Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Sep. 24, 2010

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Tue. Jun. 18, 2024)

(SPDR Gold Shares)
GLD latest price $126.6900 (0.31%) ($126.3000 - $127.0000) on Fri. Sep. 24, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.87% (three month average)
RSI   80
Latest Price   $126.6900(0.31%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GLD advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GLD advances 1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GLD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(32%)    LQD(29%)    IGOV(27%)    PCY(23%)    TLT(21%)
Factors Impacting GLD price   GLD will decline at least -0.435% in a week (0% probabilities).
PEJ(-1%)    XLY(1%)    XLK(4%)    SPY(4%)    QQQ(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.435% (StdDev 0.87%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $126.01(0.54%)
10 Day Moving Average   $124.97(1.38%)
20 Day Moving Average   $123.48(2.6%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   11.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GLD price fluctuates within 1.51% (three month std-dev: 0.87%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 0.07%(20%) Average negative next day return: -0.63%(80%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 1.07%(40%) Average negative next three day return: -0.76%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 1.14%(40%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.91%(60%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20101024

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_24_2010	119.61	123.48	124.97	126.01	126.13	126.48	126.69(0.31%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	58	20	35	125	14.95	41%	0.07	76.8	0.87%	0	1.7	80	NAN
2	Sep_23_2010	119.53	123.18	124.48	125.58	125.71	126.26	126.3(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	64	30	47	116	9.33	41%	0.1	75.9	0.87%	0	1.8	74	NAN
3	Sep_22_2010	119.41	122.93	124.01	125.25	125.33	125.78	126.2(0.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	72	30	59	112	11.06	41%	0.09	79.9	0.87%	0	2	76	NAN
4	Sep_21_2010	119.3	122.63	123.65	124.8	124.89	125.16	126.01(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	50	20	35	93	20.41	37%	0.09	80.2	0.87%	0	2.2	71	NAN
5	Sep_20_2010	119.19	122.31	123.29	124.4	124.55	124.88	124.87(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	54	20	41	92	8.48	34%	0.08	78.8	0.9%	0	1.8	73	NAN

6	Sep_17_2010	119.1	122.06	122.99	123.75	124.11	124.62	124.54(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	64	40	57	83	13.82	38%	0.09	74.3	0.91%	0	1.8	71	NAN
7	Sep_16_2010	118.99	121.85	122.75	123.19	123.35	124.22	124.63(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	70	50	68	77	12.67	38%	0.08	73.6	0.92%	0	2.2	72	NAN
8	Sep_15_2010	118.89	121.62	122.44	122.57	122.64	123.59	123.94(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.2	77	60	80	67	11.69	41%	0.08	78.9	0.92%	0	2	65	NAN
9	Sep_14_2010	118.79	121.41	122.24	122.33	122.18	122.48	124.02(1.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	52	10	50	56	26.59	41%	0.09	87.6	0.93%	0	2.4	71	NAN
10	Sep_13_2010	118.68	121.19	121.92	122.06	122.09	121.7	121.62(-0.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-9	-20	-21	28	9.69	36%	0.08	105.1	0.9%	0	0.5	65	NAN

11	Sep_10_2010	118.59	121.05	121.87	122.11	122.09	121.89	121.73(0.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-18	-20	-34	29	12.51	33%	0.08	98.9	0.91%	0	0.6	64	NAN
12	Sep_9_2010	118.49	120.91	121.81	122.22	122.37	122.48	121.56(-0.94%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-7	10	-23	40	13.75	33%	0.08	102.1	0.92%	0	0.6	59	NAN
13	Sep_8_2010	118.4	120.71	121.79	122.25	122.42	122.86	122.71(0.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	51	30	43	74	9.79	35%	0.1	89.5	0.92%	0	1.4	69	NAN
14	Sep_7_2010	118.28	120.47	121.56	122.12	122.16	122.26	122.7(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	39	10	29	69	8.78	41%	0.16	89.9	0.92%	0	1.6	72	NAN
15	Sep_3_2010	118.09	120.21	121.27	121.77	121.93	121.98	121.86(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	16	10	5	49	9.08	41%	0.07	84.9	0.95%	0	1.1	68	NAN

16	Sep_2_2010	118.01	120.01	121.09	121.6	121.71	122.07	122.29(0.49%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	33	20	25	58	7	41%	0.08	85.6	0.96%	0	1.4	78	NAN
17	Sep_1_2010	117.92	119.74	120.89	121.33	121.4	121.87	121.69(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	40	30	32	62	11.88	41%	0.08	88.8	0.96%	0	1.2	75	NAN
18	Aug_31_2010	117.83	119.5	120.74	121.26	121.28	121.36	122.08(0.97%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	43	10	33	74	12.26	41%	0.08	92.2	0.97%	0	1.5	85	NAN
19	Aug_30_2010	117.73	119.2	120.5	120.92	121.09	120.94	120.91(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	15	-0	-1	62	4.4	38%	0.06	91.1	0.97%	0	1	76	NAN
20	Aug_27_2010	117.66	118.93	120.38	120.69	120.8	121.2	121.01(0.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	26	30	11	72	11.16	38%	0.07	83.8	0.97%	0	1.1	79	NAN

21	Aug_26_2010	117.58	118.66	120.16	120.49	120.49	121.25	120.96(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	66	40	58	91	8.9	38%	0.08	74.7	0.97%	0	1.2	73	NAN
22	Aug_25_2010	117.49	118.34	119.95	120.37	120.11	120.4	121.36(0.83%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	55	10	43	92	14	38%	0.09	63.5	0.97%	0	1.4	80	NAN
23	Aug_24_2010	117.39	117.96	119.55	120.14	119.96	119.73	120.36(0.48%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	15	-20	-4	71	14.81	42%	0.09	54.6	0.97%	0	1.1	78	NAN
24	Aug_23_2010	117.29	117.63	119.3	120.02	119.96	119.83	119.78(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	4	-10	-19	71	4.86	42%	0.03	48.1	0.98%	0	1	79	NAN
25	Aug_20_2010	117.26	117.41	119.07	120.01	119.98	120.2	119.97(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	30	10	9	91	10.68	42%		49.2	0.99%	0	1.2	83	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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