Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Aug. 26, 2010

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Fri. May. 24, 2024)

(SPDR Gold Shares)
GLD latest price $120.9600 (-0.33%) ($120.5000 - $122.9500) on Thu. Aug. 26, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.97% (three month average)
RSI   73
Latest Price   $120.9600(-0.33%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GLD advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GLD advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GLD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(32%)    LQD(30%)    IGOV(27%)    PCY(22%)    TLT(21%)
Factors Impacting GLD price   GLD will decline at least -0.485% in a week (0% probabilities).
PEJ(-1%)    XLY(1%)    XLK(4%)    SPY(4%)    QQQ(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.485% (StdDev 0.97%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $120.49(0.39%)
10 Day Moving Average   $120.16(0.67%)
20 Day Moving Average   $118.66(1.94%)
To recent high   -1.5%
To recent low   6.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GLD price fluctuates within 1.66% (three month std-dev: 0.97%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 1.43%(67%) Average negative next day return: -2.27%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 2.25%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -0.29%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 2.08%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.29%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100926

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_26_2010	117.58	118.66	120.16	120.49	120.49	121.25	120.96(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	66	40	58	91	8.9	38%	0.08	74.7	0.97%	0	1.2	73	0
2	Aug_25_2010	117.49	118.34	119.95	120.37	120.11	120.4	121.36(0.83%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	55	10	43	92	14	38%	0.09	63.5	0.97%	0	1.4	80	0
3	Aug_24_2010	117.39	117.96	119.55	120.14	119.96	119.73	120.36(0.48%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	15	-20	-4	71	14.81	42%	0.09	54.6	0.97%	0	1.1	78	0
4	Aug_23_2010	117.29	117.63	119.3	120.02	119.96	119.83	119.78(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	4	-10	-19	71	4.86	42%	0.03	48.1	0.98%	0	1	79	0
5	Aug_20_2010	117.26	117.41	119.07	120.01	119.98	120.2	119.97(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	30	10	9	91	10.68	42%	0.08	49.2	0.99%	0	1.2	83	0

6	Aug_19_2010	117.17	117.21	118.86	119.77	119.93	120.14	120.39(0.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	57	20	39	110	10.02	38%	0.1	47.1	0.99%	0	1.6	87	0
7	Aug_18_2010	117.05	117.02	118.51	119.44	119.47	119.75	120.22(0.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	40	20	19	104	12.11	38%	0.11	42.8	1.03%	0	1.7	89	0
8	Aug_17_2010	116.92	116.78	118.16	118.87	119.2	119.72	119.75(0.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	66	40	49	115	9.15	38%	0.09	30.8	1.03%	0	1.7	89	0
9	Aug_16_2010	116.81	116.61	117.79	118.46	118.62	119.19	119.73(0.83%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	67	40	50	117	8.95	38%	0.09	22.4	1.04%	0	2	90	0
10	Aug_13_2010	116.7	116.4	117.36	118	118	118.68	118.74(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	57	40	41	103	10.21	38%	0.1	10.1	1.03%	0	1.7	66	0

11	Aug_12_2010	116.58	116.28	117.04	117.82	117.72	118.06	118.77(1.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	59	20	46	99	12.33	38%	0.11	1.7	1.04%	0	1.8	62	0
12	Aug_11_2010	116.45	116.23	116.6	117.46	117.54	117.33	117.34(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	19	-10	4	63	12.44	41%	0.08	-2.6	1.03%	0	0.8	51	0
13	Aug_10_2010	116.36	116.26	116.26	117.33	117.39	117.38	117.73(0.28%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	3	0	-11	43	10.44	41%	0.09	-3.4	1.08%	0	1.1	58	0
14	Aug_9_2010	116.25	116.27	115.84	116.99	117.37	117.75	117.4(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	34	30	33	38	6.75	41%	0.08	-4.3	1.08%	0	0.8	52	0
15	Aug_6_2010	116.16	116.25	115.64	116.61	116.98	117.4	117.84(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	39	30	42	31	10	46%	0.06	-15.8	1.08%	0	1.1	58	0

16	Aug_5_2010	116.09	116.25	115.43	116.14	116.45	116.98	116.98(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	33	40	39	15	7.03	46%	0.07	-21	1.14%	0	0.5	50	0
17	Aug_4_2010	116.01	116.26	115.38	115.61	115.97	116.57	116.72(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	45	50	59	4	10.33	46%	0.05	-45.8	1.14%	0	0.3	41	0
18	Aug_3_2010	115.95	116.3	115.28	115.02	115.16	115.92	115.99(0.39%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.7	30	50	49	-26	5.59	46%	0.07	-69.2	1.14%	0	-0.2	38	0
19	Aug_2_2010	115.87	116.33	115.32	115.02	114.54	115.36	115.54(0.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	29	50	53	-44	8.47	46%	0.07	-91.9	1.14%	0	-0.6	36	0
20	Jul_30_2010	115.79	116.47	115.33	114.52	114.13	114.4	115.49(1.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	-0	10	21	-64	10.09	46%	0.06	-101.6	1.15%	0	-0.7	42	0

21	Jul_29_2010	115.72	116.55	115.44	114.64	114.38	113.72	114.29(0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-47	-50	-32	-91	9.48	46%	0.05	-115.1	1.15%	0	-1.5	33	0
22	Jul_28_2010	115.66	116.91	115.82	115.15	115.07	113.87	113.78(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-81	-80	-77	-94	16.07	46%	0.03	-87.9	1.14%	0	-1.8	38	0
23	Jul_27_2010	115.62	117.28	116.27	115.57	115.81	115.04	113.51(-1.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-79	-40	-78	-83	29.53	49%	0.03	-79.9	1.14%	0	-2.1	35	0
24	Jul_26_2010	115.58	117.66	116.77	116.19	116.36	116.27	115.52(-0.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-21	-0	-16	-36	11.22	52%	0.04	-71.3	1.14%	0	-1.2	47	0
25	Jul_23_2010	115.53	118.01	116.96	116.24	116.42	116.59	116.09(-0.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	2	10	12	-29	8.34	54%		-63.3	1.14%	0	-1	41	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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