Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jun. 17, 2010

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Fri. May. 31, 2024)

(SPDR Gold Shares)
GLD latest price $121.9000 (1.3%) ($121.4900 - $122.4100) on Thu. Jun. 17, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.03% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $121.9000(1.3%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GLD advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GLD advances 0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GLD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(32%)    LQD(29%)    IGOV(26%)    PCY(22%)    TLT(21%)
Factors Impacting GLD price   GLD will decline at least -0.515% in a week (0% probabilities).
PEJ(-0%)    XLY(1%)    XLK(4%)    SPY(4%)    QQQ(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.515% (StdDev 1.03%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $120.57(1.1%)
10 Day Moving Average   $120.42(1.23%)
20 Day Moving Average   $119.24(2.23%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   14.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GLD price fluctuates within 1.48% (three month std-dev: 1.03%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0.33%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0.3%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.1%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100717

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_17_2010	112.78	119.24	120.42	120.57	120.57	121.17	121.9(1.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	62	30	62	61	19.8	64%	0.13	21.6	1.03%	0	1.5	61	NAN
2	Jun_16_2010	112.63	118.98	120.03	119.98	120.08	120.39	120.33(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	30	20	29	31	10.51	64%	0.12	0.7	1.03%	0	0.8	58	NAN
3	Jun_15_2010	112.5	118.92	119.98	119.98	119.78	119.96	120.99(1.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	15	0	9	34	15.07	64%	0.12	-2.1	1.05%	0	1.2	65	NAN
4	Jun_14_2010	112.36	118.83	119.86	120.03	119.8	119.76	119.6(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	1	-10	-12	41	11	63%	0.12	2.9	1.04%	0	0.5	63	NAN
5	Jun_11_2010	112.23	118.85	119.8	120.41	120.26	119.61	120.01(0.87%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	10	-40	-10	69	7.83	63%	0.12	15	1.04%	0	0.7	70	NAN

6	Jun_10_2010	112.1	118.86	119.67	120.24	120.32	119.84	118.98(-1.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-15	-30	-42	66	13.69	63%	0.09	17.6	1.04%	0	0.1	64	NAN
7	Jun_9_2010	112	118.97	119.64	120.04	120.09	120.91	120.56(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	40	50	21	96	12.88	66%	0.08	29.3	1.04%	0	0.9	66	NAN
8	Jun_8_2010	111.91	118.96	119.33	119.88	119.62	120.8	121(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	98	60	92	114	23.41	66%	0.08	42	1.03%	0	1.1	53	NAN
9	Jun_7_2010	111.82	118.78	118.92	119.67	119.12	119.28	121.49(1.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	58	-0	50	81	20.25	66%	0.1	45.2	1.04%	0	1.6	55	NAN
10	Jun_4_2010	111.71	118.61	118.3	119.14	119.06	118.45	119.19(1.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-15	-40	-25	15	16.54	64%	0.07	47.4	1.02%	0	0.4	44	NAN

11	Jun_3_2010	111.63	118.57	117.97	119.04	119.06	118.97	117.96(-1.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-31	-10	-37	-13	13.86	62%	0.05	58.4	1.01%	0	-0.4	39	NAN
12	Jun_2_2010	111.57	118.45	117.85	119.15	119.08	119.68	119.78(-0.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	29	30	39	-2	10.35	68%	0.09	57	0.99%	0	0.7	40	NAN
13	Jun_1_2010	111.47	118.21	117.78	118.66	118.88	119.2	119.91(0.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	47	20	66	-10	12.21	68%	0.06	47.5	1.01%	0	0.9	45	NAN
14	May_28_2010	111.4	118.01	117.68	118.05	118.2	118.49	118.88(0.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	8	20	23	-38	11.58	68%	0.08	43.8	1%	0	0.4	55	NAN
15	May_27_2010	111.31	117.84	117.79	117.32	117.73	118.56	118.69(0.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	42	60	66	-32	10.42	68%	0.06	36.9	1.01%	0	0.4	52	NAN

16	May_26_2010	111.24	117.63	117.94	116.75	116.92	117.91	118.47(0.95%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	47	60	74	-36	13.15	68%	0.08	33.5	1.02%	0	0.4	50	NAN
17	May_25_2010	111.15	117.44	118.2	116.38	116.27	116.91	117.36(0.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	22	40	40	-33	21.23	68%	0.07	32.5	1.02%	0	-0	59	NAN
18	May_24_2010	111.07	117.31	118.51	116.8	116.3	115.93	116.84(1.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-15	-40	-14	-19	14.34	68%	0.05	40.8	1.02%	0	-0.2	59	NAN
19	May_21_2010	111.02	117.14	118.62	117.31	116.98	115.64	115.22(-0.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-86	-90	-104	-32	20.1	66%	0.08	47.7	1.01%	0	-0.7	52	NAN
20	May_20_2010	110.93	117.07	118.97	118.34	118.18	116.68	115.84(-0.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-99	-90	-131	-1	28.91	66%	0.08	58.6	1.02%	0	-0.4	55	NAN

21	May_19_2010	110.84	116.9	119.28	119.28	119.39	118.31	116.63(-2.39%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.9	-69	-60	-110	55	34.41	66%	0.08	62.7	1.02%	0	-0.1	61	NAN
22	May_18_2010	110.75	116.71	119.2	120.24	120.28	119.69	119.49(0.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-16	-30	-60	115	26.6	73%	0.11	67.3	0.97%	0	0.9	72	NAN
23	May_17_2010	110.63	116.31	118.77	120.47	120.82	120.46	119.36(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	25	-10	-15	145	27.9	73%	0.08	66.2	0.97%	0	0.9	69	NAN
24	May_14_2010	110.54	115.91	118.43	120.11	120.79	120.88	120.37(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	54	20	18	161	34.65	76%	0.11	60.1	1%	0	1.4	78	NAN
25	May_13_2010	110.42	115.45	117.93	119.69	119.94	121.17	120.56(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	83	80	52	175	22.34	76%		56.9	1.01%	0	1.6	76	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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