Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GLD: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Mar. 19, 2015

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Wed. May. 22, 2024)

(SPDR Gold Shares)
GLD latest price $112.2900 (-0.07%) ($111.5800 - $112.5800) on Thu. Mar. 19, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.08% (three month average)
RSI   25
Latest Price   $112.2900(-0.07%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GLD advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GLD declines -1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GLD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SLV(78%)    GDX(76%)    SIL(73%)    BWX(48%)    LQD(35%)
Factors Impacting GLD price   GLD will decline at least -0.54% in a week (0% probabilities).
TBT(-27%)    UUP(-22%)    XLF(-8%)    PEJ(-1%)    XRT(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.54% (StdDev 1.08%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $108.16(-3.68%)
Resistance Level   $113.31
5 Day Moving Average   $111.31(0.88%)
10 Day Moving Average   $111.33(0.86%)
20 Day Moving Average   $113.31(-0.9%)
To recent high   -10.3%
To recent low   1.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GLD price fluctuates within 1.92% (three month std-dev: 1.08%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 1.45%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.61%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 2.28%(75%) Average negative next three day return: -2.53%(25%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 4.83%(75%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.93%(25%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150419

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_19_2015	115.94	113.31	111.33	111.31	111.17	111.75	112.29(-0.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	22	30	54	-75	6.54	53%	-0.03	-61.5	1.08%	0	-0.5	25	0
2	Mar_18_2015	115.98	113.48	111.55	111	110.89	110.86	112.37(1.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-9	-0	22	-102	12.45	53%	-0.05	-66.5	1.08%	0	-0.5	26	0
3	Mar_17_2015	116.04	113.67	111.78	110.67	110.74	110.6	110.21(-0.54%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-52	-10	-23	-137	8.92	49%	-0.07	-74	1.05%	0	-1.5	11	0
4	Mar_16_2015	116.12	113.97	112.29	110.92	110.88	110.91	110.81(-0.06%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-38	0	-9	-126	3.27	49%	-0.07	-81.6	1.05%	0	-1.5	19	0
5	Mar_13_2015	116.2	114.33	112.77	111.15	111.1	110.89	110.88(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-37	-10	-10	-116	4.56	45%	-0.07	-80.2	1.1%	0	-1.6	18	0

6	Mar_12_2015	116.28	114.66	113.29	111.34	111.42	110.84	110.72(-0.03%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-66	-30	-47	-124	6.63	45%	-0.08	-90.8	1.1%	0	-1.9	19	0
7	Mar_11_2015	116.37	114.99	113.83	112.2	111.84	111.31	110.75(-0.6%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-86	-40	-76	-114	6.55	45%	-0.09	-97.1	1.11%	0	-2.2	17	0
8	Mar_10_2015	116.47	115.38	114.34	113.07	112.96	112.01	111.42(-0.49%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-62	-60	-54	-87	7.02	45%	-0.07	-99.4	1.1%	0	-2.2	17	0
9	Mar_9_2015	116.55	115.77	114.76	113.88	113.87	112.37	111.97(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-103	-90	-107	-91	5.53	49%	-0.07	-100.7	1.1%	0	-2.2	23	0
10	Mar_6_2015	116.63	116.11	115.13	114.62	114.78	113.92	111.86(-2.73%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.7	-96	-50	-101	-79	11.19	51%	-0.06	-111.8	1.14%	0	-2.7	16	0

11	Mar_5_2015	116.7	116.61	115.51	115.48	115.68	115.38	115(-0.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-27	-10	-24	-37	5.87	53%	-0.03	-88.4	1.09%	0	-0.9	32	0
12	Mar_4_2015	116.74	116.92	115.61	115.7	115.98	115.64	115.11(-0.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-26	-10	-23	-36	4.76	53%	-0.03	-78.6	1.1%	0	-0.9	36	0
13	Mar_3_2015	116.78	117.21	115.73	115.82	116.19	115.99	115.47(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-20	-0	-13	-39	4.74	53%	-0.03	-80.3	1.1%	0	-0.8	30	0
14	Mar_2_2015	116.81	117.54	115.78	115.77	116.14	116.32	115.68(-0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-8	20	5	-46	7.99	51%	-0.02	-75.1	1.11%	0	-0.8	28	0
15	Feb_27_2015	116.83	117.91	115.99	115.72	115.87	116.39	116.16(0.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	10	40	25	-37	8.26	53%	-0.02	-69.5	1.26%	0	-0.7	34	0

16	Feb_26_2015	116.85	118.13	116.1	115.55	115.6	115.97	116.07(0.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	7	20	28	-56	4.03	53%	-0.01	-79.2	1.27%	0	-0.8	23	0
17	Feb_25_2015	116.86	118.49	116.19	115.52	115.47	115.36	115.7(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-22	-10	0	-86	5.03	53%	-0.01	-76.2	1.27%	0	-1	23	0
18	Feb_24_2015	116.87	118.91	116.45	115.65	115.59	115.24	115.26(-0.15%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-41	-20	-21	-102	7.61	53%	-0.01	-71.1	1.27%	0	-1.2	24	0
19	Feb_23_2015	116.88	119.3	116.83	115.8	115.82	115.59	115.43(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-47	-10	-25	-113	4.81	53%	0.01	-70.3	1.27%	0	-1.3	22	0
20	Feb_20_2015	116.87	119.74	117.15	116.31	115.99	115.94	115.28(-0.57%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-48	-10	-24	-121	6.68	54%	-0.01	-61.1	1.27%	0	-1.5	19	0

21	Feb_19_2015	116.88	120.23	117.78	116.72	116.59	116.06	115.94(-0.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-34	-40	-10	-104	6.53	52%	-0.01	-47.2	1.28%	0	-1.4	36	0
22	Feb_18_2015	116.89	120.65	118.33	116.95	116.92	116.05	116.34(0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-75	-50	-58	-126	8.34	52%	0	-37.5	1.28%	0	-1.5	30	0
23	Feb_17_2015	116.89	121.05	118.8	117.37	117.37	117.12	116.01(-1.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-68	-10	-49	-126	7.23	52%	-0.01	-26.4	1.29%	0	-1.8	28	0
24	Feb_13_2015	116.9	121.4	119.44	118.01	117.99	117.79	117.98(0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-25	-10	-1	-96	4.11	57%	0	-12.9	1.3%	0	-1.3	37	0
25	Feb_12_2015	116.9	121.58	119.97	118.14	118.23	117.63	117.34(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-59	-30	-41	-114	4.34	57%		-3	1.3%	0	-1.8	32	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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