Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Sep. 1, 2017

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Thu. Jun. 20, 2024)

(SPDR Gold Shares)
GLD latest price $126.0600 (0.19%) ($125.1200 - $126.1700) on Fri. Sep. 1, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.6% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $126.0600(0.19%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GLD advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GLD advances 1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GLD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SLV(78%)    GDX(75%)    SIL(73%)    BWX(46%)    LQD(35%)
Factors Impacting GLD price   GLD will decline at least -0.3% in a week (0% probabilities).
TBT(-24%)    UUP(-14%)    XLF(-1%)    VIXM(-1%)    UNG(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.3% (StdDev 0.6%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $125.07(0.79%)
10 Day Moving Average   $123.88(1.76%)
20 Day Moving Average   $122.76(2.69%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   9.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GLD price fluctuates within 1.43% (three month std-dev: 0.6%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 0.47%(48%) Average negative next day return: -0.54%(52%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 1.39%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -1.07%(50%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 1.71%(54%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.61%(46%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20171001

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_1_2017	119.86	122.76	123.88	125.07	125.11	125.52	126.06(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	120	20	102	175	11.57	58%	0.03	69.2	0.6%	0	1.9	71	0
2	Aug_31_2017	119.82	122.43	123.49	124.41	124.66	124.78	125.82(1.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	77	10	60	127	11.78	58%	0.03	61.4	0.6%	0	2.1	63	0
3	Aug_30_2017	119.79	122.16	123.14	123.7	123.97	124.7	124.36(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	62	50	50	97	6.33	55%	0.03	58.5	0.58%	0	1.5	61	0
4	Aug_29_2017	119.75	121.96	122.89	123.36	123.47	124.53	124.42(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	150	60	156	130	9.86	55%	0.04	57.1	0.58%	0	1.8	66	0
5	Aug_28_2017	119.7	121.76	122.54	122.92	122.85	123.24	124.69(1.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	101	20	103	96	11.58	55%	0.04	59.2	0.59%	0	2.3	72	0

6	Aug_25_2017	119.65	121.55	122.25	122.53	122.42	122.41	122.74(0.37%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	11	-0	-5	58	12.4	54%	0.03	65.9	0.56%	0	1.1	69	0
7	Aug_24_2017	119.61	121.45	122.24	122.45	122.48	122.46	122.29(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	17	-0	-4	80	4.19	54%	0.02	68.9	0.56%	0	0.8	66	0
8	Aug_23_2017	119.59	121.32	122.23	122.49	122.59	122.43	122.67(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	26	-10	2	99	5.04	54%	0.03	75.8	0.56%	0	1.2	61	0
9	Aug_22_2017	119.55	121.18	122.1	122.33	122.52	122.5	122.21(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	23	0	-2	98	6.49	54%	0.02	76	0.57%	0	0.9	60	0
10	Aug_21_2017	119.53	121.03	121.88	122.08	122.27	122.75	122.76(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	61	30	47	101	5.55	54%	0.04	74.2	0.57%	0	1.5	61	0

11	Aug_18_2017	119.48	120.85	121.57	121.91	121.81	122.55	122.3(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	80	40	74	96	13.65	51%	0.03	80	0.57%	0	1.3	59	0
12	Aug_17_2017	119.44	120.7	121.31	122.01	121.6	121.8	122.49(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	68	0	61	88	8.18	56%	0.03	89	0.58%	0	1.5	60	0
13	Aug_16_2017	119.41	120.49	121.12	121.95	121.65	121.08	121.87(0.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-13	-40	-34	51	8.27	56%	0.03	96.1	0.61%	0	1.1	63	0
14	Aug_15_2017	119.38	120.3	120.97	121.84	121.87	121.4	120.98(-0.77%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.7	-38	-30	-64	39	6.73	54%	0.01	99	0.61%	0	0.5	58	0
15	Aug_14_2017	119.37	120.17	120.93	121.62	121.94	122.21	121.92(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	44	20	31	82	6.04	56%	0.03	94.8	0.6%	0	1.3	70	0

16	Aug_11_2017	119.34	119.94	120.81	121.14	121.39	122.33	122.79(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	109	60	110	105	8.02	58%	0.03	87	0.59%	0	1.9	73	0
17	Aug_10_2017	119.3	119.64	120.57	120.51	120.66	121.68	122.21(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	134	60	145	102	9.82	58%	0.03	77.3	0.59%	0	1.7	71	0
18	Aug_9_2017	119.26	119.32	120.32	120.18	120.04	120.45	121.31(1.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	80	20	82	73	9.19	57%	0.03	69.2	0.59%	0	1.3	73	0
19	Aug_8_2017	119.23	119.06	120.17	120	119.88	119.64	119.86(0.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-0	-20	-14	42	7.23	53%	0.02	62	0.58%	0	0.5	68	0
20	Aug_7_2017	119.21	118.86	120.17	120.16	120.08	119.63	119.51(-0.12%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.4	-39	-30	-64	38	3.01	53%	0.03	59.5	0.58%	0	0.4	66	0

21	Aug_4_2017	119.18	118.67	120.09	120.41	120.37	120.12	119.65(-0.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-22	-20	-53	72	8.64	50%	0.03	53.8	0.58%	0	0.5	73	0
22	Aug_3_2017	119.15	118.47	120.06	120.62	120.59	120.54	120.59(0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	30	-0	-2	124	4.28	48%	0.03	49.7	0.58%	0	1.1	85	0
23	Aug_2_2017	119.11	118.26	119.83	120.46	120.58	120.62	120.4(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	41	10	9	136	5.95	48%	0.05	43	0.61%	0	1.1	88	0
24	Aug_1_2017	119.05	118.06	119.61	120.35	120.4	120.65	120.65(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	67	20	35	161	7.37	46%	0.05	36.5	0.61%	0	1.4	87	0
25	Jul_31_2017	118.99	117.82	119.36	120.01	120.05	120.54	120.75(0.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	89	30	60	176	3.94	46%		27.3	0.61%	0	1.7	89	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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