Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Apr. 1, 2010

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Thu. Jun. 13, 2024)

(SPDR Gold Shares)
GLD latest price $110.2600 (1.2%) ($109.9200 - $110.4700) on Thu. Apr. 1, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.18% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $110.2600(1.2%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GLD advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GLD declines -0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GLD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(32%)    LQD(29%)    IGOV(25%)    PCY(21%)    TLT(21%)
Factors Impacting GLD price   GLD will decline at least -0.59% in a week (0% probabilities).
PEJ(-1%)    XLY(1%)    XLK(3%)    SPY(3%)    QQQ(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.59% (StdDev 1.18%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $108.9(1.25%)
10 Day Moving Average   $108.23(1.88%)
20 Day Moving Average   $108.78(1.36%)
To recent high   -2.3%
To recent low   6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GLD price fluctuates within 1.12% (three month std-dev: 1.18%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100501

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_1_2010	109.68	108.78	108.23	108.9	109.1	109.67	110.26(1.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	54	40	65	20	11.37	57%	0.01	-28.6	1.18%	0	1.2	57	NAN
2	Mar_31_2010	109.67	108.79	108.19	108.21	108.52	108.73	108.95(0.91%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	23	20	32	-4	14.01	56%	0	-32.8	1.18%	0	0.1	51	NAN
3	Mar_30_2010	109.67	108.91	108.24	107.68	107.94	108.53	107.97(-0.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	10	50	19	-19	9.82	56%	0	-28.7	1.18%	0	-0.7	49	NAN
4	Mar_29_2010	109.67	109.05	108.46	107.75	107.53	108.31	108.75(0.15%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.7	36	40	49	-3	11.53	56%	0.01	-17.3	1.18%	0	-0.2	46	NAN
5	Mar_26_2010	109.66	109.09	108.42	107.55	107.31	107.35	108.59(1.7%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.8	15	-0	28	-24	17.44	56%	0.02	-20.6	1.17%	0	-0.4	45	NAN

6	Mar_25_2010	109.64	109.13	108.36	107.49	107.23	106.76	106.78(0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-54	-40	-49	-69	16.87	53%	0	-22.2	1.16%	0	-1.7	34	NAN
7	Mar_24_2010	109.64	109.23	108.56	108.2	107.81	107.28	106.3(-1.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-54	-50	-51	-61	14.24	56%	0	-13.8	1.17%	0	-2.2	32	NAN
8	Mar_23_2010	109.64	109.31	108.81	108.86	108.68	107.71	108.32(0.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-49	-70	-46	-56	11.28	59%	0.04	-7.2	1.17%	0	-0.8	34	NAN
9	Mar_22_2010	109.6	109.3	108.94	109.27	109.19	108.34	107.75(-0.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-72	-60	-75	-63	11.59	59%	0.05	-4.5	1.17%	0	-1.3	35	NAN
10	Mar_19_2010	109.55	109.38	109.16	109.39	109.86	109.65	108.28(-1.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-16	-0	-10	-32	24.33	56%	0.05	6.7	1.18%	0	-1	47	NAN

11	Mar_18_2010	109.49	109.44	109.41	109.33	109.62	110.04	110.34(0.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	8	30	17	-19	13.85	61%	0.09	14.6	1.17%	0	0.8	54	NAN
12	Mar_17_2010	109.39	109.41	109.43	108.98	109.13	110.06	109.59(-0.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	37	60	50	-4	13.78	54%	0.07	25.7	1.18%	0	0.2	58	NAN
13	Mar_16_2010	109.31	109.4	109.61	108.76	108.73	109.2	110.4(1.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	36	30	46	7	17.75	56%	0.08	35.6	1.28%	0	0.9	66	NAN
14	Mar_15_2010	109.22	109.35	109.65	108.62	108.5	108.2	108.36(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-14	-20	-15	-9	7.7	53%	0.05	54.9	1.26%	0	-0.9	55	NAN
15	Mar_12_2010	109.17	109.3	109.78	108.92	108.82	108.27	107.95(-0.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-35	-40	-43	-11	11.85	53%	0.05	67.6	1.26%	0	-1.1	46	NAN

16	Mar_11_2010	109.12	109.28	109.95	109.5	109.4	108.79	108.6(0.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-34	-40	-46	1	9.52	51%	0.05	88.7	1.26%	0	-0.5	46	NAN
17	Mar_10_2010	109.07	109.13	109.96	109.94	110.09	109.38	108.47(-1.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-31	-40	-43	7	21.99	51%	0.05	70.4	1.28%	0	-0.4	43	NAN
18	Mar_9_2010	109.02	109	109.89	110.57	110.51	110	109.72(-0.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-32	-30	-47	14	12.65	51%	0.06	63.8	1.27%	0	0.4	53	NAN
19	Mar_8_2010	108.96	108.74	109.73	110.83	111.03	110.8	109.88(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	2	-10	-8	30	12.76	49%	0.06	49.2	1.27%	0	0.6	51	NAN
20	Mar_5_2010	108.89	108.49	109.65	110.74	111.05	111.02	110.81(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	13	10	4	41	11.09	49%	0.07	42.8	1.28%	0	1.1	67	NAN

21	Mar_4_2010	108.81	108.18	109.5	110.47	110.63	111.27	110.83(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	32	40	25	52	12.95	44%	0.06	33.8	1.29%	0	1.2	67	NAN
22	Mar_3_2010	108.74	108.05	109.4	109.96	110.17	111.08	111.63(0.55%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	73	60	72	75	16.22	44%	0.06	33.7	1.39%	0	1.6	76	NAN
23	Mar_2_2010	108.67	107.9	109.13	109.11	109.16	110	111.02(1.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	54	60	51	63	20.11	46%	0.07	28	1.39%	0	1.5	73	NAN
24	Mar_1_2010	108.59	107.74	108.96	108.48	108.4	109.26	109.43(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	46	50	40	65	12.83	46%	0.06	23.3	1.39%	0	0.9	74	NAN
25	Feb_26_2010	108.52	107.57	108.74	108.41	108.12	108.33	109.43(1.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	38	10	27	69	13.04	44%		19.2	1.39%	0	1	70	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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