35	-20	-37	-30	6.6	68%	0.15	82.7	0.83%	1.9	0	53	-1
19	Apr_24_2024	195.88	215.32	218.41	217.32	216.68	214.85	214.64(-0.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-71	-70	-91	-11	5.73	66%	0.15	75.7	0.83%	-1.2	-0.1	58	-0.3
20	Apr_23_2024	195.59	214.75	218.58	218.31	218.07	215.34	215.04(-0.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-200	-90	-251	-48	10.72	66%	0.14	72.8	0.84%	-0.8	0	56	-0.5

21	Apr_22_2024	195.31	214.11	218.9	219.55	219.46	218.5	215.57(-2.47%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.6	-136	-30	-189	22	13.36	66%	0.13	71.8	0.84%	-1.5	0.2	60	-1.1
22	Apr_19_2024	195.06	213.41	219.05	220.63	220.59	220.8	221.03(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	88	10	56	182	8.68	72%	0.17	71.6	0.77%	1.1	1.1	74	-2.3
23	Apr_18_2024	194.73	212.47	218.48	219.8	220.04	220.42	220.34(0.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	52	20	9	182	6.48	73%	0.16	68.7	0.77%	-0.3	1.1	76	-1.6
24	Apr_17_2024	194.41	211.56	217.64	219.69	219.88	220.39	219.59(-0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	119	20	78	241	11.51	70%	0.16	69.3	0.77%	-0.3	1.1	78	-2
25	Apr_16_2024	194.09	210.58	216.98	218.89	219.34	219.66	221.22(0.12%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	120	20	72	262	10.73	68%		65.7	0.78%	1	1.4	82	-2.2
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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