Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GLD: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Apr. 23, 2012

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Fri. May. 31, 2024)

(SPDR Gold Shares)
GLD latest price $159.0700 (-0.29%) ($157.8800 - $159.1800) on Mon. Apr. 23, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.18% (three month average)
RSI   38
Latest Price   $159.0700(-0.29%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GLD declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GLD declines -0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GLD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(32%)    LQD(31%)    IGOV(26%)    TLT(24%)    PCY(22%)
Factors Impacting GLD price   GLD will decline at least -0.59% in a week (0% probabilities).
PEJ(-1%)    XLY(2%)    XAR(2%)    SPY(3%)    XLK(4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.59% (StdDev 1.18%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

Resistance Level   $160.64
5 Day Moving Average   $159.52(-0.28%)
10 Day Moving Average   $160.32(-0.78%)
20 Day Moving Average   $160.64(-0.98%)
To recent high   -8.3%
To recent low   1.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GLD price fluctuates within 1.08% (three month std-dev: 1.18%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0.84%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -1.17%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.77%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120523

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_23_2012	162.59	160.64	160.32	159.52	159.33	159.03	159.07(-0.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-33	-20	-38	-18	8.88	40%	-0.07	-18.5	1.18%	0	-0.9	38	NAN
2	Apr_20_2012	162.71	160.77	160.38	159.8	159.72	159.62	159.54(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-10	-10	-10	-10	9.15	40%	-0.06	-13.2	1.18%	0	-0.7	42	NAN
3	Apr_19_2012	162.81	160.79	160.29	160.06	159.96	159.64	159.43(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-24	-20	-25	-20	9.92	40%	-0.07	-13.2	1.18%	0	-0.8	45	NAN
4	Apr_18_2012	162.92	160.84	160.11	160.72	160.38	159.81	159.31(-0.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-35	-30	-38	-26	7.47	40%	-0.05	-1	1.18%	0	-0.9	44	NAN
5	Apr_17_2012	163	160.89	160.18	161.07	160.95	160.28	160.27(-0.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-34	-30	-36	-29	7.59	40%	-0.04	-1	1.19%	0	-0.4	41	NAN

6	Apr_16_2012	163.07	160.96	160.41	161.24	161.2	160.95	160.46(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-25	-10	-25	-26	6.67	40%	-0.02	-7.8	1.19%	0	-0.3	38	NAN
7	Apr_13_2012	163.1	161	160.56	161.02	161.15	161.63	160.85(-1.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	17	20	25	-8	10.04	40%	-0.01	-25.5	1.2%	0	-0.1	49	NAN
8	Apr_12_2012	163.12	161.01	160.59	160.51	160.65	161.46	162.7(1.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	51	40	67	4	9.23	40%	-0.01	-45.1	1.19%	0	1	58	NAN
9	Apr_11_2012	163.14	160.85	160.44	159.41	159.75	160.67	161.07(-0.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	42	50	61	-14	10.01	40%	-0.03	-76.2	1.19%	0	0.1	53	NAN
10	Apr_10_2012	163.19	160.91	160.62	159.18	158.81	159.85	161.1(1.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	18	40	31	-22	14.29	43%	-0.01	-80.6	1.19%	0	0.1	53	NAN

11	Apr_9_2012	163.21	161.08	160.91	159.54	159.11	158.83	159.37(0.67%)	RB	SmallLong	20	-0.1	12	-20	20	-13	8.25	43%	-0.08	-67.5	1.19%	0	-0.9	45	NAN
12	Apr_5_2012	163.34	161.42	161.14	160.09	159.87	157.77	158.31(0.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-86	-100	-98	-51	8.97	43%	-0.09	-50	1.18%	0	-1.4	43	NAN
13	Apr_4_2012	163.48	161.76	161.32	160.69	160.79	159.38	157.21(-1.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-121	-60	-141	-62	15.98	43%	-0.1	-47.8	1.18%	0	-2.1	41	NAN
14	Apr_3_2012	163.65	162.1	161.68	161.55	161.68	161.97	159.89(-1.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-14	10	-20	4	16.83	51%	-0.08	-44.4	1.17%	0	-1.2	53	NAN
15	Apr_2_2012	163.78	162.25	161.74	162.22	161.82	162.2	162.94(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	24	10	23	26	7.55	54%	-0.07	-58.7	1.18%	0	0.4	51	NAN

16	Mar_30_2012	163.9	162.37	161.59	162.51	162.17	161.38	162.12(0.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-8	-40	-13	8	7.53	54%	-0.05	-63.4	1.19%	0	-0.1	41	NAN
17	Mar_29_2012	163.99	162.56	161.51	162.39	162.65	161.44	161.28(-0.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-54	-50	-62	-28	11.03	54%	-0.07	-72.3	1.2%	0	-0.6	35	NAN
18	Mar_28_2012	164.11	162.81	161.49	162.05	162.72	162.96	161.51(-1.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-19	20	-16	-27	11.02	50%	-0.07	-90	1.2%	0	-0.6	40	NAN
19	Mar_27_2012	164.23	162.95	161.32	161.79	161.95	163.86	163.24(-0.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	62	90	83	-3	10.92	50%	-0.07	-79.5	1.23%	0	0.1	48	NAN
20	Mar_26_2012	164.35	163.41	161.19	161.17	161.12	162.48	164.4(1.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	94	60	125	2	13.23	50%	-0.04	-72.4	1.24%	0	0.3	54	NAN

21	Mar_23_2012	164.42	163.73	161.18	160.61	160.25	160.05	161.53(1.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-6	-20	11	-56	10.69	47%	-0.07	-64.6	1.23%	0	-0.5	39	NAN
22	Mar_22_2012	164.53	164.23	161.61	160.56	160.3	159.76	159.57(-0.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-52	-30	-43	-80	11.11	44%	-0.06	-56.4	1.22%	0	-1.1	32	NAN
23	Mar_21_2012	164.63	164.89	162.17	160.86	160.75	160.46	160.21(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-27	-10	-13	-68	6.68	44%	-0.04	-48.5	1.22%	0	-1	33	NAN
24	Mar_20_2012	164.7	165.51	162.53	160.73	160.72	160.83	160.13(-0.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-25	0	-9	-71	11.65	44%	-0.05	-44.5	1.22%	0	-1.2	41	NAN
25	Mar_19_2012	164.78	166.06	162.81	161.17	160.56	161.04	161.59(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-23	10	-1	-90	9.92	44%		-39.5	1.23%	0	-1	29	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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