Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GLD: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Dec. 14, 2017

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Wed. Jun. 26, 2024)

(SPDR Gold Shares)
GLD latest price $118.9300 (-0.2%) ($118.7100 - $119.2900) on Thu. Dec. 14, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.59% (three month average)
RSI   27
Latest Price   $118.9300(-0.2%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GLD advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GLD declines -1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GLD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SLV(78%)    GDX(75%)    SIL(73%)    BWX(46%)    LQD(35%)
Factors Impacting GLD price   GLD will decline at least -0.295% in a week (0% probabilities).
TBT(-23%)    UUP(-13%)    VIXM(-2%)    XLF(-1%)    UNG(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.295% (StdDev 0.59%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $116.77(-1.82%)
Resistance Level   $120.67
5 Day Moving Average   $118.55(0.32%)
10 Day Moving Average   $119.38(-0.38%)
20 Day Moving Average   $120.67(-1.44%)
To recent high   -5.7%
To recent low   0.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GLD price fluctuates within 1.36% (three month std-dev: 0.59%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 12 Average positive next day return: 0.48%(42%) Average negative next day return: -0.68%(58%) Sample size 12 Average positive next three day return: 1.09%(42%) Average negative next three day return: -1%(58%) Sample size 12 Average positive next weekly return: 1.25%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.93%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180114

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_14_2017	122.17	120.67	119.38	118.55	118.43	118.84	118.93(-0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	10	20	56	-130	6.99	33%	-0.01	-48.5	0.59%	0	-1.1	27	0
2	Dec_13_2017	122.18	120.8	119.59	118.46	118.33	118.27	119.17(0.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-29	-10	16	-164	10.09	32%	0	-52.3	0.59%	0	-1	27	0
3	Dec_12_2017	122.18	120.93	119.85	118.64	118.34	118.02	118.15(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-104	-30	-73	-195	8.02	29%	-0.01	-50	0.58%	0	-1.8	31	0
4	Dec_11_2017	122.19	121.1	120.31	119.07	118.9	118.39	118.01(-0.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-90	-30	-66	-161	4.52	27%	-0.01	-48.3	0.59%	0	-2.2	32	0
5	Dec_8_2017	122.2	121.28	120.8	119.71	119.41	118.65	118.48(-0.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-120	-50	-110	-148	5.23	27%	0	-41.4	0.61%	0	-2.3	27	0

6	Dec_7_2017	122.2	121.47	121.2	120.33	120.04	119.41	118.49(-1.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-112	-40	-111	-115	12.9	31%	0	-27.4	0.61%	0	-2.9	39	0
7	Dec_6_2017	122.2	121.65	121.63	120.85	120.72	120.18	120.07(-0.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-66	-30	-66	-67	6.64	33%	0.02	-16.1	0.6%	0	-2.1	45	0
8	Dec_5_2017	122.18	121.71	121.8	121.25	121	120.67	120.32(-0.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-77	-30	-84	-57	10.04	36%	0.02	1.8	0.61%	0	-2.1	45	0
9	Dec_4_2017	122.15	121.79	121.92	121.74	121.46	121.26	121.18(-0.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-30	-20	-35	-15	6.94	37%	0.04	31.3	0.62%	0	-1	51	0
10	Dec_1_2017	122.1	121.77	122.09	122.07	121.91	121.32	121.59(0.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-36	-40	-50	6	13.08	37%	0.05	42.3	0.62%	0	-0.3	54	0

11	Nov_30_2017	122.04	121.75	122.08	122.22	122.31	121.65	121.1(-0.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-68	-40	-88	-9	7.94	41%	0.04	52.8	0.63%	0	-1	45	0
12	Nov_29_2017	121.99	121.76	122.13	122.53	122.59	122.49	122.04(-0.63%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.8	-24	-0	-40	24	6.14	42%	0.05	66	0.63%	0	0.4	53	0
13	Nov_28_2017	121.93	121.7	122.09	122.42	122.7	122.96	122.81(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	47	20	44	56	5.6	47%	0.07	53.6	0.62%	0	1.6	60	0
14	Nov_27_2017	121.85	121.61	121.94	122.12	122.39	122.7	122.83(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	34	20	33	36	4.96	47%	0.06	40.4	0.66%	0	1.9	57	0
15	Nov_24_2017	121.78	121.51	121.77	122.13	122.08	122.44	122.32(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	32	20	30	39	1.78	47%	0.09	39.6	0.65%	0	1.4	61	0

16	Nov_22_2017	121.67	121.41	121.74	121.94	122.12	122.09	122.63(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	47	0	47	45	5.21	47%	0.01	14.3	0.65%	0	2.1	58	0
17	Nov_21_2017	121.66	121.34	121.63	121.7	121.86	121.72	121.51(0.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-25	-0	-35	7	4.96	45%	0.05	2.4	0.64%	0	0.3	53	0
18	Nov_20_2017	121.6	121.33	121.6	121.7	121.89	122.15	121.31(-1.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.8	21	20	17	32	8.36	45%	0.02	-4.7	0.65%	0	-0	55	0
19	Nov_17_2017	121.57	121.35	121.64	121.71	121.77	122	122.86(1.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	52	10	52	50	10.61	48%	0.04	-13.6	0.63%	0	2.8	61	0
20	Nov_16_2017	121.52	121.28	121.41	121.36	121.48	121.63	121.4(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	5	10	2	15	2.8	47%	0.02	-59	0.61%	0	0.3	55	0

21	Nov_15_2017	121.5	121.32	121.39	121.51	121.5	121.54	121.41(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	17	0	12	31	4.98	45%	0.02	-53.8	0.62%	0	0.2	60	0
22	Nov_14_2017	121.47	121.33	121.36	121.55	121.56	121.34	121.56(0.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-6	-10	-15	21	6.19	43%	0.02	-61	0.63%	0	0.5	51	0
23	Nov_13_2017	121.44	121.36	121.28	121.48	121.7	121.47	121.31(0.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-17	-10	-26	10	6.25	43%	0.02	-56	0.63%	0	-0.1	50	0
24	Nov_10_2017	121.42	121.43	121.26	121.55	121.67	121.79	121.13(-0.82%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-1	10	-6	16	7.12	45%	0.02	-35.4	0.63%	0	-0.4	45	0
25	Nov_9_2017	121.4	121.55	121.24	121.45	121.59	121.94	122.13(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	44	20	49	29	6.07	50%		-23.5	0.63%	0	0.7	52	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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