Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. May. 17, 2010

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Tue. Jun. 11, 2024)

(SPDR Gold Shares)
GLD latest price $119.3600 (-0.84%) ($119.2900 - $121.1200) on Mon. May. 17, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.97% (three month average)
RSI   69
Latest Price   $119.3600(-0.84%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GLD advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GLD advances 2.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GLD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(32%)    LQD(29%)    IGOV(25%)    PCY(22%)    TLT(21%)
Factors Impacting GLD price   GLD will decline at least -0.485% in a week (0% probabilities).
PEJ(-1%)    XLY(1%)    XLK(4%)    SPY(4%)    QQQ(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.485% (StdDev 0.97%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1%

5 Day Moving Average   $120.47(-0.92%)
10 Day Moving Average   $118.77(0.5%)
20 Day Moving Average   $116.31(2.62%)
To recent high   -1.7%
To recent low   12.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GLD price fluctuates within 2.78% (three month std-dev: 0.97%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7 Average positive next day return: 1.32%(29%) Average negative next day return: -1.21%(71%) Sample size 7 Average positive next three day return: 0.92%(71%) Average negative next three day return: -3.14%(29%) Sample size 7 Average positive next weekly return: 1.68%(43%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.08%(57%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100617

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_17_2010	110.63	116.31	118.77	120.47	120.82	120.46	119.36(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	25	-10	-15	145	27.9	73%	0.08	66.2	0.97%	0	0.9	69	0
2	May_14_2010	110.54	115.91	118.43	120.11	120.79	120.88	120.37(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	54	20	18	161	34.65	76%	0.11	60.1	1%	0	1.4	78	0
3	May_13_2010	110.42	115.45	117.93	119.69	119.94	121.17	120.56(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	83	80	52	175	22.34	76%	0.14	56.9	1.01%	0	1.6	76	0
4	May_12_2010	110.27	115.08	117.31	119.28	119.19	120.71	121.4(0.61%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	169	90	152	219	32.7	76%	0.15	59.1	1.01%	0	2.2	82	0
5	May_11_2010	110.11	114.64	116.58	118.02	118.1	118.72	120.66(2.63%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	131	40	114	180	36.73	78%	0.13	54.8	1.01%	0	2.4	78	0

6	May_10_2010	109.97	114.21	115.94	116.86	116.68	117.66	117.57(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	57	50	31	135	28.43	75%	0.08	54.3	0.98%	0	1.6	76	0
7	May_7_2010	109.88	113.97	115.47	116.49	116.18	117.48	118.27(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	130	70	117	169	34.28	75%	0.1	58.4	0.98%	0	2.2	80	0
8	May_6_2010	109.77	113.71	114.95	115.91	115.68	115.69	118.49(2.95%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.5	87	-10	68	143	50.54	75%	0.06	68	0.99%	0	2.8	81	0
9	May_5_2010	109.7	113.4	114.27	115.07	115.25	114.89	115.09(0.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-9	-20	-37	75	21.62	72%	0.05	82.9	0.93%	0	1.3	55	0
10	May_4_2010	109.64	113.26	114	114.91	115.21	115.66	114.87(-0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	32	40	13	88	21.52	60%	0.04	94.1	0.93%	0	1.2	57	0

11	May_3_2010	109.6	113.07	113.67	114.86	114.9	115.62	115.73(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	74	40	67	95	13.57	60%	0.06	100.8	1.06%	0	1.9	63	0
12	Apr_30_2010	109.53	112.83	113.21	114.27	114.33	114.75	115.36(0.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	54	30	51	63	13.41	63%	0.05	106.3	1.08%	0	2	59	0
13	Apr_29_2010	109.48	112.57	112.79	113.83	113.7	114.18	114.28(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	34	30	34	35	10.38	63%	0.03	114	1.09%	0	1.4	52	0
14	Apr_28_2010	109.45	112.31	112.7	113.34	113.22	113.9	114.31(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	51	40	56	35	26.9	63%	0.04	100.8	1.09%	0	1.5	57	0
15	Apr_27_2010	109.41	112.01	112.55	112.94	112.56	113.21	114.63(1.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	44	30	51	24	25.06	63%	0.01	80.1	1.09%	0	1.7	59	0

16	Apr_26_2010	109.4	111.71	112.33	112.31	112.18	112.54	112.75(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	35	20	43	11	8.34	61%	-0.01	71.3	1.08%	0	0.7	59	0
17	Apr_23_2010	109.41	111.51	112.34	111.99	111.89	111.91	113.19(1.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	15	-0	19	2	12.51	61%	-0.05	63.4	1.07%	0	1	62	0
18	Apr_22_2010	109.46	111.21	112.36	111.6	111.59	111.83	111.84(-0.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-9	10	-10	-6	9.61	59%	-0.07	42.5	1.07%	0	0.3	61	0
19	Apr_21_2010	109.54	110.95	112.45	111.96	111.65	111.87	112.31(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	17	10	13	30	6.84	56%	-0.05	35.5	1.07%	0	0.6	69	0
20	Apr_20_2010	109.59	110.76	112.47	112.11	111.95	111.35	111.46(0.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-3	-40	-18	43	7.02	51%	-0.05	32.8	1.08%	0	0.3	71	0

21	Apr_19_2010	109.64	110.58	112.45	112.35	112.33	111.43	111.15(-0.08%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.5	-41	-60	-68	39	8	51%	-0.04	34	1.12%	0	0.2	64	0
22	Apr_16_2010	109.68	110.45	112.46	112.72	112.76	112.56	111.24(-2.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-19	-10	-48	69	24.58	51%	0.02	39	1.12%	0	0.3	65	0
23	Apr_15_2010	109.66	110.4	112.4	113.2	113.16	113.23	113.65(0.55%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	42	0	14	127	10.96	55%	-0.03	48.6	1.1%	0	1.4	84	0
24	Apr_14_2010	109.69	110.18	111.94	113	113.19	112.97	113.03(0.3%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	33	-10	-0	131	10.57	55%	-0.02	51.7	1.1%	0	1.3	84	0
25	Apr_13_2010	109.71	110.03	111.46	112.9	113.04	113.1	112.69(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	28	10	-5	128	11.26	55%		54.7	1.1%	0	1.3	68	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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