Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jan. 13, 2014

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Thu. May. 30, 2024)

(SPDR Gold Shares)
GLD latest price $121.0200 (0.63%) ($120.2000 - $121.0400) on Mon. Jan. 13, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.08% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $121.0200(0.63%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GLD advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GLD advances 1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GLD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GDX(77%)    TIP(35%)    GDXJ(34%)    LQD(34%)    TLT(26%)
Factors Impacting GLD price   GLD will decline at least -0.54% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-23%)    PEJ(-3%)    UNG(-0%)    DIA(0%)    XLY(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.54% (StdDev 1.08%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $119.34(1.41%)
10 Day Moving Average   $118.58(2.06%)
20 Day Moving Average   $117.87(2.67%)
To recent high   -7.3%
To recent low   5.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GLD price fluctuates within 1.48% (three month std-dev: 1.08%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.89%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 1.91%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 4.51%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140213

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_13_2014	124.7	117.87	118.58	119.34	119.24	120.32	121.02(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	80	60	73	102	5.88	46%	-0.11	-2	1.08%	0	1.8	70	0
2	Jan_10_2014	124.84	117.87	118.18	119.03	118.73	119.16	120.26(1.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	65	20	54	98	7.99	41%	-0.1	-7.2	1.09%	0	1.6	72	0
3	Jan_9_2014	124.97	117.71	117.81	118.84	118.53	118.17	118.46(0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	9	-30	-10	65	3.97	38%	-0.11	-8.6	1.08%	0	0.5	52	0
4	Jan_8_2014	125.11	117.86	117.58	118.75	118.71	118.31	118.12(-0.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-4	-20	-21	48	7.43	38%	-0.12	0.7	1.09%	0	0.2	47	0
5	Jan_7_2014	125.26	117.92	117.34	118.35	118.73	118.89	118.82(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	25	20	21	38	6.44	38%	-0.1	0	1.09%	0	0.5	45	0

6	Jan_6_2014	125.39	117.9	117.05	117.66	117.98	119.11	119.5(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	46	80	55	20	10.11	38%	-0.11	-15.2	1.09%	0	0.8	48	0
7	Jan_3_2014	125.53	117.83	116.57	117.18	117.14	118.57	119.29(1.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	78	80	100	10	5.88	38%	-0.1	-25.3	1.09%	0	0.8	52	0
8	Jan_2_2014	125.66	117.85	116.36	116.67	116.67	116.84	118(1.62%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.7	42	10	66	-32	7.57	40%	-0.1	-33.1	1.08%	0	0.1	39	0
9	Dec_31_2013	125.79	117.84	116.38	116.29	116.39	115.71	116.12(0.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-52	-40	-37	-97	12.84	33%	-0.1	-44.1	1.09%	0	-0.9	31	0
10	Dec_30_2013	125.92	117.93	116.71	116.18	116.48	116.5	115.39(-1.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-42	10	-25	-93	6.71	33%	-0.1	-52.9	1.14%	0	-1.4	38	0

11	Dec_27_2013	126.04	118.2	117.1	116.29	116.45	117.06	117.12(0.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	17	40	43	-62	4.21	35%	-0.08	-50.6	1.13%	0	-0.6	46	0
12	Dec_26_2013	126.14	118.31	117.2	115.83	116.08	116.47	116.74(0.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	8	30	36	-77	3.87	35%	-0.04	-58.9	1.13%	0	-0.8	46	0
13	Dec_24_2013	126.19	118.47	117.59	116.01	115.68	115.83	116.1(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-37	0	-18	-93	3.35	35%	-0.08	-65.6	1.13%	0	-1.3	39	0
14	Dec_23_2013	126.29	118.69	118.14	116.52	116.3	115.7	115.57(-0.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-37	-40	-26	-70	6.24	35%	-0.09	-66	1.13%	0	-1.8	46	0
15	Dec_20_2013	126.4	118.92	118.57	117.34	117.13	115.52	115.94(0.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-91	-100	-98	-71	14.7	32%	-0.09	-70.8	1.13%	0	-1.8	48	0

16	Dec_19_2013	126.51	119.13	118.87	118.03	118.12	116.91	114.82(-2.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-101	-70	-112	-67	15.98	32%	-0.1	-78.4	1.17%	0	-2.9	37	0
17	Dec_18_2013	126.64	119.42	119.27	118.72	119.07	118.73	117.61(-0.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-33	-10	-35	-25	16.27	43%	-0.09	-100	1.14%	0	-1.6	46	0
18	Dec_17_2013	126.75	119.68	119.52	119.37	119.05	119.32	118.65(-0.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-20	10	-25	-5	8.59	43%	-0.07	-73.6	1.27%	0	-0.8	47	0
19	Dec_16_2013	126.84	119.88	119.48	119.37	119.62	119.4	119.69(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	12	-20	11	14	8.19	43%	-0.08	-56.8	1.26%	0	-0.1	48	0
20	Dec_13_2013	126.94	120.09	119.28	120.01	120.18	118.78	119.38(0.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-35	-80	-41	-15	6.48	43%	-0.07	-47.9	1.27%	0	-0.4	49	0

21	Dec_12_2013	127.03	120.32	119.4	120.01	120.25	119.83	118.29(-2.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-60	-10	-71	-27	8.81	39%	-0.07	-49.4	1.26%	0	-1.1	46	0
22	Dec_11_2013	127.12	120.54	119.53	119.85	120.31	121.58	120.86(-0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	47	90	55	21	9.93	42%	-0.07	-60	1.29%	0	0.2	52	0
23	Dec_10_2013	127.21	120.61	119.4	119.67	119.57	120.67	121.82(1.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	72	60	89	19	9.16	40%	-0.05	-71.2	1.29%	0	0.6	44	0
24	Dec_9_2013	127.28	120.69	119.4	118.9	118.91	119.03	119.72(0.99%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.4	20	10	36	-28	5.51	37%	-0.05	-84.3	1.28%	0	-0.5	38	0
25	Dec_6_2013	127.34	120.91	119.23	118.47	118.51	118.48	118.55(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-32	-0	-17	-75	7.91	39%		-91.7	1.27%	0	-1.1	29	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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