Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GLD: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. May. 17, 2012

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Tue. Jun. 18, 2024)

(SPDR Gold Shares)
GLD latest price $152.8000 (2.23%) ($150.3800 - $153.4000) on Thu. May. 17, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.16% (three month average)
RSI   25
Latest Price   $152.8000(2.23%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GLD declines -0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GLD declines -3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GLD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(32%)    LQD(31%)    IGOV(26%)    TLT(24%)    PCY(22%)
Factors Impacting GLD price   GLD will decline at least -0.58% in a week (0% probabilities).
PEJ(-1%)    XLY(2%)    XAR(2%)    SPY(3%)    XLK(4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.58% (StdDev 1.16%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.3%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $148.22(-3%)
Resistance Level   $156.96
5 Day Moving Average   $151.38(0.94%)
10 Day Moving Average   $153.88(-0.7%)
20 Day Moving Average   $156.96(-2.65%)
To recent high   -11.9%
To recent low   2.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GLD price fluctuates within 2.47% (three month std-dev: 1.16%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 1.17%(50%) Average negative next day return: -4.27%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -4.69%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -7.98%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120617

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_17_2012	162.15	156.96	153.88	151.38	150.85	150.71	152.8(2.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-28	-20	13	-150	18.09	34%	0.01	-58.7	1.16%	0	-1.1	25	NAN
2	May_16_2012	162.13	157.3	154.47	151.77	151.3	150.03	149.46(-0.19%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-118	-70	-91	-199	16.76	28%	-0.04	-62.1	1.12%	0	-2.1	12	NAN
3	May_15_2012	162.19	157.83	155.58	152.77	152.67	150.99	149.74(-1.05%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-130	-80	-111	-188	13.36	28%	-0.08	-64.9	1.12%	0	-2.4	21	NAN
4	May_14_2012	162.32	158.39	156.76	154.03	153.62	152.58	151.33(-1.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-138	-60	-128	-168	13.39	28%	-0.03	-67.6	1.12%	0	-2.5	25	NAN
5	May_11_2012	162.37	158.88	157.83	155.58	154.77	154.36	153.56(-0.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-75	-30	-64	-109	8.29	29%	-0.01	-62.1	1.1%	0	-2.3	31	NAN

6	May_10_2012	162.39	159.27	158.64	156.76	156.11	154.66	154.77(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-66	-80	-61	-80	7.46	29%	-0.02	-48.5	1.11%	0	-2.2	32	NAN
7	May_9_2012	162.42	159.67	159.29	157.6	157.15	155.18	154.47(-0.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-139	-100	-153	-97	13.87	29%	-0.01	-30.1	1.11%	0	-2.9	32	NAN
8	May_8_2012	162.44	160.03	159.86	158.82	158.33	157.56	156(-1.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-100	-40	-114	-59	17.86	29%	0.01	-11.6	1.1%	0	-2.9	37	NAN
9	May_7_2012	162.43	160.3	160.25	159.89	159.43	159.13	159.08(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-19	-20	-23	-5	4.93	37%	0.02	6.2	1.08%	0	-1.2	44	NAN
10	May_4_2012	162.39	160.33	160.27	160.45	160.07	159.1	159.47(0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-37	-50	-47	-8	11.39	37%	0.04	9.4	1.09%	0	-0.8	44	NAN

11	May_3_2012	162.32	160.28	160.3	160.83	160.56	159.73	158.97(-1.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-66	-40	-82	-19	13.18	34%	0.04	5.8	1.1%	0	-1.2	39	NAN
12	May_2_2012	162.25	160.22	160.37	161.24	161.2	161.04	160.59(-0.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-10	-10	-15	6	5.64	34%	0.01	-1.3	1.12%	0	0.3	35	NAN
13	May_1_2012	162.23	160.18	160.24	161.05	161.27	161.38	161.32(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	10	22	12	7.42	34%	-0.01	-17.7	1.12%	0	0.9	50	NAN
14	Apr_30_2012	162.24	160.18	160.12	160.64	160.66	161.36	161.88(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	20	30	25	3	8.01	34%	-0.03	-29.1	1.12%	0	1.2	52	NAN
15	Apr_27_2012	162.29	160.24	159.96	160.08	160.28	161.16	161.38(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	62	40	77	17	8.38	34%	-0.02	-37.9	1.12%	0	0.8	60	NAN

16	Apr_26_2012	162.33	160.22	159.88	159.71	159.53	159.97	161.03(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	28	20	37	1	10.92	34%	-0.06	-40.2	1.13%	0	0.6	64	NAN
17	Apr_25_2012	162.42	160.23	160	159.39	159.22	159.4	159.62(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	9	0	11	1	15.1	40%	-0.06	-43.2	1.12%	0	-0.4	64	NAN
18	Apr_24_2012	162.51	160.4	160.14	159.33	159.36	159.09	159.3(0.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	1	-10	1	-1	5.2	40%	-0.05	-31.3	1.18%	0	-0.7	48	NAN
19	Apr_23_2012	162.59	160.64	160.32	159.52	159.33	159.03	159.07(-0.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-33	-20	-38	-18	8.88	40%	-0.07	-18.5	1.18%	0	-0.9	38	NAN
20	Apr_20_2012	162.71	160.77	160.38	159.8	159.72	159.62	159.54(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-10	-10	-10	-10	9.15	40%	-0.06	-13.2	1.18%	0	-0.7	42	NAN

21	Apr_19_2012	162.81	160.79	160.29	160.06	159.96	159.64	159.43(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-24	-20	-25	-20	9.92	40%	-0.07	-13.2	1.18%	0	-0.8	45	NAN
22	Apr_18_2012	162.92	160.84	160.11	160.72	160.38	159.81	159.31(-0.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-35	-30	-38	-26	7.47	40%	-0.05	-1	1.18%	0	-0.9	44	NAN
23	Apr_17_2012	163	160.89	160.18	161.07	160.95	160.28	160.27(-0.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-34	-30	-36	-29	7.59	40%	-0.04	-1	1.19%	0	-0.4	41	NAN
24	Apr_16_2012	163.07	160.96	160.41	161.24	161.2	160.95	160.46(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-25	-10	-25	-26	6.67	40%	-0.02	-7.8	1.19%	0	-0.3	38	NAN
25	Apr_13_2012	163.1	161	160.56	161.02	161.15	161.63	160.85(-1.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	17	20	25	-8	10.04	40%		-25.5	1.2%	0	-0.1	49	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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