Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GLD: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Sep. 2, 2016

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Thu. Jun. 20, 2024)

(SPDR Gold Shares)
GLD latest price $126.5700 (1.02%) ($125.5800 - $126.5700) on Fri. Sep. 2, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.05% (three month average)
RSI   41
Latest Price   $126.5700(1.02%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GLD advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GLD declines -1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GLD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SLV(78%)    GDX(76%)    SIL(74%)    BWX(48%)    LQD(36%)
Factors Impacting GLD price   GLD will decline at least -0.525% in a week (0% probabilities).
TBT(-26%)    UUP(-18%)    XLF(-4%)    IYT(-3%)    UNG(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.525% (StdDev 1.05%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $124.46(-1.67%)
Resistance Level   $127.09
5 Day Moving Average   $125.59(0.78%)
10 Day Moving Average   $126.17(0.32%)
20 Day Moving Average   $127.09(-0.41%)
To recent high   -3%
To recent low   9.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GLD price fluctuates within 0.94% (three month std-dev: 1.05%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0.13%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -0.14%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0.29%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161002

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_2_2016	123.91	127.09	126.17	125.59	125.37	125.63	126.57(1.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	15	10	36	-47	11.32	63%	0.07	-77.7	1.05%	0	-0.4	41	0
2	Sep_1_2016	123.82	127.14	126.29	125.49	125.35	124.91	125.29(0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-37	-30	-25	-73	12.88	63%	0.06	-78.6	1.05%	0	-1.4	37	0
3	Aug_31_2016	123.75	127.37	126.66	125.68	125.78	125.11	124.78(-0.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-53	-30	-46	-73	13.32	63%	0.04	-67.3	1.05%	0	-2	31	0
4	Aug_30_2016	123.7	127.62	127.03	125.99	126.1	125.79	125.03(-1.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-53	-10	-48	-67	9.88	63%	0.04	-57.4	1.05%	0	-2	28	0
5	Aug_29_2016	123.65	127.88	127.39	126.54	126.41	126.45	126.3(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-22	-0	-16	-40	5.56	63%	0.06	-35.2	1.04%	0	-1.4	39	0

6	Aug_26_2016	123.57	128.03	127.55	126.83	126.85	126.42	126.05(-0.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-16	-20	-11	-29	17.97	63%	0.06	-14.9	1.05%	0	-1.8	43	0
7	Aug_25_2016	123.5	128.18	127.71	127.22	127.1	126.38	126.23(-0.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-60	-40	-66	-42	5.93	63%	0.08	5	1.05%	0	-1.9	43	0
8	Aug_24_2016	123.4	128.27	127.87	127.79	127.6	127.28	126.34(-1.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-44	-20	-48	-30	13.54	59%	0.06	24.7	1.05%	0	-2.1	31	0
9	Aug_23_2016	123.32	128.37	128.11	128.22	128.18	127.81	127.76(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-10	-20	-10	-8	9.04	61%	0.1	49.3	1.07%	0	-0.6	38	0
10	Aug_22_2016	123.2	128.3	128.13	128.37	128.26	127.92	127.78(-0.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-32	-20	-34	-24	8.63	61%	0.09	42	1.07%	0	-0.5	35	0

11	Aug_19_2016	123.09	128.2	128.11	128.38	128.44	128.54	127.97(-0.88%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-4	10	1	-17	10.66	61%	0.09	34.4	1.07%	0	-0.2	43	0
12	Aug_18_2016	122.98	128.13	128.07	128.26	128.36	128.61	129.11(0.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	12	20	22	-18	9.5	57%	0.1	29.8	1.06%	0	0.8	50	0
13	Aug_17_2016	122.86	128.04	128.12	127.98	128.19	128.34	128.5(0.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	2	10	10	-21	12.03	57%	0.08	21.6	1.08%	0	0.4	55	0
14	Aug_16_2016	122.76	127.89	128.21	127.99	128.18	128.12	128.47(0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-2	0	3	-18	8.68	57%	0.09	11.8	1.09%	0	0.4	53	0
15	Aug_15_2016	122.65	127.83	128.37	127.89	128.27	128.04	127.84(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-9	-0	-9	-9	4.53	57%	0.05	9.8	1.08%	0	0	61	0

16	Aug_12_2016	122.59	127.79	128.51	127.81	128.3	128.24	127.4(-0.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-4	10	-7	4	15.4	57%	0.09	1	1.08%	0	-0.3	62	0
17	Aug_11_2016	122.48	127.77	128.68	127.84	128.09	128.5	127.67(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	7	30	2	20	9.76	57%	0.09	-10.7	1.09%	0	-0.1	57	0
18	Aug_10_2016	122.37	127.76	128.7	128.28	128.03	128.35	128.56(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	24	10	19	38	6.2	57%	0.08	-9.6	1.09%	0	0.6	56	0
19	Aug_9_2016	122.27	127.74	128.65	128.49	128.34	127.69	127.96(0.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-5	-40	-20	39	7.5	53%	0.07	-12.6	1.09%	0	0.2	61	0
20	Aug_8_2016	122.18	127.7	128.49	128.96	128.78	127.71	127.44(-0.09%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.1	-55	-60	-80	22	6.77	53%	0.07	-10.3	1.12%	0	-0.2	51	0

21	Aug_5_2016	122.1	127.78	128.34	129.31	129.47	128.99	127.55(-1.79%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.2	-27	-20	-48	38	16.21	53%	0.06	0	1.13%	0	-0.2	52	0
22	Aug_4_2016	122.03	127.92	128.25	129.6	129.71	129.85	129.87(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	26	10	11	69	4.91	57%	0.08	16.7	1.1%	0	1.3	61	0
23	Aug_3_2016	121.93	127.92	127.98	129.16	129.38	129.95	129.65(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	45	40	36	70	5.01	57%	0.1	19.7	1.1%	0	1.1	58	0
24	Aug_2_2016	121.81	127.89	127.55	128.83	128.9	129.56	130.27(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	66	40	67	64	7.65	57%	0.1	28.9	1.1%	0	1.5	55	0
25	Aug_1_2016	121.69	127.83	127.22	127.98	128.16	128.8	129.22(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	53	40	57	41	7.11	57%		22.2	1.1%	0	0.9	57	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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