Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GLD: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Aug. 19, 2011

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Tue. Jun. 18, 2024)

(SPDR Gold Shares)
GLD latest price $179.9500 (1.25%) ($178.9100 - $181.6700) on Fri. Aug. 19, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.99% (three month average)
RSI   84
Latest Price   $179.9500(1.25%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GLD advances 1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GLD advances 4.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GLD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(32%)    LQD(31%)    IGOV(27%)    PCY(23%)    TLT(22%)
Factors Impacting GLD price   GLD will decline at least -0.495% in a week (0% probabilities).
PEJ(-1%)    XLY(2%)    XLK(4%)    SPY(4%)    QQQ(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.495% (StdDev 0.99%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $175.56(2.5%)
10 Day Moving Average   $173.09(3.96%)
20 Day Moving Average   $166.45(8.11%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   24.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GLD price fluctuates within 4.58% (three month std-dev: 0.99%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 22 Average positive next day return: 1.94%(41%) Average negative next day return: -1.95%(59%) Sample size 22 Average positive next three day return: 3.19%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -2.23%(50%) Sample size 22 Average positive next weekly return: 4.02%(45%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.69%(55%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110919

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_19_2011	151.73	166.45	173.09	175.56	176.3	178.94	179.95(1.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	291	120	263	375	34.41	74%	0.26	69.2	0.99%	0	1.8	84	NAN
2	Aug_18_2011	151.33	165.23	171.3	173.57	173.79	175.7	177.72(1.89%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	215	80	180	320	25.51	73%	0.27	66	0.99%	0	1.7	81	NAN
3	Aug_17_2011	150.93	164.06	169.61	172.17	171.79	173.66	174.42(0.29%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	159	70	115	289	16.48	71%	0.25	65.6	0.97%	0	1.5	80	NAN
4	Aug_16_2011	150.56	163.12	168.34	172.2	171.03	171.88	173.92(1.23%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	163	10	113	312	19.66	71%	0.24	70.1	0.97%	0	1.7	80	NAN
5	Aug_15_2011	150.2	162.14	167.09	171.14	171.07	169.92	171.8(1.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	70	-50	4	266	17.81	70%	0.23	72.1	0.97%	0	1.6	77	NAN

6	Aug_12_2011	149.86	161.34	165.71	170.21	170.9	170.17	169.97(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	11	-20	-62	228	29.23	69%	0.21	76.3	0.97%	0	1.5	76	NAN
7	Aug_11_2011	149.55	160.58	164.56	168.56	170.12	172.23	170.75(-2.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	170	110	131	286	49.89	67%	0.21	76	0.96%	0	1.8	79	NAN
8	Aug_10_2011	149.24	159.74	163.21	166.54	167.76	171.62	174.58(3.54%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.6	329	180	324	342	44.8	72%	0.24	76.6	0.92%	0	2.9	91	NAN
9	Aug_9_2011	148.88	158.66	161.38	163.92	164.89	168.02	168.61(0.89%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	334	150	340	314	55.77	70%	0.2	86.5	0.83%	0	2.5	81	NAN
10	Aug_8_2011	148.58	157.84	160.24	162.5	162.94	163.9	167.12(3.32%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	216	50	208	240	43	69%	0.2	95	0.84%	0	2.7	82	NAN

11	Aug_5_2011	148.28	157.04	159.21	160.62	161.47	161.76	161.75(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	62	30	35	144	24.56	58%	0.17	102.1	0.75%	0	1.5	65	NAN
12	Aug_4_2011	148.03	156.47	158.64	159.93	160.51	161.98	160.64(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	101	70	88	139	40.38	54%	0.17	97.6	0.84%	0	1.3	67	NAN
13	Aug_3_2011	147.78	155.91	158.07	159.27	159.63	161.19	161.49(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	175	80	180	161	27.82	54%	0.18	91.7	0.86%	0	1.7	71	NAN
14	Aug_2_2011	147.52	155.28	157.5	158.41	158.41	159.05	161.52(2.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	97	30	91	114	24.28	52%	0.16	86.5	0.86%	0	1.8	72	NAN
15	Aug_1_2011	147.29	154.59	156.79	157.66	157.76	158.07	157.72(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	37	20	23	79	14.83	47%	0.14	90.8	0.83%	0	1	69	NAN

16	Jul_29_2011	147.09	153.98	156.67	157.58	157.65	157.78	158.29(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	53	10	36	105	17.13	50%	0.14	76.8	0.83%	0	1.2	75	NAN
17	Jul_28_2011	146.88	153.38	156.35	157.15	157.38	157.45	157.32(0.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	35	10	12	104	11.37	50%	0.12	67.6	0.86%	0	1	76	NAN
18	Jul_27_2011	146.7	152.88	156.08	156.65	157.12	157.52	157.19(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	59	30	37	126	18.3	54%	0.12	59.2	0.86%	0	1.1	78	NAN
19	Jul_26_2011	146.52	152.34	155.78	156.42	156.5	157.32	157.77(0.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	82	40	60	149	11.74	54%	0.12	51.9	0.89%	0	1.3	81	NAN
20	Jul_25_2011	146.34	151.74	155.28	155.79	155.96	156.73	157.34(0.78%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	100	40	78	165	13.04	54%	0.13	43	0.89%	0	1.4	82	NAN

21	Jul_22_2011	146.15	151.18	154.72	155.64	155.45	155.68	156.12(0.83%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	66	10	30	175	11.38	54%	0.12	39.1	0.88%	0	1.2	85	NAN
22	Jul_21_2011	145.97	150.77	154.16	155.46	155.47	155.19	154.83(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	48	-10	4	180	18.42	54%	0.1	38.9	0.89%	0	1	77	NAN
23	Jul_20_2011	145.82	150.55	153.63	155.4	155.34	155.22	156.02(0.88%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	31	-10	-20	184	14.57	54%	0.12	42.2	0.88%	0	1.5	75	NAN
24	Jul_19_2011	145.65	150.26	152.93	155.02	155.22	155.75	154.66(-1.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	79	30	34	214	22.88	52%	0.12	45.3	0.87%	0	1.3	75	NAN
25	Jul_18_2011	145.48	150	152.26	154.64	154.9	155.45	156.57(0.88%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	132	30	94	244	17.13	55%		47.8	0.86%	0	2	84	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.