Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Aug. 17, 2015

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Fri. Jun. 21, 2024)

(SPDR Gold Shares)
GLD latest price $107.1300 (0.26%) ($107.0000 - $107.5100) on Mon. Aug. 17, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.68% (three month average)
RSI   62
Latest Price   $107.1300(0.26%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GLD advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GLD advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GLD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SLV(78%)    GDX(76%)    SIL(73%)    BWX(48%)    LQD(35%)
Factors Impacting GLD price   GLD will decline at least -0.34% in a week (0% probabilities).
TBT(-28%)    UUP(-20%)    XLF(-8%)    JETS(-3%)    PEJ(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.34% (StdDev 0.68%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $106.97(0.15%)
10 Day Moving Average   $105.86(1.2%)
20 Day Moving Average   $105.34(1.7%)
To recent high   -8.8%
To recent low   3.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GLD price fluctuates within 1.01% (three month std-dev: 0.68%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150917

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_17_2015	112.05	105.34	105.86	106.97	107.14	107.11	107.13(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	51	0	30	114	5.77	32%	-0.07	-34.7	0.68%	0	1.7	62	0
2	Aug_14_2015	112.13	105.26	105.56	106.69	106.89	106.95	106.85(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	32	10	13	90	3.51	32%	-0.08	-56	0.68%	0	1.3	61	0
3	Aug_13_2015	112.22	105.32	105.35	106.25	106.52	107.16	106.86(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	68	50	61	87	4.76	39%	-0.07	-62.2	0.68%	0	1	57	0
4	Aug_12_2015	112.3	105.44	105.09	105.75	105.99	106.84	107.75(1.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	109	60	117	85	10.02	41%	-0.06	-64.7	0.72%	0	1.3	68	0
5	Aug_11_2015	112.37	105.52	104.79	104.99	105.24	105.89	106.26(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	76	50	87	43	4.06	36%	-0.07	-69.1	0.7%	0	0.4	58	0

6	Aug_10_2015	112.45	105.71	104.65	104.6	104.7	105.14	105.72(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	48	30	60	11	5.89	36%	-0.07	-66.7	0.7%	0	0	50	0
7	Aug_7_2015	112.53	105.95	104.55	104.28	104.43	104.59	104.65(0.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	14	20	26	-24	4.4	31%	-0.07	-65.6	0.69%	0	-0.5	41	0
8	Aug_6_2015	112.61	106.27	104.55	104.33	104.33	104.27	104.39(0.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-22	-0	-9	-61	3.91	31%	-0.07	-61.7	0.69%	0	-0.7	26	0
9	Aug_5_2015	112.69	106.6	104.61	104.31	104.53	104.28	103.93(-0.36%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-40	-10	-17	-107	5.04	31%	-0.05	-61.1	0.69%	0	-0.9	20	0
10	Aug_4_2015	112.75	106.96	104.7	104.56	104.57	104.39	104.31(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-67	-10	-40	-146	3.24	31%	-0.06	-60.9	0.69%	0	-0.9	20	0

11	Aug_3_2015	112.82	107.28	104.81	104.7	104.73	104.79	104.1(-0.79%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-48	0	-8	-166	3.53	31%	-0.06	-61.6	0.7%	0	-1.1	18	0
12	Jul_31_2015	112.89	107.67	104.97	104.85	104.9	104.74	104.93(0.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-46	-10	4	-195	6.69	33%	-0.05	-62.8	0.7%	0	-0.9	18	0
13	Jul_30_2015	112.95	108.01	105.3	104.93	104.86	104.67	104.27(-0.86%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-81	-10	-31	-232	6.65	30%	-0.05	-62.8	0.69%	0	-1.3	13	0
14	Jul_29_2015	113.01	108.4	105.82	104.95	104.91	105.06	105.17(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-51	10	6	-223	5.62	31%	-0.06	-64.8	0.72%	0	-1.1	15	0
15	Jul_28_2015	113.08	108.76	106.29	104.87	104.83	105.05	105.02(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-40	10	23	-228	5.55	31%	-0.06	-66.9	0.72%	0	-1.3	17	0

16	Jul_27_2015	113.15	109.16	106.83	104.94	104.71	104.77	104.86(-0.47%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0	-59	-0	0	-236	10.69	39%	-0.06	-68.1	0.73%	0	-1.5	19	0
17	Jul_24_2015	113.22	109.55	107.43	105.11	104.88	104.6	105.35(0.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-87	-30	-36	-238	11.57	36%	-0.09	-73.7	0.78%	0	-1.5	17	0
18	Jul_23_2015	113.32	109.92	108.04	105.77	105.29	104.66	104.33(-0.45%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-134	-60	-97	-243	5.78	33%	-0.1	-76.1	0.78%	0	-2.1	12	0
19	Jul_22_2015	113.43	110.35	108.75	106.86	106.32	105.15	104.8(-0.54%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-147	-90	-123	-217	8.35	31%	-0.1	-76.7	0.79%	0	-2.3	12	0
20	Jul_21_2015	113.54	110.78	109.41	107.93	107.61	105.92	105.37(-0.31%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.2	-173	-120	-163	-201	10.52	31%	-0.09	-76.2	0.8%	0	-2.6	13	0

21	Jul_20_2015	113.64	111.21	109.99	109	108.68	107.49	105.7(-2.72%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.9	-180	-90	-179	-183	15.75	31%	-0.1	-75.8	0.81%	0	-3.1	12	0
22	Jul_17_2015	113.75	111.69	110.66	110.06	109.86	109.3	108.65(-1.01%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-82	-40	-72	-113	14.86	35%	-0.06	-69	0.74%	0	-2.2	23	0
23	Jul_16_2015	113.82	112.02	110.98	110.63	110.33	109.87	109.76(-0.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-69	-40	-61	-92	4.63	38%	-0.06	-51.2	0.74%	0	-1.6	29	0
24	Jul_15_2015	113.89	112.23	111.21	110.95	110.73	110.42	110.16(-0.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-54	-30	-46	-78	9.29	38%	-0.04	-47.9	0.74%	0	-1.5	30	0
25	Jul_14_2015	113.94	112.4	111.43	111.13	111.13	110.8	110.74(-0.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-32	-20	-21	-65	2.6	38%		-45.6	0.74%	0	-1.3	31	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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