Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GLD: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Sep. 23, 2013

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Fri. Jun. 14, 2024)

(SPDR Gold Shares)
GLD latest price $127.5500 (-0.32%) ($127.3300 - $128.4400) on Mon. Sep. 23, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.47% (three month average)
RSI   32
Latest Price   $127.5500(-0.32%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GLD advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GLD declines -1.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GLD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(35%)    LQD(34%)    TLT(26%)    IGOV(25%)    BNDX(24%)
Factors Impacting GLD price   GLD will decline at least -0.735% in a week (0% probabilities).
PEJ(-2%)    XLY(1%)    XOP(2%)    XLK(2%)    XAR(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.735% (StdDev 1.47%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

Resistance Level   $131.91
5 Day Moving Average   $129.15(-1.24%)
10 Day Moving Average   $129.08(-1.19%)
20 Day Moving Average   $131.91(-3.31%)
To recent high   -6.7%
To recent low   10%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GLD price fluctuates within 2.66% (three month std-dev: 1.47%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 0.51%(75%) Average negative next day return: -0.84%(25%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 1.32%(50%) Average negative next three day return: 0%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 5.98%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.86%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20131023

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_23_2013	130.17	131.91	129.08	129.15	129.41	128.53	127.55(-0.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-73	-40	-64	-100	7.43	53%	-0.12	-28.6	1.47%	0	-1.2	32	NAN
2	Sep_20_2013	130.32	132.28	129.69	128.93	129.14	130.64	127.96(-2.88%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-1	90	23	-72	19.56	47%	-0.11	-28.8	1.48%	0	-1.3	37	NAN
3	Sep_19_2013	130.46	132.55	130.29	128.91	128.57	130.3	131.75(-0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	77	90	115	-36	14.35	50%	-0.08	-29.1	1.58%	0	-0.2	40	NAN
4	Sep_18_2013	130.56	132.58	130.3	128.09	127.41	127.63	132.01(4.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-3	-0	28	-96	24.83	50%	-0.08	-32	1.59%	0	-0.2	39	NAN
5	Sep_17_2013	130.67	132.6	130.5	128.03	127.28	126.84	126.5(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-71	-40	-47	-141	8.14	44%	-0.12	-26.6	1.5%	0	-1.9	23	NAN

6	Sep_16_2013	130.83	132.92	131.49	129.08	128.53	127.18	126.45(-1.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-75	-90	-57	-127	9.99	44%	-0.11	-15.5	1.5%	0	-2.2	29	NAN
7	Sep_13_2013	130.98	133.27	132.34	130.57	129.68	127.73	127.82(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-122	-130	-119	-131	12.06	44%	-0.11	9.1	1.49%	0	-2.2	33	NAN
8	Sep_12_2013	131.12	133.5	133.16	131.83	131.36	129.88	127.67(-3.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-96	-90	-96	-94	12.94	44%	-0.08	36.6	1.49%	0	-2.7	41	NAN
9	Sep_11_2013	131.23	133.62	134.1	132.74	132.77	131.63	131.7(-0.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-55	-60	-56	-52	5.05	48%	-0.04	63.2	1.45%	0	-0.9	52	NAN
10	Sep_10_2013	131.28	133.47	134.61	133.33	133.16	132.84	131.74(-1.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-54	-20	-61	-33	8.43	48%	-0.05	69.1	1.45%	0	-0.7	51	NAN

11	Sep_9_2013	131.34	133.37	135.01	134.27	133.85	133.92	133.91(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	8	-10	4	19	5.09	50%	-0.02	83.1	1.44%	0	0.2	58	NAN
12	Sep_6_2013	131.36	133.05	135.13	134.41	134.33	133.47	134.15(1.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-11	-50	-20	18	8.45	47%	0	75.9	1.47%	0	0.4	56	NAN
13	Sep_5_2013	131.36	132.71	135.03	134.75	134.59	133.79	132.2(-1.83%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.8	-52	-50	-72	7	11.13	45%	-0.01	73.8	1.46%	0	-0.2	55	NAN
14	Sep_4_2013	131.37	132.35	135.08	135.66	135.31	135.19	134.66(-1.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-5	-10	-24	52	7.79	47%	0.02	66.5	1.44%	0	0.6	71	NAN
15	Sep_3_2013	131.35	131.84	134.89	136.07	135.95	135.39	136.42(1.34%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	18	-30	-4	83	8.1	50%	-0.06	59.7	1.44%	0	1.1	81	NAN

16	Aug_30_2013	131.43	131.31	134.46	135.88	136.2	135.42	134.62(-0.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-10	-30	-38	76	7.69	48%	-0.12	54.7	1.46%	0	0.8	70	NAN
17	Aug_29_2013	131.59	130.9	134.27	135.94	136.24	136.5	135.87(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	29	20	1	111	7.94	48%	-0.11	53.2	1.46%	0	1.2	80	NAN
18	Aug_28_2013	131.74	130.43	133.85	135.32	135.69	136.98	136.71(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	84	70	65	142	13.65	48%	-0.13	48.7	1.47%	0	1.6	83	NAN
19	Aug_27_2013	131.91	129.97	133.09	134.4	134.64	135.98	136.75(0.96%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	103	80	87	151	11.28	48%	-0.12	46.2	1.47%	0	1.9	86	NAN
20	Aug_26_2013	132.07	129.5	132.2	133.54	133.43	134.41	135.45(0.41%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	78	50	58	138	7.69	48%	-0.13	42.3	1.47%	0	1.8	86	NAN

21	Aug_23_2013	132.24	129.12	131.55	132.85	132.78	133.29	134.9(1.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	64	30	41	131	11.62	50%	-0.12	39.6	1.48%	0	1.9	75	NAN
22	Aug_22_2013	132.4	128.78	130.75	132.38	132.36	132.46	132.81(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	36	0	10	115	5.74	48%	-0.14	45.9	1.48%	0	1.5	69	NAN
23	Aug_21_2013	132.58	128.55	130.17	132.16	132.28	132.27	132.07(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	42	0	17	117	10.73	46%	-0.15	55.7	1.48%	0	1.4	67	NAN
24	Aug_20_2013	132.78	128.31	129.41	131.55	131.75	132.26	132.45(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	47	30	29	102	7.81	50%	-0.17	60	1.5%	0	1.7	62	NAN
25	Aug_19_2013	133.01	128.14	128.58	130.6	130.73	132.28	132.01(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	66	90	59	85	8.12	50%		62.8	1.55%	0	1.8	60	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.