Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Oct. 1, 2010

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Mon. Jun. 24, 2024)

(SPDR Gold Shares)
GLD latest price $128.9100 (0.78%) ($127.9100 - $129.0700) on Fri. Oct. 1, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.69% (three month average)
RSI   97
Latest Price   $128.9100(0.78%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GLD advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GLD advances 1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GLD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(32%)    LQD(29%)    IGOV(27%)    PCY(23%)    TLT(21%)
Factors Impacting GLD price   GLD will decline at least -0.345% in a week (0% probabilities).
PEJ(-1%)    XLY(1%)    XLK(4%)    SPY(4%)    QQQ(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.345% (StdDev 0.69%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $127.87(0.81%)
10 Day Moving Average   $127.01(1.5%)
20 Day Moving Average   $125.08(3.06%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   13.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GLD price fluctuates within 1.85% (three month std-dev: 0.69%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 8 Average positive next day return: 0.61%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.37%(50%) Sample size 8 Average positive next three day return: 0.77%(75%) Average negative next three day return: -0.62%(25%) Sample size 8 Average positive next weekly return: 1.45%(75%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.91%(25%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20101101

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_1_2010	120.03	125.08	127.01	127.87	127.8	128.09	128.91(0.78%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	77	10	48	162	17.21	46%	0.08	70.3	0.69%	0	1.7	97	0
2	Sep_30_2010	119.94	124.74	126.57	127.42	127.38	127.82	127.91(-0.03%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	0.2	59	20	34	134	19.21	43%	0.05	71.6	0.84%	0	1.4	95	0
3	Sep_29_2010	119.88	124.42	126.25	127.1	127.12	127.51	127.95(0.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	80	20	56	151	12.34	43%	0.07	70.9	0.84%	0	1.6	96	0
4	Sep_28_2010	119.8	124.12	125.85	126.75	126.71	126.93	127.85(0.89%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	54	10	26	138	19.86	40%	0.08	74.8	0.84%	0	1.8	80	0
5	Sep_27_2010	119.7	123.77	125.46	126.38	126.5	126.74	126.72(0.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	61	20	35	138	6.69	37%	0.08	76.8	0.85%	0	1.5	77	0

6	Sep_24_2010	119.61	123.48	124.97	126.01	126.13	126.48	126.69(0.31%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	58	20	35	125	14.95	41%	0.07	76.8	0.87%	0	1.7	80	0
7	Sep_23_2010	119.53	123.18	124.48	125.58	125.71	126.26	126.3(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	64	30	47	116	9.33	41%	0.1	75.9	0.87%	0	1.8	74	0
8	Sep_22_2010	119.41	122.93	124.01	125.25	125.33	125.78	126.2(0.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	72	30	59	112	11.06	41%	0.09	79.9	0.87%	0	2	76	0
9	Sep_21_2010	119.3	122.63	123.65	124.8	124.89	125.16	126.01(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	50	20	35	93	20.41	37%	0.09	80.2	0.87%	0	2.2	71	0
10	Sep_20_2010	119.19	122.31	123.29	124.4	124.55	124.88	124.87(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	54	20	41	92	8.48	34%	0.08	78.8	0.9%	0	1.8	73	0

11	Sep_17_2010	119.1	122.06	122.99	123.75	124.11	124.62	124.54(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	64	40	57	83	13.82	38%	0.09	74.3	0.91%	0	1.8	71	0
12	Sep_16_2010	118.99	121.85	122.75	123.19	123.35	124.22	124.63(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	70	50	68	77	12.67	38%	0.08	73.6	0.92%	0	2.2	72	0
13	Sep_15_2010	118.89	121.62	122.44	122.57	122.64	123.59	123.94(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.2	77	60	80	67	11.69	41%	0.08	78.9	0.92%	0	2	65	0
14	Sep_14_2010	118.79	121.41	122.24	122.33	122.18	122.48	124.02(1.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	52	10	50	56	26.59	41%	0.09	87.6	0.93%	0	2.4	71	0
15	Sep_13_2010	118.68	121.19	121.92	122.06	122.09	121.7	121.62(-0.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-9	-20	-21	28	9.69	36%	0.08	105.1	0.9%	0	0.5	65	0

16	Sep_10_2010	118.59	121.05	121.87	122.11	122.09	121.89	121.73(0.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-18	-20	-34	29	12.51	33%	0.08	98.9	0.91%	0	0.6	64	0
17	Sep_9_2010	118.49	120.91	121.81	122.22	122.37	122.48	121.56(-0.94%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-7	10	-23	40	13.75	33%	0.08	102.1	0.92%	0	0.6	59	0
18	Sep_8_2010	118.4	120.71	121.79	122.25	122.42	122.86	122.71(0.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	51	30	43	74	9.79	35%	0.1	89.5	0.92%	0	1.4	69	0
19	Sep_7_2010	118.28	120.47	121.56	122.12	122.16	122.26	122.7(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	39	10	29	69	8.78	41%	0.16	89.9	0.92%	0	1.6	72	0
20	Sep_3_2010	118.09	120.21	121.27	121.77	121.93	121.98	121.86(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	16	10	5	49	9.08	41%	0.07	84.9	0.95%	0	1.1	68	0

21	Sep_2_2010	118.01	120.01	121.09	121.6	121.71	122.07	122.29(0.49%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	33	20	25	58	7	41%	0.08	85.6	0.96%	0	1.4	78	0
22	Sep_1_2010	117.92	119.74	120.89	121.33	121.4	121.87	121.69(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	40	30	32	62	11.88	41%	0.08	88.8	0.96%	0	1.2	75	0
23	Aug_31_2010	117.83	119.5	120.74	121.26	121.28	121.36	122.08(0.97%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	43	10	33	74	12.26	41%	0.08	92.2	0.97%	0	1.5	85	0
24	Aug_30_2010	117.73	119.2	120.5	120.92	121.09	120.94	120.91(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	15	-0	-1	62	4.4	38%	0.06	91.1	0.97%	0	1	76	0
25	Aug_27_2010	117.66	118.93	120.38	120.69	120.8	121.2	121.01(0.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	26	30	11	72	11.16	38%		83.8	0.97%	0	1.1	79	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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