Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GLD: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. May. 17, 2011

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Tue. Jun. 25, 2024)

(SPDR Gold Shares)
GLD latest price $144.7400 (-0.43%) ($143.4200 - $144.7800) on Tue. May. 17, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.89% (three month average)
RSI   40
Latest Price   $144.7400(-0.43%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GLD declines -0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GLD declines -1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GLD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(32%)    LQD(30%)    IGOV(26%)    PCY(22%)    TLT(22%)
Factors Impacting GLD price   GLD will decline at least -0.445% in a week (0% probabilities).
PEJ(-1%)    XLY(1%)    XLK(3%)    SPY(3%)    QQQ(4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.445% (StdDev 0.89%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

Resistance Level   $147.2
5 Day Moving Average   $145.77(-0.71%)
10 Day Moving Average   $146.05(-0.9%)
20 Day Moving Average   $147.2(-1.67%)
To recent high   -5%
To recent low   7.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GLD price fluctuates within 1.43% (three month std-dev: 0.89%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 4.05%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.98%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 2.73%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 6.14%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110617

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_17_2011	138.74	147.2	146.05	145.77	145.56	145.04	144.74(-0.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-92	-30	-79	-132	17.2	60%	0.07	18.9	0.89%	0	-1.2	40	0
2	May_16_2011	138.64	147.2	146.54	146.41	146.17	145.9	145.37(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-45	-20	-31	-85	10.07	60%	0.05	35	0.89%	0	-0.9	50	0
3	May_13_2011	138.57	147.28	147.02	146.81	146.61	146.08	145.63(-0.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-36	-30	-27	-61	17.27	60%	0.08	44	0.88%	0	-0.8	49	0
4	May_12_2011	138.46	147.22	147.66	146.74	146.85	146.43	146.59(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-27	-20	-23	-38	18.73	60%	0.09	44.6	0.89%	0	-0.3	51	0
5	May_11_2011	138.34	147.02	147.98	146.12	146.63	147.14	146.54(-0.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-5	30	3	-30	21.39	60%	0.08	31.5	0.89%	0	-0.2	52	0

6	May_10_2011	138.23	146.8	148.25	146.36	146.23	147.27	147.9(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	39	50	49	7	11.29	62%	0.1	30.6	0.88%	0	0.4	56	0
7	May_9_2011	138.09	146.55	148.12	146.75	146.51	146.13	147.38(1.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	16	-20	19	7	13.85	62%	0.09	38.1	0.89%	0	0.3	55	0
8	May_6_2011	137.96	146.38	148.1	147.36	147.27	145.18	145.3(1.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-142	-100	-174	-46	24.19	62%	0.09	51	0.87%	0	-0.4	53	0
9	May_5_2011	137.84	146.26	148.29	148.77	148.82	146.89	143.47(-2.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-166	-90	-217	-12	51.28	60%	0.07	67	0.86%	0	-0.9	53	0
10	May_4_2011	137.75	146.24	148.67	150.04	150.36	149.35	147.73(-1.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-52	-40	-104	104	35.11	68%	0.09	83.8	0.77%	0	0.5	72	0

11	May_3_2011	137.63	145.97	148.52	150.34	150.55	150.75	149.88(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	38	10	-9	180	24.22	74%	0.1	91.2	0.75%	0	1.2	82	0
12	May_2_2011	137.49	145.48	148.13	149.64	150.06	151.36	150.41(-1.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	157	70	131	233	24.09	74%	0.12	84.4	0.76%	0	1.5	77	0
13	Apr_29_2011	137.33	144.92	147.6	148.93	148.75	150.35	152.37(1.7%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	192	70	173	247	27.6	79%	0.12	78.1	0.73%	0	2.3	79	0
14	Apr_28_2011	137.16	144.27	146.72	147.8	147.71	148.75	149.82(0.42%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	170	50	154	219	20.76	79%	0.12	78.5	0.71%	0	1.9	78	0
15	Apr_27_2011	137	143.71	145.94	147.14	147.02	147.16	149.2(1.93%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	86	0	62	156	21.95	71%	0.09	72	0.74%	0	1.9	77	0

16	Apr_26_2011	136.87	143.16	145.18	146.48	146.6	146.67	146.38(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	19	10	-8	101	16.24	68%	0.05	67.2	0.79%	0	1.2	73	0
17	Apr_25_2011	136.8	142.77	144.81	146.39	146.48	146.89	146.87(0.09%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	68	20	45	136	15.6	68%	0.08	64.8	0.79%	0	1.4	81	0
18	Apr_21_2011	136.69	142.38	144.48	146.03	146.07	146.52	146.74(0.16%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	85	20	61	156	10.11	68%	0.09	64.9	0.79%	0	1.6	82	0
19	Apr_20_2011	136.57	141.99	144.04	145.44	145.5	146.07	146.5(0.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	97	30	76	160	13.72	62%	0.08	68	0.79%	0	1.8	77	0
20	Apr_19_2011	136.46	141.67	143.62	144.52	144.67	145.62	145.93(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.6	105	50	89	153	10.96	62%	0.1	71	0.83%	0	1.8	79	0

21	Apr_18_2011	136.33	141.31	143.21	143.66	143.75	144.93	145.93(0.61%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	126	60	115	159	17.34	62%	0.1	72	0.83%	0	2.1	80	0
22	Apr_15_2011	136.2	140.95	142.6	143	142.88	143.73	145.05(0.86%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	101	40	88	138	19.13	62%	0.07	71.3	0.83%	0	2	76	0
23	Apr_14_2011	136.11	140.61	142.02	142.72	142.51	142.57	143.81(1.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	52	-0	33	110	14.17	61%	0.07	71.5	0.83%	0	1.7	68	0
24	Apr_13_2011	136.01	140.27	141.62	142.46	142.61	142.03	141.9(0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-2	-30	-30	83	13.89	58%	0.05	66.7	0.83%	0	0.8	64	0
25	Apr_12_2011	135.94	139.99	141.33	142.56	142.68	142.45	141.61(-0.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-18	-10	-48	72	14.95	58%		57.5	0.84%	0	0.8	55	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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