Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GLD: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. May. 4, 2010

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Mon. Jun. 3, 2024)

(SPDR Gold Shares)
GLD latest price $114.8700 (-0.74%) ($114.1700 - $116.4300) on Tue. May. 4, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.93% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $114.8700(-0.74%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   GLD advances 1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GLD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(32%)    LQD(29%)    IGOV(25%)    PCY(21%)    TLT(21%)
Factors Impacting GLD price   GLD will decline at least -0.465% in a week (0% probabilities).
PEJ(-1%)    XLY(1%)    XLK(3%)    SPY(3%)    XLP(4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.465% (StdDev 0.93%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $114.91(-0.03%)
10 Day Moving Average   $114(0.76%)
20 Day Moving Average   $113.26(1.42%)
To recent high   -0.7%
To recent low   10.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GLD price fluctuates within 1.19% (three month std-dev: 0.93%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100604

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_4_2010	109.64	113.26	114	114.91	115.21	115.66	114.87(-0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	32	40	13	88	21.52	60%	0.04	94.1	0.93%	0	1.2	57	NAN
2	May_3_2010	109.6	113.07	113.67	114.86	114.9	115.62	115.73(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	74	40	67	95	13.57	60%	0.06	100.8	1.06%	0	1.9	63	NAN
3	Apr_30_2010	109.53	112.83	113.21	114.27	114.33	114.75	115.36(0.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	54	30	51	63	13.41	63%	0.05	106.3	1.08%	0	2	59	NAN
4	Apr_29_2010	109.48	112.57	112.79	113.83	113.7	114.18	114.28(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	34	30	34	35	10.38	63%	0.03	114	1.09%	0	1.4	52	NAN
5	Apr_28_2010	109.45	112.31	112.7	113.34	113.22	113.9	114.31(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	51	40	56	35	26.9	63%	0.04	100.8	1.09%	0	1.5	57	NAN

6	Apr_27_2010	109.41	112.01	112.55	112.94	112.56	113.21	114.63(1.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	44	30	51	24	25.06	63%	0.01	80.1	1.09%	0	1.7	59	NAN
7	Apr_26_2010	109.4	111.71	112.33	112.31	112.18	112.54	112.75(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	35	20	43	11	8.34	61%	-0.01	71.3	1.08%	0	0.7	59	NAN
8	Apr_23_2010	109.41	111.51	112.34	111.99	111.89	111.91	113.19(1.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	15	-0	19	2	12.51	61%	-0.05	63.4	1.07%	0	1	62	NAN
9	Apr_22_2010	109.46	111.21	112.36	111.6	111.59	111.83	111.84(-0.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-9	10	-10	-6	9.61	59%	-0.07	42.5	1.07%	0	0.3	61	NAN
10	Apr_21_2010	109.54	110.95	112.45	111.96	111.65	111.87	112.31(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	17	10	13	30	6.84	56%	-0.05	35.5	1.07%	0	0.6	69	NAN

11	Apr_20_2010	109.59	110.76	112.47	112.11	111.95	111.35	111.46(0.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-3	-40	-18	43	7.02	51%	-0.05	32.8	1.08%	0	0.3	71	NAN
12	Apr_19_2010	109.64	110.58	112.45	112.35	112.33	111.43	111.15(-0.08%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.5	-41	-60	-68	39	8	51%	-0.04	34	1.12%	0	0.2	64	NAN
13	Apr_16_2010	109.68	110.45	112.46	112.72	112.76	112.56	111.24(-2.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-19	-10	-48	69	24.58	51%	0.02	39	1.12%	0	0.3	65	NAN
14	Apr_15_2010	109.66	110.4	112.4	113.2	113.16	113.23	113.65(0.55%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	42	0	14	127	10.96	55%	-0.03	48.6	1.1%	0	1.4	84	NAN
15	Apr_14_2010	109.69	110.18	111.94	113	113.19	112.97	113.03(0.3%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	33	-10	-0	131	10.57	55%	-0.02	51.7	1.1%	0	1.3	84	NAN

16	Apr_13_2010	109.71	110.03	111.46	112.9	113.04	113.1	112.69(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	28	10	-5	128	11.26	55%	-0.02	54.7	1.1%	0	1.3	68	NAN
17	Apr_12_2010	109.73	109.8	111.08	112.56	112.91	113.41	113.01(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	68	40	42	144	11.12	51%	0	49.7	1.11%	0	1.6	71	NAN
18	Apr_9_2010	109.73	109.54	110.63	112.14	112.32	112.97	113.64(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	74	50	53	138	16.43	53%	0.02	40	1.14%	0	2.1	70	NAN
19	Apr_8_2010	109.71	109.27	109.95	111.46	111.64	112.41	112.65(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	72	50	60	109	12.45	53%	0	28.8	1.15%	0	2	56	NAN
20	Apr_7_2010	109.71	109.04	109.31	110.72	111.04	111.66	112.49(1.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	72	50	69	80	19.15	53%	0.01	9.6	1.15%	0	2.3	58	NAN

21	Apr_6_2010	109.7	108.88	108.87	109.82	110.27	110.87	111.03(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	44	50	46	38	10.32	54%	-0.01	-13.8	1.14%	0	1.7	50	NAN
22	Apr_5_2010	109.71	108.8	108.52	109.36	109.57	110.42	110.89(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	45	60	52	25	8.21	54%	0.03	-24.1	1.16%	0	1.8	58	NAN
23	Apr_1_2010	109.68	108.78	108.23	108.9	109.1	109.67	110.26(1.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	54	40	65	20	11.37	57%	0.01	-28.6	1.18%	0	1.2	57	NAN
24	Mar_31_2010	109.67	108.79	108.19	108.21	108.52	108.73	108.95(0.91%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	23	20	32	-4	14.01	56%	0	-32.8	1.18%	0	0.1	51	NAN
25	Mar_30_2010	109.67	108.91	108.24	107.68	107.94	108.53	107.97(-0.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	10	50	19	-19	9.82	56%		-28.7	1.18%	0	-0.7	49	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.