Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Apr. 30, 2013

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Fri. May. 24, 2024)

(SPDR Gold Shares)
GLD latest price $142.7700 (0.33%) ($141.5500 - $142.8300) on Tue. Apr. 30, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.52% (three month average)
RSI   37
Latest Price   $142.7700(0.33%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GLD advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GLD advances 0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GLD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(34%)    LQD(33%)    IGOV(26%)    TLT(26%)    PCY(23%)
Factors Impacting GLD price   GLD will decline at least -0.76% in a week (0% probabilities).
PEJ(-2%)    XLY(1%)    XAR(2%)    SPY(2%)    IWM(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.76% (StdDev 1.52%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $141.2(1.11%)
10 Day Moving Average   $138.54(3.05%)
20 Day Moving Average   $142.35(0.3%)
To recent high   -12.1%
To recent low   8.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GLD price fluctuates within 5.27% (three month std-dev: 1.52%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130530

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_30_2013	155.26	142.35	138.54	141.2	141.76	142.25	142.77(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	37	40	43	20	11.29	32%	-0.15	-40.2	1.52%	0	0.1	37	0
2	Apr_29_2013	155.5	142.78	137.55	140.02	140.7	141.91	142.3(0.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	31	70	56	-46	11.01	32%	-0.15	-44.1	1.52%	0	-0.1	34	0
3	Apr_26_2013	155.74	143.34	136.45	139.14	139.36	141.27	140.91(-0.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	41	100	88	-102	19.31	32%	-0.16	-47	1.5%	0	-0.3	34	0
4	Apr_25_2013	155.99	143.98	136.62	138.05	138.42	139.5	141.63(2.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	48	60	108	-134	18.9	32%	-0.15	-50.2	1.51%	0	-0.3	34	0
5	Apr_24_2013	156.22	144.62	137.36	136.58	137.08	137.46	138.37(1.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-22	30	34	-191	10.37	27%	-0.17	-53.3	1.48%	0	-0.7	34	0

6	Apr_23_2013	156.49	145.43	138.45	135.48	136.14	137.34	136.88(-0.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-17	80	47	-207	14.65	27%	-0.2	-57.1	1.47%	0	-1	31	0
7	Apr_22_2013	156.8	146.35	139.98	134.67	135.31	136.7	137.9(1.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	21	90	95	-200	16.57	27%	-0.18	-60.5	1.47%	0	-1	30	0
8	Apr_19_2013	157.09	147.24	141.32	133.35	134.25	134.93	135.47(0.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-43	60	28	-257	15.67	23%	-0.21	-64.7	1.45%	0	-1.4	23	0
9	Apr_18_2013	157.42	148.31	143.02	135.05	133.78	133.91	134.3(1.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-133	-20	-83	-283	20.04	23%	-0.22	-61.1	1.45%	0	-1.7	22	0
10	Apr_17_2013	157.76	149.41	144.66	138.4	136.75	133.57	132.87(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-164	-200	-129	-269	25.44	23%	-0.23	-54.2	1.44%	0	-2.1	18	0

11	Apr_16_2013	158.13	150.63	146.54	141.97	141.14	133.64	132.8(1.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-343	-390	-351	-317	45.65	23%	-0.24	-47.2	1.44%	0	-2.6	19	0
12	Apr_15_2013	158.51	151.85	148.62	146.08	145.64	139.93	131.31(-8.78%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-2.7	-409	-280	-444	-303	93.8	23%	-0.25	-37.5	1.43%	0	-3.7	15	0
13	Apr_12_2013	158.91	153.09	151.11	150.25	150.47	148.63	143.95(-4.7%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-2.2	-213	-80	-220	-190	55.6	31%	-0.1	-31.9	0.93%	0	-3.2	24	0
14	Apr_11_2013	159.07	153.63	152.22	152.02	151.96	151.36	151.05(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-83	-30	-72	-116	8.06	38%	-0.11	-20.5	0.74%	0	-1.4	32	0
15	Apr_10_2013	159.24	153.78	152.63	152.02	152.23	152.31	150.75(-1.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-24	10	-1	-93	18.52	41%	-0.11	-22.6	0.74%	0	-1.7	35	0

16	Apr_9_2013	159.42	153.78	153.03	151.87	151.81	152.57	153.34(0.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	18	30	51	-83	7.05	44%	-0.09	-20	0.72%	0	-0.4	39	0
17	Apr_8_2013	159.57	153.96	153.2	151.68	151.39	152.14	152.16(-0.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	24	30	61	-89	6.25	44%	-0.09	-21.7	0.71%	0	-1.1	38	0
18	Apr_5_2013	159.71	154	153.53	152.19	151.54	151.05	152.81(1.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-28	-40	-5	-95	14.49	44%	-0.09	-12.5	0.71%	0	-0.7	47	0
19	Apr_4_2013	159.85	154.01	153.86	152.52	152.17	150.65	150.29(-0.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-164	-80	-171	-143	12.43	39%	-0.11	-7.6	0.68%	0	-2.3	39	0
20	Apr_3_2013	160.03	154.18	154.4	153.53	153.3	152.04	150.73(-1.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-160	-60	-178	-107	15.74	36%	-0.11	6.7	0.68%	0	-2.5	40	0

21	Apr_2_2013	160.2	154.29	154.96	154.33	154.23	153.7	152.43(-1.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-79	-30	-93	-38	9.4	41%	-0.1	12.8	0.69%	0	-1.5	44	0
22	Apr_1_2013	160.36	154.31	155.28	154.89	154.69	154.56	154.67(0.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-12	-10	-23	20	4.29	44%	-0.14	17.7	0.67%	0	0.3	61	0
23	Mar_28_2013	160.58	154.2	155.24	155.07	154.78	154.77	154.47(-0.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-8	-10	-22	34	6.85	47%	-0.07	19.5	0.68%	0	0.2	62	0
24	Mar_27_2013	160.7	154.13	155.18	155.42	155.05	154.82	155.36(0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	7	-20	-10	56	6.72	47%	-0.07	29.3	0.68%	0	1	68	0
25	Mar_26_2013	160.82	154.08	155.03	155.43	155.34	154.78	154.72(-0.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-28	-30	-51	43	7.39	47%		38.4	0.68%	0	0.5	60	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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