Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Mar. 26, 2020

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Fri. Apr. 26, 2024)

(SPDR Gold Shares)
GLD latest price $153.2400 (1.28%) ($152.0800 - $154.8100) on Thu. Mar. 26, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.46% (three month average)
RSI   43
Latest Price   $153.2400(1.28%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GLD advances 2.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GLD declines -1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GLD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SLV(79%)    GDX(76%)    GDXJ(75%)    SIL(75%)    BWX(41%)
Factors Impacting GLD price   GLD will decline at least -0.73% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-31%)    TBT(-19%)    VIXM(-14%)    VXX(-7%)    UNG(-0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.73% (StdDev 1.46%)
Hourly BBV -0.1 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $148.87(2.94%)
10 Day Moving Average   $145.4(5.39%)
20 Day Moving Average   $149.41(2.56%)
To recent high   -2.9%
To recent low   11%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GLD price fluctuates within 4.13% (three month std-dev: 1.46%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20200426

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_26_2020	145.02	149.41	145.4	148.87	150.87	152.65	153.24(1.28%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.7	64	120	92	-20	12.74	55%	0.09	-20.8	1.46%	-0.1	0.6	43	-0.3
2	Mar_25_2020	144.89	149.4	144.74	145.83	147.6	152.77	151.3(-1.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	149	280	213	-43	16.47	55%	0.08	-33.3	1.46%	0.3	0.3	41	-0.7
3	Mar_24_2020	144.77	149.5	144.83	143.71	144.33	149.09	153.4(4.85%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.6	225	240	313	-38	20.61	56%	0.08	-41	1.46%	1.3	0.6	48	-0.6
4	Mar_23_2020	144.65	149.46	144.74	141.74	141.16	142.42	146.3(4.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	56	50	129	-162	28.55	52%	0.03	-47.4	1.33%	1.7	-0.5	39	-0.8
5	Mar_20_2020	144.61	149.93	145.74	140.81	140.64	139.57	140.11(1.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-73	-60	-17	-239	19.86	47%	-0.02	-47	1.2%	0	-1.5	39	-1.5

6	Mar_19_2020	144.64	150.7	147.45	141.44	140.46	139.9	138.04(-1.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-176	-50	-144	-273	20.66	45%	-0.02	-43.6	1.19%	-1.2	-2.1	30	-1.7
7	Mar_18_2020	144.67	151.49	149.42	143.39	142.23	141.71	140.7(-1.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-92	-50	-56	-200	21.9	47%	0.01	-35.9	1.16%	-0.6	-2.1	33	-2.4
8	Mar_17_2020	144.66	152.1	150.83	146.04	144.35	141.01	143.56(1.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-191	-200	-185	-207	24.36	50%	0.02	-21.1	1.14%	0.5	-1.9	35	-2.2
9	Mar_16_2020	144.63	152.53	151.93	148.22	147.5	142.76	141.64(-1.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-334	-240	-365	-240	23.96	48%	-0.01	-5.8	1.12%	-0.9	-2.6	33	-2.7
10	Mar_13_2020	144.64	152.98	152.84	151.46	151.46	147.7	143.28(-3.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.4	-286	-170	-320	-183	35.05	49%	0.01	20.7	1.11%	-1.5	-2.8	32	-1.9

11	Mar_12_2020	144.62	153.31	154.02	154.31	154.47	152.25	147.79(-3.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-192	-100	-225	-92	32.73	54%	0.06	54.5	1.04%	-1.7	-1.9	40	-2.6
12	Mar_11_2020	144.54	153.36	154.72	156.25	156.48	155.22	153.93(-0.36%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.8	-70	-50	-97	12	17.66	62%	0.1	74.9	0.9%	-1.7	0.2	55	-2.2
13	Mar_10_2020	144.4	153.08	154.74	156.3	156.89	156.7	154.48(-2.11%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.6	-24	0	-46	43	18.49	62%	0.1	72.3	0.9%	-1.8	0.4	57	-2
14	Mar_9_2020	144.25	152.78	154.63	156.18	156.62	157.73	157.81(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	114	60	112	118	24.75	67%	0.13	69	0.85%	1.1	1.5	66	-2.7
15	Mar_6_2020	144.06	152.27	154.41	154.46	155.28	157.08	157.55(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	160	100	171	128	26.77	65%	0.12	53.8	0.85%	1.2	1.6	69	-2.3

16	Mar_5_2020	143.89	151.76	154.08	153.75	153.36	155.51	157.49(2.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	164	90	173	138	17.86	65%	0.13	48.1	0.86%	1.6	1.8	70	-2.1
17	Mar_4_2020	143.71	151.2	153.55	153.05	152.09	153.48	154.16(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	133	50	134	130	11.95	62%	0.1	41.4	0.82%	0.7	1	67	-1.6
18	Mar_3_2020	143.56	150.82	153.32	153.01	152.25	151.2	153.89(3.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	42	-60	21	104	28.39	63%	0.1	38.2	0.82%	1.4	1	67	-2.3
19	Mar_2_2020	143.42	150.54	153.04	152.89	152.58	150.69	149.2(-3.12%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.2	-180	-90	-246	20	16.13	58%	0.07	37.3	0.74%	-0.6	-0.4	56	-1.9
20	Feb_28_2020	143.32	150.56	153.11	154.27	153.73	153.29	154(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-92	-30	-170	141	41.29	67%	0.09	52.7	0.6%	-1.6	1.1	75	-2.8

21	Feb_27_2020	143.19	150.27	152.58	154.41	155.1	154.47	154(0.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0.1	85	-20	35	236	27.71	67%	0.09	58.5	0.61%	-1.1	1.3	76	-3.1
22	Feb_26_2020	143.06	149.98	151.96	154.09	155.02	154.17	153.97(0.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-29	-20	-99	183	17.9	67%	0.08	61.5	0.61%	-0.6	1.4	78	-2.4
23	Feb_25_2020	142.94	149.65	151.35	153.66	154.6	155.74	153.3(-1.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	85	70	36	233	27.93	67%	0.09	61.8	0.61%	-1	1.4	77	-3.2
24	Feb_24_2020	142.81	149.42	150.84	153.18	153.85	155.88	156.09(0.9%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	338	110	333	352	27.07	73%	0.11	65.1	0.57%	0.5	2.6	77	-3.1
25	Feb_21_2020	142.66	148.98	149.97	151.76	152.16	153.47	154.7(1.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	256	70	254	261	16.42	72%		66.7	0.56%	1.3	2.8	68	-0.8
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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