Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jul. 22, 2013

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Mon. Jun. 17, 2024)

(SPDR Gold Shares)
GLD latest price $128.8400 (2.98%) ($127.5900 - $129.4600) on Mon. Jul. 22, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.58% (three month average)
RSI   69
Latest Price   $128.8400(2.98%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GLD advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GLD advances 2.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GLD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(35%)    LQD(34%)    TLT(26%)    IGOV(25%)    BNDX(24%)
Factors Impacting GLD price   GLD will decline at least -0.79% in a week (0% probabilities).
PEJ(-3%)    XLY(1%)    XAR(1%)    XLK(2%)    SPY(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.79% (StdDev 1.58%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $125.23(2.88%)
10 Day Moving Average   $124.14(3.79%)
20 Day Moving Average   $122.15(5.48%)
To recent high   -9.8%
To recent low   11.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GLD price fluctuates within 2.46% (three month std-dev: 1.58%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -5.14%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0.81%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 2.98%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130822

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_22_2013	138.12	122.15	124.14	125.23	125.43	126.7	128.84(2.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	101	80	94	122	10.86	45%	-0.17	-22.4	1.58%	0	2.2	69	NAN
2	Jul_19_2013	138.36	121.91	123.19	124.3	124.53	124.56	125.11(0.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	34	10	19	80	5.77	41%	-0.21	-50.7	1.55%	0	1.2	68	NAN
3	Jul_18_2013	138.65	121.8	122.52	124.11	124.31	124.15	124.01(0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	11	-0	-10	73	6.15	41%	-0.22	-71.8	1.55%	0	0.9	72	NAN
4	Jul_17_2013	138.96	122.07	122.19	124.15	124.23	124.5	123.32(-1.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	28	20	7	89	10.89	41%	-0.24	-63.4	1.56%	0	0.4	62	NAN
5	Jul_16_2013	139.3	122.45	121.86	123.68	124.21	124.46	124.89(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	53	30	42	87	5.58	41%	-0.21	-57.4	1.55%	0	0.6	51	NAN

6	Jul_15_2013	139.6	122.82	121.46	122.82	123.32	123.97	124.18(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	35	50	27	59	4.13	33%	-0.21	-54.6	1.55%	0	0.3	49	NAN
7	Jul_12_2013	139.89	123.27	120.94	121.89	122.48	123.95	124.13(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	56	100	62	37	6.58	31%	-0.21	-52.2	1.9%	0	0.2	46	NAN
8	Jul_11_2013	140.18	123.69	120.13	120.68	121.35	122.67	124.24(2.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	56	90	72	6	11.28	31%	-0.2	-56.6	1.98%	0	0.1	50	NAN
9	Jul_10_2013	140.46	124.14	119.5	119.98	119.77	121.01	120.95(0.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	9	70	28	-50	14.7	26%	-0.25	-57	1.94%	0	-0.5	33	NAN
10	Jul_9_2013	140.81	124.73	119.69	119.8	119.69	120.03	120.62(0.93%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	11	20	38	-69	8.2	27%	-0.15	-57.6	1.95%	0	-0.7	31	NAN

11	Jul_8_2013	141.02	125.37	119.97	119.9	119.67	118.54	119.51(1.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-48	-70	-25	-116	8.65	27%	-0.26	-57.7	1.95%	0	-0.9	27	NAN
12	Jul_5_2013	141.39	126.06	120.48	119.82	119.99	119.36	118.09(-2.19%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-59	-30	-31	-142	11.59	29%	-0.42	-58.8	1.94%	0	-1.2	24	NAN
13	Jul_3_2013	141.98	126.98	121.03	119.39	119.82	120.8	120.74(0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-22	70	22	-152	6.75	30%	-0.28	-60.1	1.92%	0	-0.9	27	NAN
14	Jul_2_2013	142.38	127.71	121.93	118.9	118.97	120.63	120.05(-0.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-4	100	47	-158	10.55	29%	-0.29	-62.3	1.92%	0	-1.1	25	NAN
15	Jul_1_2013	142.79	128.48	123.06	119.59	118.57	118.84	121.13(1.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-23	-10	23	-162	15.95	29%	-0.29	-59.7	1.93%	0	-1.1	29	NAN

16	Jun_28_2013	143.2	129.25	124.25	120.15	119.29	117.32	119.11(2.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-96	-140	-63	-194	32.99	29%	-0.31	-58.1	1.91%	0	-1.6	23	NAN
17	Jun_27_2013	143.64	130.03	125.75	121.33	121.03	118.29	115.94(-1.98%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-144	-170	-123	-205	30	25%	-0.33	-57.1	1.87%	0	-2.3	16	NAN
18	Jun_26_2013	144.11	131.12	127.58	122.87	122.91	121.25	118.28(-4.2%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-130	-90	-111	-188	24.75	26%	-0.31	-56.1	1.86%	0	-2.5	16	NAN
19	Jun_25_2013	144.56	132	129.23	125.33	124.31	123.77	123.47(-0.37%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-90	-50	-71	-148	9.37	29%	-0.27	-51.4	1.8%	0	-2	23	NAN
20	Jun_24_2013	144.95	132.55	130.24	127.06	126.36	124.56	123.93(-0.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-77	-120	-60	-126	12.75	29%	-0.26	-46.9	1.8%	0	-2.2	25	NAN

21	Jun_21_2013	145.33	133.09	131.29	129.03	128.43	124.85	125.05(1.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-143	-210	-144	-140	16.6	29%	-0.25	-35.5	1.8%	0	-2.4	24	NAN
22	Jun_20_2013	145.7	133.61	132.17	130.9	130.61	128.15	123.6(-5.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.7	-155	-140	-165	-126	28.87	29%	-0.27	-24	1.79%	0	-3.7	30	NAN
23	Jun_19_2013	146.09	134.09	133.53	132.93	133.01	132.01	130.59(-1.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-48	-50	-46	-54	13.02	32%	-0.21	-14.2	1.68%	0	-2.3	35	NAN
24	Jun_18_2013	146.4	134.23	134.04	133.66	133.47	133.07	132.13(-1.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-37	-30	-37	-38	7.38	34%	-0.2	-17.3	1.68%	0	-1.6	44	NAN
25	Jun_17_2013	146.69	134.39	134.36	133.89	133.82	134.02	133.77(-0.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	4	10	9	-13	4.08	34%		-26.1	1.68%	0	-0.5	52	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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