Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Aug. 28, 2013

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Fri. Jun. 14, 2024)

(SPDR Gold Shares)
GLD latest price $136.7100 (-0.03%) ($136.6600 - $137.4600) on Wed. Aug. 28, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.47% (three month average)
RSI   83
Latest Price   $136.7100(-0.03%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GLD advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GLD advances 2.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GLD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(35%)    LQD(34%)    TLT(26%)    IGOV(25%)    BNDX(24%)
Factors Impacting GLD price   GLD will decline at least -0.735% in a week (0% probabilities).
PEJ(-3%)    XLY(1%)    XAR(1%)    XLK(2%)    SPY(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.735% (StdDev 1.47%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $135.32(1.03%)
10 Day Moving Average   $133.85(2.14%)
20 Day Moving Average   $130.43(4.81%)
To recent high   -0%
To recent low   17.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GLD price fluctuates within 3% (three month std-dev: 1.47%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 26 Average positive next day return: 0.61%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.8%(50%) Sample size 26 Average positive next three day return: 1.41%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -1.41%(50%) Sample size 26 Average positive next weekly return: 1.63%(54%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.88%(46%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130928

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_28_2013	131.74	130.43	133.85	135.32	135.69	136.98	136.71(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	84	70	65	142	13.65	48%	-0.13	48.7	1.47%	0	1.6	83	NAN
2	Aug_27_2013	131.91	129.97	133.09	134.4	134.64	135.98	136.75(0.96%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	103	80	87	151	11.28	48%	-0.12	46.2	1.47%	0	1.9	86	NAN
3	Aug_26_2013	132.07	129.5	132.2	133.54	133.43	134.41	135.45(0.41%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	78	50	58	138	7.69	48%	-0.13	42.3	1.47%	0	1.8	86	NAN
4	Aug_23_2013	132.24	129.12	131.55	132.85	132.78	133.29	134.9(1.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	64	30	41	131	11.62	50%	-0.12	39.6	1.48%	0	1.9	75	NAN
5	Aug_22_2013	132.4	128.78	130.75	132.38	132.36	132.46	132.81(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	36	0	10	115	5.74	48%	-0.14	45.9	1.48%	0	1.5	69	NAN

6	Aug_21_2013	132.58	128.55	130.17	132.16	132.28	132.27	132.07(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	42	0	17	117	10.73	46%	-0.15	55.7	1.48%	0	1.4	67	NAN
7	Aug_20_2013	132.78	128.31	129.41	131.55	131.75	132.26	132.45(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	47	30	29	102	7.81	50%	-0.17	60	1.5%	0	1.7	62	NAN
8	Aug_19_2013	133.01	128.14	128.58	130.6	130.73	132.28	132.01(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	66	90	59	85	8.12	50%	-0.01	62.8	1.55%	0	1.8	60	NAN
9	Aug_16_2013	133.02	127.95	127.93	130.03	129.72	131.24	132.58(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	90	70	92	82	14.45	48%	-0.17	68.5	1.57%	0	2.2	60	NAN
10	Aug_15_2013	133.24	127.57	127.26	128.88	128.93	129.17	131.69(2.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	53	10	56	42	17.23	45%	-0.18	60.4	1.57%	0	2.1	57	NAN

11	Aug_14_2013	133.48	127.18	126.7	127.92	128.11	128.2	129(0.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	5	10	6	0	8.71	43%	-0.19	48.3	1.57%	0	1	49	NAN
12	Aug_13_2013	133.74	126.9	126.56	126.95	127.49	128.69	127.74(-1.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	36	80	47	2	7.34	43%	-0.22	40	1.57%	0	0.4	51	NAN
13	Aug_12_2013	134.03	126.77	126.57	126.19	126.51	128.03	129.13(1.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	65	90	87	0	7.42	43%	-0.19	38.1	1.57%	0	1.2	45	NAN
14	Aug_9_2013	134.29	126.52	126.45	125.51	125.21	126.29	126.86(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	27	50	46	-30	6.19	40%	-0.22	39.6	1.55%	0	0.2	41	NAN
15	Aug_8_2013	134.59	126.39	126.62	125.41	125.04	125	126.86(2.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	11	-10	25	-31	8.66	40%	-0.22	51.9	1.55%	0	0.2	57	NAN

16	Aug_7_2013	134.89	126.27	126.77	125.36	125.24	124.13	124.15(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-53	-60	-53	-52	5.31	37%	-0.24	51.9	1.54%	0	-0.9	54	NAN
17	Aug_6_2013	135.21	126.15	127.13	126.12	126	125.07	123.97(-1.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-59	-50	-67	-33	6.02	37%	-0.24	57.7	1.55%	0	-0.9	56	NAN
18	Aug_5_2013	135.53	126.02	127.72	126.95	126.89	126.36	125.7(-0.52%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.4	-23	-30	-33	8	4.01	37%	-0.21	59.3	1.54%	0	-0.1	55	NAN
19	Aug_2_2013	135.82	125.75	128.05	127.5	127.36	126.92	126.36(-0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-15	-30	-30	32	6.47	37%	-0.21	57.7	1.54%	0	0.2	60	NAN
20	Aug_1_2013	136.1	125.37	127.98	127.99	127.81	127.43	126.61(-1.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-4	-30	-21	48	10.56	37%	-0.21	64.7	1.54%	0	0.4	61	NAN

21	Jul_31_2013	136.38	125.09	127.77	128.4	128.06	127.8	127.96(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	4	-20	-14	59	16.02	37%	-0.19	69.9	1.55%	0	0.8	65	NAN
22	Jul_30_2013	136.64	124.7	127.35	128.3	128.19	128.19	128.12(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	10	-0	-9	67	4.49	37%	-0.19	64	1.55%	0	1	74	NAN
23	Jul_29_2013	136.9	124.35	127.04	128.62	128.27	128.32	128.47(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	23	-10	-0	90	3.56	37%	-0.18	64.1	1.56%	0	1.2	76	NAN
24	Jul_26_2013	137.14	123.88	126.62	128.7	128.46	128.19	128.78(0.09%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	31	-20	5	109	6.15	37%	-0.18	57	1.56%	0	1.4	79	NAN
25	Jul_25_2013	137.39	123.25	126.15	127.96	128.52	128.23	128.67(0.93%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	36	-0	9	118	4.73	41%		39.7	1.56%	0	1.5	81	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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