Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GLD: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Dec. 3, 2013

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Wed. May. 29, 2024)

(SPDR Gold Shares)
GLD latest price $117.9600 (0.32%) ($117.2300 - $118.3100) on Tue. Dec. 3, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.28% (three month average)
RSI   33
Latest Price   $117.9600(0.32%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GLD declines -0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GLD declines -1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GLD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(35%)    LQD(34%)    TLT(26%)    BNDX(24%)    IGOV(24%)
Factors Impacting GLD price   GLD will decline at least -0.64% in a week (0% probabilities).
PEJ(-2%)    XLY(1%)    XOP(2%)    XLK(2%)    XAR(2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.64% (StdDev 1.28%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $116.14(-1.54%)
Resistance Level   $122.03
5 Day Moving Average   $119.1(-0.96%)
10 Day Moving Average   $119.82(-1.55%)
20 Day Moving Average   $122.03(-3.34%)
To recent high   -13.5%
To recent low   0.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GLD price fluctuates within 2.24% (three month std-dev: 1.28%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.46%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.23%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 1.71%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -1.54%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0.34%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.5%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140103

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_3_2013	127.49	122.03	119.82	119.1	119.22	118.08	117.96(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-87	-60	-78	-112	7	36%	-0.05	-80.8	1.28%	0	-1.5	33	NAN
2	Dec_2_2013	127.56	122.47	120.31	119.6	119.76	119.58	117.58(-2.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-58	-10	-46	-93	10.3	36%	-0.05	-82.5	1.29%	0	-1.8	28	NAN
3	Nov_29_2013	127.62	122.94	120.98	120.07	120.15	120.37	120.7(1.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	3	10	23	-58	2.36	39%	0.02	-87.9	1.26%	0	-0.9	33	NAN
4	Nov_27_2013	127.59	123.29	121.31	119.92	119.98	119.94	119.46(-0.3%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-21	-0	-1	-80	6.14	39%	-0.01	-82.3	1.24%	0	-1.3	21	NAN
5	Nov_26_2013	127.6	123.78	121.66	120.05	119.95	119.93	119.82(-0.53%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-39	-0	-18	-100	9.05	39%	0	-78.4	1.25%	0	-1.3	20	NAN

6	Nov_25_2013	127.6	124.27	121.94	120.68	120.22	120.02	120.46(0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-44	-20	-23	-105	7.27	39%	0.02	-70.5	1.25%	0	-1.2	25	NAN
7	Nov_22_2013	127.58	124.77	122.28	121.17	121	119.97	119.92(-0.02%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-65	-60	-48	-115	6.78	42%	-0.05	-61.1	1.27%	0	-1.5	22	NAN
8	Nov_21_2013	127.65	125.3	122.73	122.05	121.79	120.43	119.94(-0.15%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-107	-80	-100	-128	7.56	42%	-0.01	-51	1.27%	0	-1.7	22	NAN
9	Nov_20_2013	127.66	125.8	123.35	122.91	122.9	122.02	120.12(-2.3%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-80	-50	-71	-105	14.28	42%	0	-43.6	1.27%	0	-1.9	20	NAN
10	Nov_19_2013	127.66	126.25	124.06	123.46	123.71	123.16	122.95(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-38	-30	-22	-85	3.67	45%	0.02	-34.3	1.24%	0	-1.2	21	NAN

11	Nov_18_2013	127.64	126.58	124.41	123.36	123.66	123.77	122.9(-1.14%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-40	10	-20	-98	6.24	45%	0.03	-27.7	1.24%	0	-1.4	20	NAN
12	Nov_15_2013	127.6	126.8	124.8	123.55	123.57	124.26	124.32(0.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	1	40	31	-89	4.66	48%	0.06	-20.1	1.24%	0	-1	21	NAN
13	Nov_14_2013	127.52	126.94	125.05	123.54	123.46	123.55	124.27(1.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-9	0	22	-103	7.67	48%	0.05	-12.8	1.27%	0	-1.1	21	NAN
14	Nov_13_2013	127.46	127.12	125.38	123.92	123.45	122.88	122.85(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-71	-40	-50	-133	5.97	48%	-0.01	-2.6	1.27%	0	-1.8	17	NAN
15	Nov_12_2013	127.47	127.2	126.05	124.79	124.3	123.37	122.45(-1.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-76	-60	-61	-119	7.71	50%	-0.01	2.7	1.27%	0	-2	25	NAN

16	Nov_11_2013	127.48	127.31	126.79	125.61	125.37	124.03	123.87(-0.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-79	-80	-70	-106	3.28	50%	-0.01	5.4	1.28%	0	-1.5	26	NAN
17	Nov_8_2013	127.49	127.3	127.46	126.2	126.03	125.23	124.28(-1.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-83	-50	-81	-88	8.43	53%	0	3.1	1.28%	0	-1.2	43	NAN
18	Nov_7_2013	127.49	127.26	128.08	126.74	126.75	126.7	126.16(-0.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-19	-0	-12	-38	7.7	55%	-0.03	2.1	1.3%	0	-0.5	50	NAN
19	Nov_6_2013	127.53	127.18	128.47	127.05	126.88	126.84	127.2(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-13	-10	-9	-24	3.54	55%	-0.04	0.5	1.29%	0	0	51	NAN
20	Nov_5_2013	127.58	127.13	128.63	127.53	127.06	126.8	126.56(-0.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-27	-30	-33	-7	4.94	55%	-0.05	4.2	1.3%	0	-0.2	65	NAN

21	Nov_4_2013	127.65	127.17	128.93	128.17	127.96	126.91	126.81(-0.11%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.6	-27	-60	-42	20	3.82	55%	-0.06	17.2	1.31%	0	-0.1	65	NAN
22	Nov_1_2013	127.73	127.22	128.99	128.92	128.7	127.33	126.95(-0.62%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.8	-63	-80	-94	29	9.57	55%	-0.05	25	1.31%	0	-0.1	68	NAN
23	Oct_31_2013	127.8	127.2	128.99	129.63	129.66	129	127.74(-1.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-25	-30	-58	74	7.75	55%	-0.05	28.6	1.31%	0	0.2	72	NAN
24	Oct_30_2013	127.86	127.17	129.03	130.06	130.21	130.07	129.6(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	25	-0	-6	118	8.9	58%	-0.03	33	1.3%	0	1	70	NAN
25	Oct_29_2013	127.9	127.02	128.47	129.88	130.14	130.33	129.77(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	35	20	8	114	5.33	58%		27.7	1.3%	0	1.1	61	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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