Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GLD: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Feb. 27, 2013

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Fri. May. 24, 2024)

(SPDR Gold Shares)
GLD latest price $154.5700 (-1.06%) ($154.0800 - $155.6000) on Wed. Feb. 27, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.71% (three month average)
RSI   27
Latest Price   $154.5700(-1.06%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GLD advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GLD declines -2.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GLD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(33%)    LQD(32%)    IGOV(26%)    TLT(25%)    PCY(23%)
Factors Impacting GLD price   GLD will decline at least -0.355% in a week (0% probabilities).
PEJ(-2%)    XLY(1%)    XAR(1%)    SPY(2%)    XLK(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.355% (StdDev 0.71%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.6%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $151(-2.31%)
Resistance Level   $158.04
5 Day Moving Average   $154.14(0.28%)
10 Day Moving Average   $154.99(-0.27%)
20 Day Moving Average   $158.04(-2.2%)
To recent high   -8.4%
To recent low   2.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GLD price fluctuates within 2.29% (three month std-dev: 0.71%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0.84%(67%) Average negative next day return: -0.9%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 2.11%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 4.29%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.5%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130327

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_27_2013	163.37	158.04	154.99	154.14	154.15	155.06	154.57(-1.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	18	40	73	-149	9.6	32%	-0.1	-50.7	0.71%	0	-1	27	0
2	Feb_26_2013	163.54	158.37	155.48	153.52	153.53	154.56	156.22(1.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	54	50	126	-162	18.18	34%	-0.1	-60.4	0.7%	0	-0.6	31	0
3	Feb_25_2013	163.71	158.58	155.78	153.34	152.87	153.24	154.34(0.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-34	10	31	-228	9.49	30%	-0.12	-66.4	0.68%	0	-1.2	23	0
4	Feb_22_2013	163.9	158.91	156.47	153.62	153.26	153.24	152.97(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-106	-40	-56	-254	10.09	31%	-0.13	-70.2	0.69%	0	-1.7	20	0
5	Feb_21_2013	164.12	159.35	157.35	154.7	154.08	152.51	152.62(0.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-221	-80	-201	-280	17.97	31%	-0.13	-70.1	0.69%	0	-2.1	20	0

6	Feb_20_2013	164.33	159.9	158.34	155.99	155.67	154	151.44(-2.5%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.6	-235	-80	-227	-258	30.92	28%	-0.13	-65.3	0.68%	0	-3	12	0
7	Feb_19_2013	164.55	160.54	159.44	157.68	157.35	155.65	155.33(-0.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-207	-80	-206	-209	11.81	37%	-0.16	-61.4	0.61%	0	-2.5	27	0
8	Feb_15_2013	164.81	160.95	160.13	158.55	158.37	157.33	155.76(-1.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-196	-50	-205	-169	23.37	37%	-0.1	-54.5	0.63%	0	-2.9	33	0
9	Feb_14_2013	164.98	161.35	160.75	159.71	159.33	159.05	158.35(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-78	-20	-78	-79	12.42	41%	-0.08	-43.7	0.6%	0	-2.1	40	0
10	Feb_13_2013	165.11	161.57	161.06	160.41	160.01	159.4	159.05(-0.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-60	-30	-63	-51	8.96	41%	-0.07	-26	0.6%	0	-2	39	0

11	Feb_12_2013	165.23	161.76	161.39	161.08	160.64	159.61	159.89(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-110	-50	-127	-60	7.63	41%	-0.07	-4.4	0.6%	0	-1.7	34	0
12	Feb_11_2013	165.35	161.86	161.52	161.49	161.33	160.62	159.7(-1.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-112	-30	-129	-62	12.15	41%	-0.08	14.3	0.6%	0	-2.1	31	0
13	Feb_8_2013	165.48	161.94	161.61	161.95	161.96	161.68	161.57(-0.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-30	-10	-32	-23	6.09	48%	-0.06	33.9	0.58%	0	-0.4	41	0
14	Feb_7_2013	165.58	161.96	161.53	161.93	161.99	162.04	161.84(-0.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-21	0	-17	-33	12.83	48%	-0.06	37.5	0.59%	0	-0.1	41	0
15	Feb_6_2013	165.68	161.9	161.48	161.8	162.03	162.25	162.39(0.27%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.6	24	10	39	-23	6.15	53%	-0.06	20.3	0.59%	0	0.5	48	0

16	Feb_5_2013	165.78	161.82	161.54	161.76	161.78	161.95	161.96(-0.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	1	10	11	-30	8.98	53%	-0.05	11.3	0.64%	0	0.1	46	0
17	Feb_4_2013	165.87	161.7	161.68	161.57	161.85	161.81	162(0.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	19	0	31	-19	7.36	53%	-0.06	1.4	0.64%	0	0.3	53	0
18	Feb_1_2013	165.97	161.63	161.77	161.22	161.67	161.61	161.45(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-7	10	1	-29	12.9	47%	-0.07	-9.9	0.69%	0	-0.2	54	0
19	Jan_31_2013	166.08	161.62	161.95	161.06	161.27	161.88	161.2(-0.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	7	30	16	-21	9.34	47%	-0.04	-12.5	0.69%	0	-0.4	47	0
20	Jan_30_2013	166.15	161.71	162.1	161.11	161.11	161.74	162.19(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	67	30	83	17	12.02	47%	-0.04	-1.4	0.69%	0	0.4	59	0

21	Jan_29_2013	166.21	161.7	162.13	161.31	160.92	160.66	160.99(0.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-21	-20	-24	-11	7.37	45%	-0.04	9.2	0.69%	0	-0.6	54	0
22	Jan_28_2013	166.27	161.69	162.21	161.85	161.55	160.48	160.29(-0.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-76	-50	-97	-14	8.5	45%	-0.05	25.3	0.69%	0	-1.1	58	0
23	Jan_25_2013	166.36	161.74	162.32	162.41	162.39	161.18	160.65(-0.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-112	-50	-145	-12	9.04	45%	-0.03	36.5	0.69%	0	-0.9	53	0
24	Jan_24_2013	166.41	161.76	162.48	162.95	163.11	162.62	161.42(-1.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-58	-20	-87	31	13.19	45%	-0.02	46.6	0.7%	0	-0.3	52	0
25	Jan_23_2013	166.44	161.73	162.42	163.19	163.4	163.6	163.21(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	27	10	13	68	6.7	45%		37.8	0.69%	0	1.2	48	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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