Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GLD: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Mar. 6, 2013

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Wed. Jun. 5, 2024)

(SPDR Gold Shares)
GLD latest price $153.2300 (0.56%) ($151.6500 - $153.3800) on Wed. Mar. 6, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.7% (three month average)
RSI   32
Latest Price   $153.2300(0.56%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GLD declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GLD declines -1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GLD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(33%)    LQD(32%)    IGOV(26%)    TLT(25%)    PCY(23%)
Factors Impacting GLD price   GLD will decline at least -0.35% in a week (0% probabilities).
PEJ(-2%)    XLY(1%)    XAR(2%)    SPY(2%)    XLK(3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.35% (StdDev 0.7%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $150.45(-1.81%)
Resistance Level   $155.77
5 Day Moving Average   $152.67(0.37%)
10 Day Moving Average   $153.38(-0.1%)
20 Day Moving Average   $155.77(-1.63%)
To recent high   -7.6%
To recent low   1.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GLD price fluctuates within 2.28% (three month std-dev: 0.7%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 1.45%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 2.08%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 3.51%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130406

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_6_2013	162.45	155.77	153.38	152.67	152.63	152.68	153.23(0.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-26	0	-4	-91	10.86	34%	-0.1	-62.7	0.7%	0	-0.7	32	NAN
2	Mar_5_2013	162.62	156.19	153.23	152.94	152.83	152.54	152.38(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-66	-20	-41	-141	10.81	34%	-0.1	-57.6	0.7%	0	-1	28	NAN
3	Mar_4_2013	162.79	156.67	153.51	153.71	153.38	152.59	152.3(-0.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-96	-40	-76	-156	6.64	33%	-0.12	-49.6	0.7%	0	-1.2	28	NAN
4	Mar_1_2013	162.98	157.13	153.85	154.11	154.09	153.12	152.44(-0.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-112	-40	-89	-179	11.18	33%	-0.12	-46.9	0.7%	0	-1.2	25	NAN
5	Feb_28_2013	163.18	157.58	154.41	154.22	154.36	154.17	153(-1.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-85	-10	-53	-181	14.87	31%	-0.12	-48.1	0.7%	0	-1.2	26	NAN

6	Feb_27_2013	163.37	158.04	154.99	154.14	154.15	155.06	154.57(-1.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	18	40	73	-149	9.6	32%	-0.1	-50.7	0.71%	0	-1	27	NAN
7	Feb_26_2013	163.54	158.37	155.48	153.52	153.53	154.56	156.22(1.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	54	50	126	-162	18.18	34%	-0.1	-60.4	0.7%	0	-0.6	31	NAN
8	Feb_25_2013	163.71	158.58	155.78	153.34	152.87	153.24	154.34(0.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-34	10	31	-228	9.49	30%	-0.12	-66.4	0.68%	0	-1.2	23	NAN
9	Feb_22_2013	163.9	158.91	156.47	153.62	153.26	153.24	152.97(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-106	-40	-56	-254	10.09	31%	-0.13	-70.2	0.69%	0	-1.7	20	NAN
10	Feb_21_2013	164.12	159.35	157.35	154.7	154.08	152.51	152.62(0.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-221	-80	-201	-280	17.97	31%	-0.13	-70.1	0.69%	0	-2.1	20	NAN

11	Feb_20_2013	164.33	159.9	158.34	155.99	155.67	154	151.44(-2.5%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.6	-235	-80	-227	-258	30.92	28%	-0.13	-65.3	0.68%	0	-3	12	NAN
12	Feb_19_2013	164.55	160.54	159.44	157.68	157.35	155.65	155.33(-0.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-207	-80	-206	-209	11.81	37%	-0.16	-61.4	0.61%	0	-2.5	27	NAN
13	Feb_15_2013	164.81	160.95	160.13	158.55	158.37	157.33	155.76(-1.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-196	-50	-205	-169	23.37	37%	-0.1	-54.5	0.63%	0	-2.9	33	NAN
14	Feb_14_2013	164.98	161.35	160.75	159.71	159.33	159.05	158.35(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-78	-20	-78	-79	12.42	41%	-0.08	-43.7	0.6%	0	-2.1	40	NAN
15	Feb_13_2013	165.11	161.57	161.06	160.41	160.01	159.4	159.05(-0.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-60	-30	-63	-51	8.96	41%	-0.07	-26	0.6%	0	-2	39	NAN

16	Feb_12_2013	165.23	161.76	161.39	161.08	160.64	159.61	159.89(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-110	-50	-127	-60	7.63	41%	-0.07	-4.4	0.6%	0	-1.7	34	NAN
17	Feb_11_2013	165.35	161.86	161.52	161.49	161.33	160.62	159.7(-1.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-112	-30	-129	-62	12.15	41%	-0.08	14.3	0.6%	0	-2.1	31	NAN
18	Feb_8_2013	165.48	161.94	161.61	161.95	161.96	161.68	161.57(-0.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-30	-10	-32	-23	6.09	48%	-0.06	33.9	0.58%	0	-0.4	41	NAN
19	Feb_7_2013	165.58	161.96	161.53	161.93	161.99	162.04	161.84(-0.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-21	0	-17	-33	12.83	48%	-0.06	37.5	0.59%	0	-0.1	41	NAN
20	Feb_6_2013	165.68	161.9	161.48	161.8	162.03	162.25	162.39(0.27%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.6	24	10	39	-23	6.15	53%	-0.06	20.3	0.59%	0	0.5	48	NAN

21	Feb_5_2013	165.78	161.82	161.54	161.76	161.78	161.95	161.96(-0.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	1	10	11	-30	8.98	53%	-0.05	11.3	0.64%	0	0.1	46	NAN
22	Feb_4_2013	165.87	161.7	161.68	161.57	161.85	161.81	162(0.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	19	0	31	-19	7.36	53%	-0.06	1.4	0.64%	0	0.3	53	NAN
23	Feb_1_2013	165.97	161.63	161.77	161.22	161.67	161.61	161.45(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-7	10	1	-29	12.9	47%	-0.07	-9.9	0.69%	0	-0.2	54	NAN
24	Jan_31_2013	166.08	161.62	161.95	161.06	161.27	161.88	161.2(-0.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	7	30	16	-21	9.34	47%	-0.04	-12.5	0.69%	0	-0.4	47	NAN
25	Jan_30_2013	166.15	161.71	162.1	161.11	161.11	161.74	162.19(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	67	30	83	17	12.02	47%		-1.4	0.69%	0	0.4	59	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.