Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GLD: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Jul. 19, 2010

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Fri. May. 31, 2024)

(SPDR Gold Shares)
GLD latest price $115.7300 (-0.81%) ($115.1100 - $115.8000) on Mon. Jul. 19, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.14% (three month average)
RSI   34
Latest Price   $115.7300(-0.81%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GLD declines -0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GLD declines -1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GLD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(32%)    LQD(29%)    IGOV(27%)    PCY(22%)    TLT(21%)
Factors Impacting GLD price   GLD will decline at least -0.57% in a week (0% probabilities).
PEJ(-0%)    XLY(1%)    XLK(4%)    SPY(4%)    QQQ(4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.57% (StdDev 1.14%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

Resistance Level   $118.94
5 Day Moving Average   $117.46(-1.47%)
10 Day Moving Average   $117.43(-1.45%)
20 Day Moving Average   $118.94(-2.7%)
To recent high   -5.8%
To recent low   4.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GLD price fluctuates within 1.72% (three month std-dev: 1.14%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.57%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.33%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 1.27%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 1.87%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100819

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_19_2010	115.3	118.94	117.43	117.46	117.18	116.04	115.73(-0.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-86	-80	-86	-85	15.72	54%	0.05	-45.3	1.14%	0	-1.6	34	NAN
2	Jul_16_2010	115.24	119.29	117.72	117.78	117.96	117.42	116.67(-1.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-60	-30	-52	-82	17.49	50%	0.08	-35.3	1.13%	0	-1.3	32	NAN
3	Jul_15_2010	115.15	119.56	117.78	118.12	117.96	118.32	118.23(-0.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-22	10	-5	-72	8.59	52%	0.1	-25.3	1.15%	0	-0.7	41	NAN
4	Jul_14_2010	115.04	119.67	118.08	117.91	118.23	118.51	118.3(-0.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	4	20	26	-63	9.58	52%	0.09	-29.3	1.16%	0	-0.7	42	NAN
5	Jul_13_2010	114.94	119.8	118.34	117.8	117.91	118.14	118.36(0.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	1	20	24	-69	8.42	52%	0.09	-31.3	1.16%	0	-0.7	41	NAN

6	Jul_12_2010	114.84	119.88	118.59	117.43	117.52	117.95	117.34(-0.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-12	30	12	-82	7.51	52%	0.07	-41.7	1.15%	0	-1.3	42	NAN
7	Jul_9_2010	114.76	120.03	119.11	117.66	117.38	117.67	118.36(0.98%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	5	10	30	-71	9.6	52%	0.07	-38.5	1.15%	0	-0.9	38	NAN
8	Jul_8_2010	114.68	120.07	119.39	117.4	117.34	117.09	117.21(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-45	-20	-26	-103	11.32	52%	0.07	-41.2	1.15%	0	-1.6	38	NAN
9	Jul_7_2010	114.6	120.25	119.78	118.29	117.83	117.1	117.73(1.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-69	-60	-60	-95	10.93	54%	0.08	-28	1.15%	0	-1.5	45	NAN
10	Jul_6_2010	114.51	120.43	120.16	119	118.91	117.6	116.51(-1.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-82	-80	-80	-86	16.85	54%	0.08	-14.8	1.15%	0	-2.4	40	NAN

11	Jul_2_2010	114.42	120.7	120.59	119.91	119.84	118.57	118.49(1.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-103	-80	-112	-75	14.73	57%	0.1	9.7	1.12%	0	-1.6	49	NAN
12	Jul_1_2010	114.3	120.75	121.03	120.77	120.82	120.21	117.04(-3.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.7	-66	-30	-78	-30	33.25	57%	0.11	27.6	1.12%	0	-2.7	44	NAN
13	Jun_30_2010	114.18	120.83	121.56	121.62	121.77	121.11	121.68(0.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-1	-30	-12	33	12.02	64%	0.15	52.6	1.01%	0	0.7	61	NAN
14	Jun_29_2010	114.01	120.74	121.43	121.47	121.72	121.43	121.27(0.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-33	-10	-48	14	17.34	64%	0.15	58.8	1.02%	0	0.5	53	NAN
15	Jun_28_2010	113.84	120.67	121.41	121.51	121.68	122.42	121.09(-1.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	34	50	29	47	19.66	64%	0.15	70.7	1.02%	0	0.4	50	NAN

16	Jun_25_2010	113.67	120.57	121.28	121.37	121.48	122	122.76(1.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	57	30	60	48	9.99	69%	0.17	78.6	1.01%	0	1.8	53	NAN
17	Jun_24_2010	113.48	120.36	121	121.38	121.22	120.94	121.3(0.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-7	-20	-17	22	13.14	64%	0.11	94.9	1.01%	0	0.8	58	NAN
18	Jun_23_2010	113.35	120.22	120.79	121.5	121.68	120.96	120.95(-0.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-19	-40	-33	23	14.12	64%	0.11	102.9	1.04%	0	0.6	61	NAN
19	Jun_22_2010	113.23	120.05	120.75	121.38	121.98	121.5	121.45(0.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-21	-10	-36	23	12.94	64%	0.11	84.1	1.04%	0	1	55	NAN
20	Jun_21_2010	113.1	119.83	120.69	121.29	121.78	122.39	120.39(-1.99%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	19	50	10	44	20.04	64%	0.13	68.5	1.04%	0	0.4	52	NAN

21	Jun_18_2010	112.95	119.59	120.79	121.13	121.42	122.45	122.83(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	94	70	96	87	19.43	64%	0.15	41.9	1.03%	0	1.8	63	NAN
22	Jun_17_2010	112.78	119.24	120.42	120.57	120.57	121.17	121.9(1.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	62	30	62	61	19.8	64%	0.13	21.6	1.03%	0	1.5	61	NAN
23	Jun_16_2010	112.63	118.98	120.03	119.98	120.08	120.39	120.33(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	30	20	29	31	10.51	64%	0.12	0.7	1.03%	0	0.8	58	NAN
24	Jun_15_2010	112.5	118.92	119.98	119.98	119.78	119.96	120.99(1.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	15	0	9	34	15.07	64%	0.12	-2.1	1.05%	0	1.2	65	NAN
25	Jun_14_2010	112.36	118.83	119.86	120.03	119.8	119.76	119.6(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	1	-10	-12	41	11	63%		2.9	1.04%	0	0.5	63	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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