Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GLD: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Dec. 27, 2013

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Tue. Jun. 25, 2024)

(SPDR Gold Shares)
GLD latest price $117.1200 (0.33%) ($116.8500 - $117.3800) on Fri. Dec. 27, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.13% (three month average)
RSI   46
Latest Price   $117.1200(0.33%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GLD advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GLD declines -1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GLD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(35%)    LQD(34%)    TLT(26%)    BNDX(24%)    IGOV(24%)
Factors Impacting GLD price   GLD will decline at least -0.565% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-5%)    GDXJ(-4%)    UNG(-3%)    PEJ(-3%)    GDX(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.565% (StdDev 1.13%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $113.93(-2.72%)
Resistance Level   $118.2
5 Day Moving Average   $116.29(0.71%)
10 Day Moving Average   $117.1(0.02%)
20 Day Moving Average   $118.2(-0.91%)
To recent high   -10.3%
To recent low   2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GLD price fluctuates within 1.56% (three month std-dev: 1.13%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.29%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -1.34%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.55%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140127

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_27_2013	126.04	118.2	117.1	116.29	116.45	117.06	117.12(0.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	17	40	43	-62	4.21	35%	-0.08	-50.6	1.13%	0	-0.6	46	0
2	Dec_26_2013	126.14	118.31	117.2	115.83	116.08	116.47	116.74(0.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	8	30	36	-77	3.87	35%	-0.04	-58.9	1.13%	0	-0.8	46	0
3	Dec_24_2013	126.19	118.47	117.59	116.01	115.68	115.83	116.1(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-37	0	-18	-93	3.35	35%	-0.08	-65.6	1.13%	0	-1.3	39	0
4	Dec_23_2013	126.29	118.69	118.14	116.52	116.3	115.7	115.57(-0.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-37	-40	-26	-70	6.24	35%	-0.09	-66	1.13%	0	-1.8	46	0
5	Dec_20_2013	126.4	118.92	118.57	117.34	117.13	115.52	115.94(0.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-91	-100	-98	-71	14.7	32%	-0.09	-70.8	1.13%	0	-1.8	48	0

6	Dec_19_2013	126.51	119.13	118.87	118.03	118.12	116.91	114.82(-2.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-101	-70	-112	-67	15.98	32%	-0.1	-78.4	1.17%	0	-2.9	37	0
7	Dec_18_2013	126.64	119.42	119.27	118.72	119.07	118.73	117.61(-0.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-33	-10	-35	-25	16.27	43%	-0.09	-100	1.14%	0	-1.6	46	0
8	Dec_17_2013	126.75	119.68	119.52	119.37	119.05	119.32	118.65(-0.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-20	10	-25	-5	8.59	43%	-0.07	-73.6	1.27%	0	-0.8	47	0
9	Dec_16_2013	126.84	119.88	119.48	119.37	119.62	119.4	119.69(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	12	-20	11	14	8.19	43%	-0.08	-56.8	1.26%	0	-0.1	48	0
10	Dec_13_2013	126.94	120.09	119.28	120.01	120.18	118.78	119.38(0.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-35	-80	-41	-15	6.48	43%	-0.07	-47.9	1.27%	0	-0.4	49	0

11	Dec_12_2013	127.03	120.32	119.4	120.01	120.25	119.83	118.29(-2.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-60	-10	-71	-27	8.81	39%	-0.07	-49.4	1.26%	0	-1.1	46	0
12	Dec_11_2013	127.12	120.54	119.53	119.85	120.31	121.58	120.86(-0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	47	90	55	21	9.93	42%	-0.07	-60	1.29%	0	0.2	52	0
13	Dec_10_2013	127.21	120.61	119.4	119.67	119.57	120.67	121.82(1.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	72	60	89	19	9.16	40%	-0.05	-71.2	1.29%	0	0.6	44	0
14	Dec_9_2013	127.28	120.69	119.4	118.9	118.91	119.03	119.72(0.99%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.4	20	10	36	-28	5.51	37%	-0.05	-84.3	1.28%	0	-0.5	38	0
15	Dec_6_2013	127.34	120.91	119.23	118.47	118.51	118.48	118.55(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-32	-0	-17	-75	7.91	39%	-0.04	-91.7	1.27%	0	-1.1	29	0

16	Dec_5_2013	127.39	121.28	119.37	118.9	118.44	118.8	118.3(-1.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-25	10	-7	-77	10.25	38%	-0.04	-83.2	1.29%	0	-1.3	28	0
17	Dec_4_2013	127.44	121.71	119.56	119.13	119.06	118.54	119.96(1.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-7	-30	15	-74	9.11	39%	-0.04	-79.2	1.29%	0	-0.7	39	0
18	Dec_3_2013	127.49	122.03	119.82	119.1	119.22	118.08	117.96(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-87	-60	-78	-112	7	36%	-0.05	-80.8	1.28%	0	-1.5	33	0
19	Dec_2_2013	127.56	122.47	120.31	119.6	119.76	119.58	117.58(-2.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-58	-10	-46	-93	10.3	36%	-0.05	-82.5	1.29%	0	-1.8	28	0
20	Nov_29_2013	127.62	122.94	120.98	120.07	120.15	120.37	120.7(1.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	3	10	23	-58	2.36	39%	0.02	-87.9	1.26%	0	-0.9	33	0

21	Nov_27_2013	127.59	123.29	121.31	119.92	119.98	119.94	119.46(-0.3%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-21	-0	-1	-80	6.14	39%	-0.01	-82.3	1.24%	0	-1.3	21	0
22	Nov_26_2013	127.6	123.78	121.66	120.05	119.95	119.93	119.82(-0.53%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-39	-0	-18	-100	9.05	39%	0	-78.4	1.25%	0	-1.3	20	0
23	Nov_25_2013	127.6	124.27	121.94	120.68	120.22	120.02	120.46(0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-44	-20	-23	-105	7.27	39%	0.02	-70.5	1.25%	0	-1.2	25	0
24	Nov_22_2013	127.58	124.77	122.28	121.17	121	119.97	119.92(-0.02%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-65	-60	-48	-115	6.78	42%	-0.05	-61.1	1.27%	0	-1.5	22	0
25	Nov_21_2013	127.65	125.3	122.73	122.05	121.79	120.43	119.94(-0.15%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-107	-80	-100	-128	7.56	42%		-51	1.27%	0	-1.7	22	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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