Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Dec. 23, 2011

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Tue. Jun. 25, 2024)

(SPDR Gold Shares)
GLD latest price $156.3100 (0.17%) ($155.8200 - $156.4900) on Fri. Dec. 23, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.41% (three month average)
RSI   29
Latest Price   $156.3100(0.17%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GLD advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GLD declines -3.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GLD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(32%)    LQD(30%)    IGOV(27%)    PCY(22%)    TLT(22%)
Factors Impacting GLD price   GLD will decline at least -0.705% in a week (0% probabilities).
PEJ(-1%)    XLY(2%)    XAR(2%)    XLK(4%)    SPY(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.705% (StdDev 1.41%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0%

Resistance Level   $161.79
5 Day Moving Average   $156.27(0.03%)
10 Day Moving Average   $156.19(0.08%)
20 Day Moving Average   $161.79(-3.39%)
To recent high   -10.7%
To recent low   2.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GLD price fluctuates within 3.8% (three month std-dev: 1.41%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120123

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_23_2011	167.92	161.79	156.19	156.27	156.57	156.19	156.31(0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-39	-10	-5	-141	3.57	40%	-0.03	-36.8	1.41%	0	-0.9	29	0
2	Dec_22_2011	167.97	162.17	157.1	156.06	156.29	156.54	156.04(-0.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-34	20	-0	-137	9.89	38%	-0.03	-40.9	1.56%	0	-1	26	0
3	Dec_21_2011	168.02	162.64	158.02	155.31	155.94	156.95	157.16(0.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	6	60	52	-133	12.01	38%	-0.03	-50.5	1.59%	0	-0.9	27	0
4	Dec_20_2011	168.07	163.07	159.14	154.46	155.06	156.05	156.98(1.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-5	60	44	-150	9.14	38%	-0.01	-62.1	1.59%	0	-1	26	0
5	Dec_19_2011	168.08	163.43	160.21	154.75	154.51	154.92	154.87(-0.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-48	10	-9	-166	12.55	37%	-0.02	-70.8	1.6%	0	-1.5	31	0

6	Dec_16_2011	168.11	164.09	161.46	156.18	155.8	154.07	155.23(1.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-82	-90	-53	-168	18.13	37%	-0.01	-73.6	1.6%	0	-1.7	32	0
7	Dec_15_2011	168.13	164.73	162.91	158.41	157.62	154.1	152.33(-0.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-191	-170	-192	-186	21.52	33%	-0.03	-72	1.59%	0	-2.5	35	0
8	Dec_14_2011	168.18	165.72	164.71	161.14	160.91	157.54	152.89(-3.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-181	-150	-193	-144	42.33	33%	-0.03	-68.2	1.6%	0	-3	34	0
9	Dec_13_2011	168.23	166.78	166.53	164.44	163.86	161.14	158.45(-2.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-138	-130	-157	-81	25.04	36%	0.01	-60.7	1.55%	0	-2.5	40	0
10	Dec_12_2011	168.22	167.54	167.48	166.39	166	164.27	161.99(-2.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-89	-80	-109	-29	15.34	36%	0.04	-53	1.53%	0	-1.8	50	0

11	Dec_9_2011	168.16	168.13	168.02	167.46	167.29	166.57	166.4(0.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-38	-30	-52	6	8.35	38%	0.07	-39.2	1.52%	0	-0.6	48	0
12	Dec_8_2011	168.04	168.37	167.78	168.14	167.73	167.72	165.98(-2.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-21	-10	-33	16	11.73	42%	0.06	-33.9	1.52%	0	-0.8	48	0
13	Dec_7_2011	167.94	168.67	167.72	168.87	168.63	168.01	169.4(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	9	-30	3	26	10.36	41%	0.09	-23.2	1.54%	0	0.2	44	0
14	Dec_6_2011	167.79	168.84	167.31	169.02	168.83	167.75	168.18(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-47	-50	-58	-14	10.39	41%	0.07	-12.8	1.59%	0	-0.2	39	0
15	Dec_5_2011	167.67	169.16	166.87	168.76	169.49	169.25	167.32(-1.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-14	0	-12	-18	10.26	41%	0.07	-4.3	1.58%	0	-0.5	37	0

16	Dec_2_2011	167.55	169.34	166.88	168.62	169.07	169.91	169.82(0.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	20	40	32	-16	8.43	44%	0.09	-3.8	1.59%	0	0.1	39	0
17	Dec_1_2011	167.4	169.42	166.57	167.33	168.2	169.73	169.63(-0.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	54	80	79	-20	11.61	44%	0.1	-11.4	1.64%	0	0.1	46	0
18	Nov_30_2011	167.24	169.39	166.67	166.37	166.74	168.24	170.13(1.95%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.1	52	70	80	-34	11.82	48%	0.1	-16.7	1.62%	0	0.2	45	0
19	Nov_29_2011	167.07	169.26	166.88	165.41	165.4	166.67	166.88(0.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	27	50	55	-56	9.2	44%	0.1	-22.2	1.65%	0	-0.7	36	0
20	Nov_28_2011	166.91	169.31	167.46	164.73	165.02	165.24	166.63(1.98%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	12	10	40	-73	12.01	44%	0.1	-19.5	1.67%	0	-0.8	33	0

21	Nov_25_2011	166.75	169.47	168.14	164.93	164.54	164.14	163.4(-0.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-56	-20	-42	-99	6.1	45%	0.19	-5.8	1.69%	0	-1.7	38	0
22	Nov_23_2011	166.43	169.82	168.95	165.67	165.47	164.81	164.83(-0.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-44	-30	-30	-86	11.49	39%	0.11	16.6	1.73%	0	-1.6	38	0
23	Nov_22_2011	166.25	169.99	169.69	167.01	166.47	164.93	165.31(1.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-75	-70	-72	-82	12.1	42%	-0.01	40.2	1.78%	0	-1.5	46	0
24	Nov_21_2011	166.26	170.05	170.54	168.62	168.1	166.13	163.5(-2.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-91	-90	-99	-65	22.04	42%	0.11	54.1	1.81%	0	-1.9	47	0
25	Nov_18_2011	166.08	170.01	171.73	170.56	170.19	168	167.62(0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-75	-100	-90	-28	14.17	47%		61.5	1.79%	0	-0.6	54	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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