Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Oct. 26, 2010

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Fri. Jun. 21, 2024)

(SPDR Gold Shares)
GLD latest price $130.8800 (0.02%) ($129.7300 - $131.1400) on Tue. Oct. 26, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.79% (three month average)
RSI   48
Latest Price   $130.8800(0.02%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GLD advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GLD declines -0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GLD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(32%)    LQD(30%)    IGOV(27%)    PCY(22%)    TLT(21%)
Factors Impacting GLD price   GLD will decline at least -0.395% in a week (0% probabilities).
PEJ(-1%)    XLY(1%)    XLK(4%)    SPY(4%)    QQQ(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.395% (StdDev 0.79%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

Resistance Level   $131.12
5 Day Moving Average   $130.45(0.33%)
10 Day Moving Average   $131.82(-0.71%)
20 Day Moving Average   $131.12(-0.18%)
To recent high   -2.9%
To recent low   15.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GLD price fluctuates within 1.58% (three month std-dev: 0.79%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20101126

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_26_2010	122.26	131.12	131.82	130.45	130.26	130.67	130.88(0.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	15	20	29	-29	10.71	59%	0.07	39.2	0.79%	0	-0.1	48	0
2	Oct_25_2010	122.17	130.99	131.94	130.3	130.38	130.19	130.85(0.86%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	1	-10	13	-37	12.16	59%	0.1	38.4	0.79%	0	-0.1	51	0
3	Oct_22_2010	122.05	130.8	132.09	130.98	130.27	129.85	129.73(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-86	-40	-101	-41	11.89	57%	0.1	47.8	0.79%	0	-0.4	56	0
4	Oct_21_2010	121.93	130.68	132.32	131.77	131.35	130.56	129.47(-1.41%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.9	-44	-50	-63	14	21.81	57%	0.08	57.9	0.8%	0	-0.5	54	0
5	Oct_20_2010	121.83	130.55	132.46	132.83	132.27	130.7	131.32(0.93%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-93	-100	-136	35	12.56	61%	0.09	69.7	0.78%	0	0.3	62	0

6	Oct_19_2010	121.72	130.31	132.53	133.38	133.14	132.14	130.11(-3.11%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.2	-90	-60	-144	72	25.33	60%	0.07	76.6	0.78%	0	-0.1	60	0
7	Oct_18_2010	121.63	130.12	132.66	133.75	133.87	133.84	134.28(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	54	0	8	192	12.3	71%	0.12	78.6	0.67%	0	1.4	75	0
8	Oct_15_2010	121.48	129.65	132.1	133.35	133.4	134.13	133.68(-0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	86	40	47	201	26.17	66%	0.13	80.9	0.7%	0	1.3	77	0
9	Oct_14_2010	121.32	129.2	131.64	132.95	132.86	133.91	134.75(0.51%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	169	50	144	245	26.89	69%	0.13	82.6	0.69%	0	1.8	82	0
10	Oct_13_2010	121.16	128.68	130.95	132.07	132.06	132.67	134.07(1.6%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	123	30	95	207	18.4	69%	0.14	83.6	0.69%	0	1.9	82	0

11	Oct_12_2010	120.99	128.17	130.33	131.62	131.53	131.81	131.96(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	72	10	34	185	13.3	66%	0.13	87.3	0.67%	0	1.4	79	0
12	Oct_11_2010	120.83	127.77	129.92	131.42	131.46	131.46	132.29(0.48%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	84	0	46	196	10.63	66%	0.14	83.9	0.68%	0	1.6	82	0
13	Oct_8_2010	120.66	127.24	129.36	130.66	131.16	131.24	131.66(0.99%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	63	20	27	172	18.7	66%	0.13	76.5	0.69%	0	1.5	84	0
14	Oct_7_2010	120.5	126.74	128.86	130.11	130.47	131.45	130.37(-1.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	100	60	70	188	38.68	63%	0.12	71.2	0.68%	0	1.3	82	0
15	Oct_6_2010	120.36	126.31	128.46	129.62	129.76	131.07	131.81(0.63%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	192	70	180	229	16.14	61%	0.11	68.2	0.67%	0	2	93	0

16	Oct_5_2010	120.23	125.84	127.88	128.84	128.79	129.49	130.99(1.97%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	131	40	114	182	17.49	61%	0.1	67.6	0.71%	0	2	93	0
17	Oct_4_2010	120.11	125.41	127.36	128.22	128.14	128.45	128.46(-0.35%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	75	20	49	154	8.37	54%	0.07	71.9	0.68%	0	1.3	90	0
18	Oct_1_2010	120.03	125.08	127.01	127.87	127.8	128.09	128.91(0.78%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	77	10	48	162	17.21	46%	0.08	70.3	0.69%	0	1.7	97	0
19	Sep_30_2010	119.94	124.74	126.57	127.42	127.38	127.82	127.91(-0.03%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	0.2	59	20	34	134	19.21	43%	0.05	71.6	0.84%	0	1.4	95	0
20	Sep_29_2010	119.88	124.42	126.25	127.1	127.12	127.51	127.95(0.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	80	20	56	151	12.34	43%	0.07	70.9	0.84%	0	1.6	96	0

21	Sep_28_2010	119.8	124.12	125.85	126.75	126.71	126.93	127.85(0.89%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	54	10	26	138	19.86	40%	0.08	74.8	0.84%	0	1.8	80	0
22	Sep_27_2010	119.7	123.77	125.46	126.38	126.5	126.74	126.72(0.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	61	20	35	138	6.69	37%	0.08	76.8	0.85%	0	1.5	77	0
23	Sep_24_2010	119.61	123.48	124.97	126.01	126.13	126.48	126.69(0.31%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	58	20	35	125	14.95	41%	0.07	76.8	0.87%	0	1.7	80	0
24	Sep_23_2010	119.53	123.18	124.48	125.58	125.71	126.26	126.3(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	64	30	47	116	9.33	41%	0.1	75.9	0.87%	0	1.8	74	0
25	Sep_22_2010	119.41	122.93	124.01	125.25	125.33	125.78	126.2(0.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	72	30	59	112	11.06	41%		79.9	0.87%	0	2	76	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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