Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Aug. 12, 2013

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Fri. May. 24, 2024)

(SPDR Gold Shares)
GLD latest price $129.1300 (1.79%) ($128.8800 - $129.7100) on Mon. Aug. 12, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.57% (three month average)
RSI   45
Latest Price   $129.1300(1.79%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GLD advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GLD declines -0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GLD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(35%)    LQD(34%)    TLT(26%)    IGOV(25%)    BNDX(24%)
Factors Impacting GLD price   GLD will decline at least -0.785% in a week (0% probabilities).
PEJ(-3%)    XLY(1%)    XAR(1%)    SPY(1%)    XLK(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.785% (StdDev 1.57%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $126.19(2.33%)
10 Day Moving Average   $126.57(2.02%)
20 Day Moving Average   $126.77(1.86%)
To recent high   -6.7%
To recent low   11.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GLD price fluctuates within 1.55% (three month std-dev: 1.57%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 2.83%(33%) Average negative next day return: -6.47%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 3.45%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -8.88%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 1.47%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -7.38%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130912

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_12_2013	134.03	126.77	126.57	126.19	126.51	128.03	129.13(1.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	65	90	87	0	7.42	43%	-0.19	38.1	1.57%	0	1.2	45	0
2	Aug_9_2013	134.29	126.52	126.45	125.51	125.21	126.29	126.86(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	27	50	46	-30	6.19	40%	-0.22	39.6	1.55%	0	0.2	41	0
3	Aug_8_2013	134.59	126.39	126.62	125.41	125.04	125	126.86(2.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	11	-10	25	-31	8.66	40%	-0.22	51.9	1.55%	0	0.2	57	0
4	Aug_7_2013	134.89	126.27	126.77	125.36	125.24	124.13	124.15(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-53	-60	-53	-52	5.31	37%	-0.24	51.9	1.54%	0	-0.9	54	0
5	Aug_6_2013	135.21	126.15	127.13	126.12	126	125.07	123.97(-1.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-59	-50	-67	-33	6.02	37%	-0.24	57.7	1.55%	0	-0.9	56	0

6	Aug_5_2013	135.53	126.02	127.72	126.95	126.89	126.36	125.7(-0.52%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.4	-23	-30	-33	8	4.01	37%	-0.21	59.3	1.54%	0	-0.1	55	0
7	Aug_2_2013	135.82	125.75	128.05	127.5	127.36	126.92	126.36(-0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-15	-30	-30	32	6.47	37%	-0.21	57.7	1.54%	0	0.2	60	0
8	Aug_1_2013	136.1	125.37	127.98	127.99	127.81	127.43	126.61(-1.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-4	-30	-21	48	10.56	37%	-0.21	64.7	1.54%	0	0.4	61	0
9	Jul_31_2013	136.38	125.09	127.77	128.4	128.06	127.8	127.96(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	4	-20	-14	59	16.02	37%	-0.19	69.9	1.55%	0	0.8	65	0
10	Jul_30_2013	136.64	124.7	127.35	128.3	128.19	128.19	128.12(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	10	-0	-9	67	4.49	37%	-0.19	64	1.55%	0	1	74	0

11	Jul_29_2013	136.9	124.35	127.04	128.62	128.27	128.32	128.47(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	23	-10	-0	90	3.56	37%	-0.18	64.1	1.56%	0	1.2	76	0
12	Jul_26_2013	137.14	123.88	126.62	128.7	128.46	128.19	128.78(0.09%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	31	-20	5	109	6.15	37%	-0.18	57	1.56%	0	1.4	79	0
13	Jul_25_2013	137.39	123.25	126.15	127.96	128.52	128.23	128.67(0.93%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	36	-0	9	118	4.73	41%	-0.18	39.7	1.56%	0	1.5	81	0
14	Jul_24_2013	137.64	122.73	125.69	127.03	127.71	128.73	127.48(-1.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	48	70	25	118	9.98	41%	-0.18	18.4	1.59%	0	1.3	67	0
15	Jul_23_2013	137.89	122.49	125.06	126.2	126.68	128.81	129.71(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	110	130	100	140	8.83	42%	-0.17	1.1	1.58%	0	2.1	75	0

16	Jul_22_2013	138.12	122.15	124.14	125.23	125.43	126.7	128.84(2.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	101	80	94	122	10.86	45%	-0.17	-22.4	1.58%	0	2.2	69	0
17	Jul_19_2013	138.36	121.91	123.19	124.3	124.53	124.56	125.11(0.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	34	10	19	80	5.77	41%	-0.21	-50.7	1.55%	0	1.2	68	0
18	Jul_18_2013	138.65	121.8	122.52	124.11	124.31	124.15	124.01(0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	11	-0	-10	73	6.15	41%	-0.22	-71.8	1.55%	0	0.9	72	0
19	Jul_17_2013	138.96	122.07	122.19	124.15	124.23	124.5	123.32(-1.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	28	20	7	89	10.89	41%	-0.24	-63.4	1.56%	0	0.4	62	0
20	Jul_16_2013	139.3	122.45	121.86	123.68	124.21	124.46	124.89(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	53	30	42	87	5.58	41%	-0.21	-57.4	1.55%	0	0.6	51	0

21	Jul_15_2013	139.6	122.82	121.46	122.82	123.32	123.97	124.18(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	35	50	27	59	4.13	33%	-0.21	-54.6	1.55%	0	0.3	49	0
22	Jul_12_2013	139.89	123.27	120.94	121.89	122.48	123.95	124.13(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	56	100	62	37	6.58	31%	-0.21	-52.2	1.9%	0	0.2	46	0
23	Jul_11_2013	140.18	123.69	120.13	120.68	121.35	122.67	124.24(2.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	56	90	72	6	11.28	31%	-0.2	-56.6	1.98%	0	0.1	50	0
24	Jul_10_2013	140.46	124.14	119.5	119.98	119.77	121.01	120.95(0.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	9	70	28	-50	14.7	26%	-0.25	-57	1.94%	0	-0.5	33	0
25	Jul_9_2013	140.81	124.73	119.69	119.8	119.69	120.03	120.62(0.93%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	11	20	38	-69	8.2	27%		-57.6	1.95%	0	-0.7	31	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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