Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Nov. 14, 2011

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Wed. May. 22, 2024)

(SPDR Gold Shares)
GLD latest price $173.2000 (-0.44%) ($172.5900 - $173.8600) on Mon. Nov. 14, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.79% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $173.2000(-0.44%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GLD declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GLD advances 1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GLD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(31%)    LQD(30%)    IGOV(27%)    PCY(22%)    TLT(22%)
Factors Impacting GLD price   GLD will decline at least -0.895% in a week (0% probabilities).
PEJ(0%)    XLY(3%)    XAR(3%)    XLK(5%)    SPY(5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.895% (StdDev 1.79%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $172.78(0.24%)
10 Day Moving Average   $171.88(0.77%)
20 Day Moving Average   $168.17(2.99%)
To recent high   -6.2%
To recent low   10.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GLD price fluctuates within 3.07% (three month std-dev: 1.79%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 0.94%(67%) Average negative next day return: -2.03%(33%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 1.61%(83%) Average negative next three day return: -1%(17%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 1.81%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.05%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20111214

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_14_2011	165.12	168.17	171.88	172.78	172.71	173.2	173.2(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	32	20	24	57	5.89	51%	0.16	50.5	1.79%	0	1	68	0
2	Nov_11_2011	164.85	167.64	171.32	173.14	172.89	172.15	173.96(1.65%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	15	-30	-1	64	8.73	49%	0.16	53.6	1.79%	0	1.2	76	0
3	Nov_10_2011	164.59	167.09	170.87	172.51	173.1	172.22	171.14(-0.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-13	-30	-38	62	11.85	51%	0.12	55.7	1.8%	0	0.8	75	0
4	Nov_9_2011	164.39	166.65	170.72	172.63	173	173.63	172.07(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	27	30	3	100	12.31	52%	0.13	59.9	1.85%	0	1.1	80	0
5	Nov_8_2011	164.17	166.19	170.27	172.03	172.5	173.97	173.53(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	89	70	73	138	16.06	54%	0.15	61.7	1.85%	0	1.5	76	0

6	Nov_7_2011	163.93	165.59	169.48	170.8	171.15	172.37	174.98(2.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	92	60	78	134	20.14	54%	0.15	63.6	1.89%	0	2.1	72	0
7	Nov_4_2011	163.68	164.96	168.1	169.27	169.08	171.03	170.85(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	59	80	44	104	11.06	53%	0.13	61.9	1.87%	0	1.4	66	0
8	Nov_3_2011	163.46	164.37	167.01	169.02	168.26	169.94	171.72(1.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	92	60	85	113	17.61	53%	0.14	65	1.87%	0	1.9	65	0
9	Nov_2_2011	163.23	163.79	165.65	168.59	167.83	167.14	169.06(1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	33	-40	18	76	14.54	54%	0.12	70.9	1.86%	0	1.5	64	0
10	Nov_1_2011	163.03	163.3	164.74	168.26	167.79	166.58	167.38(0.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-33	-60	-56	38	15.34	54%	0.12	74	1.88%	0	1.1	58	0

11	Oct_31_2011	162.83	162.82	164.18	167.9	168.19	168.52	167.34(-1.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	25	20	12	62	8.44	54%	0.11	70.3	1.88%	0	1.3	61	0
12	Oct_28_2011	162.65	162.48	163.68	166.64	167.16	169	169.62(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	77	90	78	75	9.36	54%	0.12	66.2	1.87%	0	2.1	62	0
13	Oct_27_2011	162.45	161.88	162.98	164.62	164.98	167.87	169.55(1.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	109	130	119	77	15.88	54%	0.12	52.4	1.87%	0	2.5	69	0
14	Oct_26_2011	162.25	161.26	162.18	162.26	162.78	165.31	167.4(1.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	117	120	136	61	17.12	54%	0.1	16.5	1.86%	0	2.2	63	0
15	Oct_25_2011	162.08	160.7	161.69	160.75	160.34	162.09	165.59(2.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	55	70	66	23	22.13	54%	0.09	-31.7	1.86%	0	2.1	62	0

16	Oct_24_2011	161.93	160.42	161.29	160	159.61	160.25	161.02(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	37	20	44	14	10.2	52%	0.07	-75.9	1.83%	0	0.3	59	0
17	Oct_21_2011	161.82	160.26	161.5	160.32	159.55	158.6	159.52(1.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-25	-60	-30	-8	13.34	52%	0.06	-106.1	1.83%	0	-0.3	48	0
18	Oct_20_2011	161.72	160.28	161.52	161.1	160.42	158.98	157.77(-1.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-57	-80	-71	-13	17.37	53%	0.05	-97.2	1.83%	0	-0.9	52	0
19	Oct_19_2011	161.64	160.81	161.52	162.01	161.85	160.51	159.87(-1.22%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.6	-33	-60	-48	12	8.54	52%	0.06	-71.8	1.82%	0	-0.2	57	0
20	Oct_18_2011	161.54	161.43	161.85	162.68	162.22	161.86	161.84(-0.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-30	-20	-49	27	15.39	53%	0.01	-56.7	1.82%	0	0.1	64	0

21	Oct_17_2011	161.53	162.05	161.47	162.74	162.93	163.19	162.62(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	28	10	20	50	8.77	53%	0.08	-53.3	1.82%	0	0.1	53	0
22	Oct_14_2011	161.4	162.53	161.3	162.87	162.64	162.59	163.4(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	19	-10	7	54	9.74	53%	0.09	-49.9	1.82%	0	0.1	60	0
23	Oct_13_2011	161.25	163.08	160.77	162.02	162.45	162.67	162.3(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	18	20	10	43	8.33	53%	0.09	-53.6	1.82%	0	-0.1	54	0
24	Oct_12_2011	161.11	163.64	160.32	161.66	161.96	162.69	163.26(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	30	40	31	27	10.88	53%	0.09	-55.7	1.82%	0	-0.1	41	0
25	Oct_11_2011	160.96	164.27	159.62	160.9	161.14	162.23	162.1(-0.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	34	50	48	-7	8.26	54%		-54.4	1.82%	0	-0.3	35	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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