Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Apr. 25, 2016

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Wed. Jun. 26, 2024)

(SPDR Gold Shares)
GLD latest price $118.2300 (0.29%) ($118.1100 - $118.7100) on Mon. Apr. 25, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.22% (three month average)
RSI   53
Latest Price   $118.2300(0.29%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GLD advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GLD advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GLD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SLV(78%)    GDX(76%)    SIL(73%)    BWX(48%)    LQD(36%)
Factors Impacting GLD price   GLD will decline at least -0.61% in a week (0% probabilities).
TBT(-28%)    UUP(-18%)    XLF(-6%)    IYT(-4%)    JETS(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.61% (StdDev 1.22%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $118.82(-0.5%)
10 Day Moving Average   $118.56(-0.28%)
20 Day Moving Average   $118.22(0.01%)
To recent high   -2.7%
To recent low   11.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GLD price fluctuates within 0.92% (three month std-dev: 1.22%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160525

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_25_2016	112.13	118.22	118.56	118.82	118.94	118.26	118.23(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-32	-40	-40	-6	4.37	67%	0.13	30.4	1.22%	0	0	53	0
2	Apr_22_2016	111.98	118.15	118.73	118.72	119.3	119.05	117.89(-1.28%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.7	-14	-0	-23	13	10.05	67%	0.15	13.8	1.22%	0	-0.2	58	0
3	Apr_21_2016	111.81	118.08	118.8	118.73	119.27	119.62	119.42(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	28	30	24	38	14.61	69%	0.17	-1	1.21%	0	1.1	60	0
4	Apr_20_2016	111.62	118.08	118.71	118.26	118.71	119.54	118.97(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	37	60	37	37	10.23	70%	0.16	-27.3	1.21%	0	0.9	55	0
5	Apr_19_2016	111.44	117.94	118.52	118.22	118.27	118.92	119.58(1.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	45	40	46	40	21.03	70%	0.16	-22.8	1.22%	0	1.4	59	0

6	Apr_18_2016	111.26	117.9	118.33	118.32	118.09	117.88	117.74(-0.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-2	-20	-8	17	5.81	69%	0.15	-17.3	1.2%	0	-0.1	46	0
7	Apr_15_2016	111.09	117.99	118.2	118.78	118.58	117.61	117.92(0.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-30	-60	-44	12	7.84	69%	0.06	-4.8	1.21%	0	-0.1	55	0
8	Apr_14_2016	111.02	118.09	118.11	118.88	119.12	118.31	117.11(-1.4%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.4	-42	-40	-59	11	13.17	67%	0.14	-7.2	1.22%	0	-0.7	54	0
9	Apr_13_2016	110.86	118.26	118.18	119.18	119.3	119.54	118.77(-1.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	9	20	-3	45	8.84	69%	0.15	2.5	1.22%	0	0.4	58	0
10	Apr_12_2016	110.69	118.22	118.02	118.81	118.99	119.93	120.05(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	61	60	63	56	9.69	69%	0.16	-13.6	1.21%	0	1.3	51	0

11	Apr_11_2016	110.51	118.1	117.85	118.33	118.18	119.06	120.03(1.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	61	50	66	45	9.85	69%	0.16	-34.5	1.21%	0	1.5	52	0
12	Apr_8_2016	110.33	118.05	117.5	117.56	117.63	118.05	118.43(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	37	30	47	8	9.08	68%	0.15	-56.9	1.21%	0	0.3	44	0
13	Apr_7_2016	110.17	118.18	117.29	117.26	117.16	117.3	118.61(1.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	5	10	15	-26	11.9	69%	0.15	-53.2	1.22%	0	0.3	43	0
14	Apr_6_2016	110	118.22	117.08	117.06	116.81	117.22	116.94(-0.61%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-13	20	1	-53	7.55	69%	0.14	-53.5	1.21%	0	-0.8	35	0
15	Apr_5_2016	109.85	118.4	117.29	117.1	117.09	117.02	117.66(1.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	8	-0	23	-39	8.87	69%	0.14	-43.9	1.22%	0	-0.5	50	0

16	Apr_4_2016	109.7	118.57	117.4	117.32	117.07	116.4	116.15(-0.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-47	-50	-43	-57	7.64	69%	0.12	-31.7	1.21%	0	-1.5	45	0
17	Apr_1_2016	109.57	118.79	117.76	117.41	117.45	117.17	116.93(-0.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-29	-20	-23	-47	10.41	69%	0.13	-22.2	1.22%	0	-1.2	42	0
18	Mar_31_2016	109.43	118.98	118.07	117.29	117.51	117.74	117.64(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-1	20	12	-41	9.35	69%	0.13	-16.5	1.22%	0	-0.8	37	0
19	Mar_30_2016	109.29	119.04	118.34	117.08	117.17	117.73	117.1(-1.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	3	40	18	-41	10.77	69%	0.13	-17.7	1.22%	0	-1.3	44	0
20	Mar_29_2016	109.15	119.1	118.45	117.52	116.95	117.28	118.76(1.85%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	2	10	17	-42	14.47	71%	0.14	-8.6	1.21%	0	-0.2	44	0

21	Mar_28_2016	109	119.09	118.37	117.56	117.35	116.61	116.6(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-37	-50	-25	-72	3.88	70%	0.16	1.6	1.19%	0	-1.6	36	0
22	Mar_24_2016	108.83	119.15	118.66	118.2	117.95	116.62	116.33(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-91	-90	-92	-88	6.28	70%	0.09	12.2	1.2%	0	-1.9	38	0
23	Mar_23_2016	108.73	119.25	119.18	118.96	118.75	118.1	116.61(-2.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-80	-40	-85	-66	15.99	70%	0.09	27.8	1.2%	0	-1.9	38	0
24	Mar_22_2016	108.63	119.32	119.5	119.76	119.75	119.27	119.31(0.29%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-2	-30	1	-11	6.79	74%	0.11	53.2	1.16%	0	-0	54	0
25	Mar_21_2016	108.51	119.23	119.62	119.49	119.62	119.41	118.96(-0.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-22	-10	-24	-17	7.24	75%		48.8	1.16%	0	-0.2	56	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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