Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GLD: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Mar. 1, 2013

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Fri. Jun. 21, 2024)

(SPDR Gold Shares)
GLD latest price $152.4400 (-0.37%) ($152.1400 - $153.6100) on Fri. Mar. 1, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.7% (three month average)
RSI   25
Latest Price   $152.4400(-0.37%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GLD declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GLD declines -1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GLD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(33%)    LQD(32%)    IGOV(26%)    TLT(25%)    PCY(23%)
Factors Impacting GLD price   GLD will decline at least -0.35% in a week (0% probabilities).
PEJ(-2%)    XLY(1%)    XAR(1%)    XLK(3%)    SPY(3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.35% (StdDev 0.7%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

Resistance Level   $157.13
5 Day Moving Average   $154.11(-1.08%)
10 Day Moving Average   $153.85(-0.92%)
20 Day Moving Average   $157.13(-2.98%)
To recent high   -8.2%
To recent low   0.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GLD price fluctuates within 2.39% (three month std-dev: 0.7%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 1.5%(33%) Average negative next day return: -2.47%(67%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 1.55%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -1.53%(50%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 2.12%(83%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.67%(17%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130401

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_1_2013	162.98	157.13	153.85	154.11	154.09	153.12	152.44(-0.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-112	-40	-89	-179	11.18	33%	-0.12	-46.9	0.7%	0	-1.2	25	0
2	Feb_28_2013	163.18	157.58	154.41	154.22	154.36	154.17	153(-1.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-85	-10	-53	-181	14.87	31%	-0.12	-48.1	0.7%	0	-1.2	26	0
3	Feb_27_2013	163.37	158.04	154.99	154.14	154.15	155.06	154.57(-1.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	18	40	73	-149	9.6	32%	-0.1	-50.7	0.71%	0	-1	27	0
4	Feb_26_2013	163.54	158.37	155.48	153.52	153.53	154.56	156.22(1.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	54	50	126	-162	18.18	34%	-0.1	-60.4	0.7%	0	-0.6	31	0
5	Feb_25_2013	163.71	158.58	155.78	153.34	152.87	153.24	154.34(0.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-34	10	31	-228	9.49	30%	-0.12	-66.4	0.68%	0	-1.2	23	0

6	Feb_22_2013	163.9	158.91	156.47	153.62	153.26	153.24	152.97(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-106	-40	-56	-254	10.09	31%	-0.13	-70.2	0.69%	0	-1.7	20	0
7	Feb_21_2013	164.12	159.35	157.35	154.7	154.08	152.51	152.62(0.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-221	-80	-201	-280	17.97	31%	-0.13	-70.1	0.69%	0	-2.1	20	0
8	Feb_20_2013	164.33	159.9	158.34	155.99	155.67	154	151.44(-2.5%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.6	-235	-80	-227	-258	30.92	28%	-0.13	-65.3	0.68%	0	-3	12	0
9	Feb_19_2013	164.55	160.54	159.44	157.68	157.35	155.65	155.33(-0.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-207	-80	-206	-209	11.81	37%	-0.16	-61.4	0.61%	0	-2.5	27	0
10	Feb_15_2013	164.81	160.95	160.13	158.55	158.37	157.33	155.76(-1.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-196	-50	-205	-169	23.37	37%	-0.1	-54.5	0.63%	0	-2.9	33	0

11	Feb_14_2013	164.98	161.35	160.75	159.71	159.33	159.05	158.35(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-78	-20	-78	-79	12.42	41%	-0.08	-43.7	0.6%	0	-2.1	40	0
12	Feb_13_2013	165.11	161.57	161.06	160.41	160.01	159.4	159.05(-0.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-60	-30	-63	-51	8.96	41%	-0.07	-26	0.6%	0	-2	39	0
13	Feb_12_2013	165.23	161.76	161.39	161.08	160.64	159.61	159.89(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-110	-50	-127	-60	7.63	41%	-0.07	-4.4	0.6%	0	-1.7	34	0
14	Feb_11_2013	165.35	161.86	161.52	161.49	161.33	160.62	159.7(-1.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-112	-30	-129	-62	12.15	41%	-0.08	14.3	0.6%	0	-2.1	31	0
15	Feb_8_2013	165.48	161.94	161.61	161.95	161.96	161.68	161.57(-0.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-30	-10	-32	-23	6.09	48%	-0.06	33.9	0.58%	0	-0.4	41	0

16	Feb_7_2013	165.58	161.96	161.53	161.93	161.99	162.04	161.84(-0.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-21	0	-17	-33	12.83	48%	-0.06	37.5	0.59%	0	-0.1	41	0
17	Feb_6_2013	165.68	161.9	161.48	161.8	162.03	162.25	162.39(0.27%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.6	24	10	39	-23	6.15	53%	-0.06	20.3	0.59%	0	0.5	48	0
18	Feb_5_2013	165.78	161.82	161.54	161.76	161.78	161.95	161.96(-0.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	1	10	11	-30	8.98	53%	-0.05	11.3	0.64%	0	0.1	46	0
19	Feb_4_2013	165.87	161.7	161.68	161.57	161.85	161.81	162(0.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	19	0	31	-19	7.36	53%	-0.06	1.4	0.64%	0	0.3	53	0
20	Feb_1_2013	165.97	161.63	161.77	161.22	161.67	161.61	161.45(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-7	10	1	-29	12.9	47%	-0.07	-9.9	0.69%	0	-0.2	54	0

21	Jan_31_2013	166.08	161.62	161.95	161.06	161.27	161.88	161.2(-0.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	7	30	16	-21	9.34	47%	-0.04	-12.5	0.69%	0	-0.4	47	0
22	Jan_30_2013	166.15	161.71	162.1	161.11	161.11	161.74	162.19(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	67	30	83	17	12.02	47%	-0.04	-1.4	0.69%	0	0.4	59	0
23	Jan_29_2013	166.21	161.7	162.13	161.31	160.92	160.66	160.99(0.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-21	-20	-24	-11	7.37	45%	-0.04	9.2	0.69%	0	-0.6	54	0
24	Jan_28_2013	166.27	161.69	162.21	161.85	161.55	160.48	160.29(-0.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-76	-50	-97	-14	8.5	45%	-0.05	25.3	0.69%	0	-1.1	58	0
25	Jan_25_2013	166.36	161.74	162.32	162.41	162.39	161.18	160.65(-0.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-112	-50	-145	-12	9.04	45%		36.5	0.69%	0	-0.9	53	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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