Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Apr. 28, 2010

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Thu. Jun. 20, 2024)

(SPDR Gold Shares)
GLD latest price $114.3100 (-0.28%) ($113.6300 - $114.9900) on Wed. Apr. 28, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.09% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $114.3100(-0.28%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GLD advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GLD advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GLD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(32%)    LQD(29%)    IGOV(25%)    PCY(21%)    TLT(21%)
Factors Impacting GLD price   GLD will decline at least -0.545% in a week (0% probabilities).
PEJ(-1%)    XLY(1%)    XLK(3%)    SPY(3%)    XLP(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.545% (StdDev 1.09%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $113.34(0.86%)
10 Day Moving Average   $112.7(1.43%)
20 Day Moving Average   $112.31(1.78%)
To recent high   -0.3%
To recent low   9.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GLD price fluctuates within 1.22% (three month std-dev: 1.09%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0.63%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 1.45%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -0.11%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 1.65%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.53%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100528

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_28_2010	109.45	112.31	112.7	113.34	113.22	113.9	114.31(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	51	40	56	35	26.9	63%	0.04	100.8	1.09%	0	1.5	57	0
2	Apr_27_2010	109.41	112.01	112.55	112.94	112.56	113.21	114.63(1.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	44	30	51	24	25.06	63%	0.01	80.1	1.09%	0	1.7	59	0
3	Apr_26_2010	109.4	111.71	112.33	112.31	112.18	112.54	112.75(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	35	20	43	11	8.34	61%	-0.01	71.3	1.08%	0	0.7	59	0
4	Apr_23_2010	109.41	111.51	112.34	111.99	111.89	111.91	113.19(1.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	15	-0	19	2	12.51	61%	-0.05	63.4	1.07%	0	1	62	0
5	Apr_22_2010	109.46	111.21	112.36	111.6	111.59	111.83	111.84(-0.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-9	10	-10	-6	9.61	59%	-0.07	42.5	1.07%	0	0.3	61	0

6	Apr_21_2010	109.54	110.95	112.45	111.96	111.65	111.87	112.31(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	17	10	13	30	6.84	56%	-0.05	35.5	1.07%	0	0.6	69	0
7	Apr_20_2010	109.59	110.76	112.47	112.11	111.95	111.35	111.46(0.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-3	-40	-18	43	7.02	51%	-0.05	32.8	1.08%	0	0.3	71	0
8	Apr_19_2010	109.64	110.58	112.45	112.35	112.33	111.43	111.15(-0.08%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.5	-41	-60	-68	39	8	51%	-0.04	34	1.12%	0	0.2	64	0
9	Apr_16_2010	109.68	110.45	112.46	112.72	112.76	112.56	111.24(-2.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-19	-10	-48	69	24.58	51%	0.02	39	1.12%	0	0.3	65	0
10	Apr_15_2010	109.66	110.4	112.4	113.2	113.16	113.23	113.65(0.55%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	42	0	14	127	10.96	55%	-0.03	48.6	1.1%	0	1.4	84	0

11	Apr_14_2010	109.69	110.18	111.94	113	113.19	112.97	113.03(0.3%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	33	-10	-0	131	10.57	55%	-0.02	51.7	1.1%	0	1.3	84	0
12	Apr_13_2010	109.71	110.03	111.46	112.9	113.04	113.1	112.69(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	28	10	-5	128	11.26	55%	-0.02	54.7	1.1%	0	1.3	68	0
13	Apr_12_2010	109.73	109.8	111.08	112.56	112.91	113.41	113.01(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	68	40	42	144	11.12	51%	0	49.7	1.11%	0	1.6	71	0
14	Apr_9_2010	109.73	109.54	110.63	112.14	112.32	112.97	113.64(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	74	50	53	138	16.43	53%	0.02	40	1.14%	0	2.1	70	0
15	Apr_8_2010	109.71	109.27	109.95	111.46	111.64	112.41	112.65(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	72	50	60	109	12.45	53%	0	28.8	1.15%	0	2	56	0

16	Apr_7_2010	109.71	109.04	109.31	110.72	111.04	111.66	112.49(1.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	72	50	69	80	19.15	53%	0.01	9.6	1.15%	0	2.3	58	0
17	Apr_6_2010	109.7	108.88	108.87	109.82	110.27	110.87	111.03(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	44	50	46	38	10.32	54%	-0.01	-13.8	1.14%	0	1.7	50	0
18	Apr_5_2010	109.71	108.8	108.52	109.36	109.57	110.42	110.89(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	45	60	52	25	8.21	54%	0.03	-24.1	1.16%	0	1.8	58	0
19	Apr_1_2010	109.68	108.78	108.23	108.9	109.1	109.67	110.26(1.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	54	40	65	20	11.37	57%	0.01	-28.6	1.18%	0	1.2	57	0
20	Mar_31_2010	109.67	108.79	108.19	108.21	108.52	108.73	108.95(0.91%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	23	20	32	-4	14.01	56%	0	-32.8	1.18%	0	0.1	51	0

21	Mar_30_2010	109.67	108.91	108.24	107.68	107.94	108.53	107.97(-0.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	10	50	19	-19	9.82	56%	0	-28.7	1.18%	0	-0.7	49	0
22	Mar_29_2010	109.67	109.05	108.46	107.75	107.53	108.31	108.75(0.15%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.7	36	40	49	-3	11.53	56%	0.01	-17.3	1.18%	0	-0.2	46	0
23	Mar_26_2010	109.66	109.09	108.42	107.55	107.31	107.35	108.59(1.7%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.8	15	-0	28	-24	17.44	56%	0.02	-20.6	1.17%	0	-0.4	45	0
24	Mar_25_2010	109.64	109.13	108.36	107.49	107.23	106.76	106.78(0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-54	-40	-49	-69	16.87	53%	0	-22.2	1.16%	0	-1.7	34	0
25	Mar_24_2010	109.64	109.23	108.56	108.2	107.81	107.28	106.3(-1.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-54	-50	-51	-61	14.24	56%		-13.8	1.17%	0	-2.2	32	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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