Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Aug. 14, 2012

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Fri. May. 24, 2024)

(SPDR Gold Shares)
GLD latest price $155.1300 (-0.55%) ($154.8300 - $155.5800) on Tue. Aug. 14, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $155.1300(-0.55%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GLD declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GLD declines -0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GLD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
LQD(32%)    TIP(32%)    IGOV(26%)    TLT(24%)    PCY(23%)
Factors Impacting GLD price   GLD will decline at least -0.5% in a week (0% probabilities).
PEJ(-1%)    XLY(2%)    XAR(2%)    SPY(3%)    XLK(4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.5% (StdDev 1%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

Resistance Level   $155.54
5 Day Moving Average   $156.35(-0.78%)
10 Day Moving Average   $155.94(-0.52%)
20 Day Moving Average   $155.54(-0.26%)
To recent high   -1.8%
To recent low   3.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GLD price fluctuates within 0.97% (three month std-dev: 1%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120914

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_14_2012	156.28	155.54	155.94	156.35	156.39	155.87	155.13(-0.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-55	-20	-63	-32	5.08	47%	-0.06	46.4	1%	0	-0.3	49	0
2	Aug_13_2012	156.37	155.47	156.08	156.58	156.73	156.87	155.99(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	2	10	-0	8	4.57	47%	-0.04	55.1	1.02%	0	0.3	63	0
3	Aug_10_2012	156.43	155.39	156.21	156.65	156.66	156.9	157.18(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	28	10	26	35	4.61	47%	-0.01	56.6	1.02%	0	1.2	70	0
4	Aug_9_2012	156.45	155.23	156.22	156.32	156.42	156.59	156.99(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	31	10	27	43	3.18	47%	-0.03	51	1.02%	0	1.1	65	0
5	Aug_8_2012	156.49	155.01	156.19	155.75	156.04	156.42	156.48(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	32	20	28	43	3.62	44%	-0.02	33.3	1.02%	0	0.9	65	0

6	Aug_7_2012	156.52	154.84	156.11	155.48	155.5	156.25	156.28(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	40	30	37	50	5.93	44%	-0.04	15.2	1.05%	0	0.9	65	0
7	Aug_6_2012	156.58	154.64	155.86	155.52	155.2	155.65	156.3(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	37	10	33	50	4.61	44%	-0.03	7.8	1.05%	0	1	63	0
8	Aug_3_2012	156.63	154.52	155.55	155.75	155.42	155.65	155.55(0.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-4	-40	-16	32	10.67	44%	-0.04	9	1.05%	0	0.7	56	0
9	Aug_2_2012	156.69	154.42	155.38	156.15	155.8	154.76	154.13(-0.65%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.3	-66	-50	-91	10	11.54	44%	-0.03	23.8	1.05%	0	-0.2	51	0
10	Aug_1_2012	156.74	154.49	155.34	156.67	156.57	156.07	155.14(-0.86%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1	-27	-20	-50	41	12.72	44%	-0.04	40.8	1.05%	0	0.4	63	0

11	Jul_31_2012	156.81	154.59	155.16	156.78	156.96	156.85	156.49(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	22	-0	7	68	10.92	44%	-0.06	53.2	1.05%	0	1.1	68	0
12	Jul_30_2012	156.9	154.51	154.85	156.19	156.6	156.85	157.43(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	44	30	35	72	7.21	44%	-0.06	49.1	1.05%	0	1.7	76	0
13	Jul_27_2012	156.99	154.37	154.5	155.31	155.75	157.07	157.54(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	85	70	87	77	9.77	44%	-0.05	45.5	1.05%	0	2.1	62	0
14	Jul_26_2012	157.07	154.05	154.13	154.53	154.59	156.14	156.77(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	103	70	113	73	7.34	44%	-0.04	28.3	1.05%	0	1.8	61	0
15	Jul_25_2012	157.14	153.84	153.69	153.85	153.75	154.44	155.67(1.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	75	30	87	39	9.36	44%	-0.04	7.7	1.05%	0	1.3	47	0

16	Jul_24_2012	157.21	153.68	153.41	153.33	153.25	153.04	153.52(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-5	-10	1	-22	6.54	41%	-0.08	-17	1.04%	0	-0.1	32	0
17	Jul_23_2012	157.34	153.7	153.28	153.32	153.16	153.07	153.03(-0.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-32	-10	-28	-44	5.26	41%	-0.08	-31.8	1.04%	0	-0.5	43	0
18	Jul_20_2012	157.47	153.69	153.28	153.56	153.37	153.47	153.67(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-7	0	2	-32	8.58	41%	-0.09	-43.8	1.04%	0	-0	44	0
19	Jul_19_2012	157.61	153.61	153.38	153.65	153.62	153.26	153.38(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-7	-20	-1	-23	6.07	41%	-0.07	-58.7	1.03%	0	-0.2	59	0
20	Jul_18_2012	157.72	153.73	153.58	153.49	153.72	153.27	153.05(-0.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-27	-20	-27	-27	6.81	41%	-0.13	-62.2	1.03%	0	-0.5	52	0

21	Jul_17_2012	157.93	153.92	153.99	153.48	153.47	153.98	153.47(-0.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-0	20	0	-1	13.03	41%	-0.11	-55.6	1.04%	0	-0.3	53	0
22	Jul_16_2012	158.11	154.13	154.15	153.22	153.26	154.17	154.21(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	55	40	65	24	5.71	41%	-0.12	-47.5	1.03%	0	0	51	0
23	Jul_13_2012	158.3	154.29	154.24	153.18	153.06	152.97	154.14(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	29	-10	32	19	5.08	41%	-0.12	-37.9	1.03%	0	-0.1	54	0
24	Jul_12_2012	158.49	154.45	153.96	153.1	153.04	152.35	152.59(-0.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-52	-30	-61	-23	11.4	41%	-0.13	-30.7	1.03%	0	-0.9	53	0
25	Jul_11_2012	158.7	154.68	154.02	153.71	153.52	153.16	152.99(0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-49	-20	-59	-20	6.84	41%		-23.2	1.04%	0	-0.8	43	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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