Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Mar. 23, 2010

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Wed. Jun. 26, 2024)

(SPDR Gold Shares)
GLD latest price $108.3200 (0.53%) ($107.3400 - $108.5000) on Tue. Mar. 23, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.17% (three month average)
RSI   34
Latest Price   $108.3200(0.53%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GLD declines -0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GLD declines -0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GLD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(32%)    LQD(29%)    IGOV(25%)    PCY(21%)    TLT(21%)
Factors Impacting GLD price   GLD will decline at least -0.585% in a week (0% probabilities).
PEJ(-1%)    XLY(1%)    XLK(3%)    SPY(3%)    QQQ(4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.585% (StdDev 1.17%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

Resistance Level   $109.31
5 Day Moving Average   $108.86(-0.5%)
10 Day Moving Average   $108.81(-0.45%)
20 Day Moving Average   $109.31(-0.91%)
To recent high   -4%
To recent low   4.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GLD price fluctuates within 1.11% (three month std-dev: 1.17%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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> 20100423

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_23_2010	109.64	109.31	108.81	108.86	108.68	107.71	108.32(0.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-49	-70	-46	-56	11.28	59%	0.04	-7.2	1.17%	0	-0.8	34	0
2	Mar_22_2010	109.6	109.3	108.94	109.27	109.19	108.34	107.75(-0.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-72	-60	-75	-63	11.59	59%	0.05	-4.5	1.17%	0	-1.3	35	0
3	Mar_19_2010	109.55	109.38	109.16	109.39	109.86	109.65	108.28(-1.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-16	-0	-10	-32	24.33	56%	0.05	6.7	1.18%	0	-1	47	0
4	Mar_18_2010	109.49	109.44	109.41	109.33	109.62	110.04	110.34(0.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	8	30	17	-19	13.85	61%	0.09	14.6	1.17%	0	0.8	54	0
5	Mar_17_2010	109.39	109.41	109.43	108.98	109.13	110.06	109.59(-0.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	37	60	50	-4	13.78	54%	0.07	25.7	1.18%	0	0.2	58	0

6	Mar_16_2010	109.31	109.4	109.61	108.76	108.73	109.2	110.4(1.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	36	30	46	7	17.75	56%	0.08	35.6	1.28%	0	0.9	66	0
7	Mar_15_2010	109.22	109.35	109.65	108.62	108.5	108.2	108.36(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-14	-20	-15	-9	7.7	53%	0.05	54.9	1.26%	0	-0.9	55	0
8	Mar_12_2010	109.17	109.3	109.78	108.92	108.82	108.27	107.95(-0.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-35	-40	-43	-11	11.85	53%	0.05	67.6	1.26%	0	-1.1	46	0
9	Mar_11_2010	109.12	109.28	109.95	109.5	109.4	108.79	108.6(0.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-34	-40	-46	1	9.52	51%	0.05	88.7	1.26%	0	-0.5	46	0
10	Mar_10_2010	109.07	109.13	109.96	109.94	110.09	109.38	108.47(-1.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-31	-40	-43	7	21.99	51%	0.05	70.4	1.28%	0	-0.4	43	0

11	Mar_9_2010	109.02	109	109.89	110.57	110.51	110	109.72(-0.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-32	-30	-47	14	12.65	51%	0.06	63.8	1.27%	0	0.4	53	0
12	Mar_8_2010	108.96	108.74	109.73	110.83	111.03	110.8	109.88(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	2	-10	-8	30	12.76	49%	0.06	49.2	1.27%	0	0.6	51	0
13	Mar_5_2010	108.89	108.49	109.65	110.74	111.05	111.02	110.81(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	13	10	4	41	11.09	49%	0.07	42.8	1.28%	0	1.1	67	0
14	Mar_4_2010	108.81	108.18	109.5	110.47	110.63	111.27	110.83(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	32	40	25	52	12.95	44%	0.06	33.8	1.29%	0	1.2	67	0
15	Mar_3_2010	108.74	108.05	109.4	109.96	110.17	111.08	111.63(0.55%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	73	60	72	75	16.22	44%	0.06	33.7	1.39%	0	1.6	76	0

16	Mar_2_2010	108.67	107.9	109.13	109.11	109.16	110	111.02(1.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	54	60	51	63	20.11	46%	0.07	28	1.39%	0	1.5	73	0
17	Mar_1_2010	108.59	107.74	108.96	108.48	108.4	109.26	109.43(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	46	50	40	65	12.83	46%	0.06	23.3	1.39%	0	0.9	74	0
18	Feb_26_2010	108.52	107.57	108.74	108.41	108.12	108.33	109.43(1.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	38	10	27	69	13.04	44%	0.06	19.2	1.39%	0	1	70	0
19	Feb_25_2010	108.46	107.42	108.52	108.42	108.19	107.53	108.31(0.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-7	-50	-28	58	23.4	46%	0.06	17.9	1.4%	0	0.5	68	0
20	Feb_24_2010	108.4	107.42	108.23	108.75	108.67	107.91	107.36(-0.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-27	-50	-51	45	17.21	46%	0.06	17.4	1.41%	0	0	46	0

21	Feb_23_2010	108.34	107.33	108.08	109.13	109.23	108.86	107.89(-1.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-11	-20	-31	49	13.63	48%	0.07	13.4	1.41%	0	0.3	45	0
22	Feb_22_2010	108.26	107.31	107.73	109.48	109.51	109.44	109.07(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	13	-0	-1	55	10.75	48%	0.1	10.5	1.41%	0	1	51	0
23	Feb_19_2010	108.15	107.2	107.3	109.07	109.54	109.61	109.47(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	30	20	23	51	21.93	48%	0.11	-7.1	1.42%	0	1.3	60	0
24	Feb_18_2010	108.03	107.09	106.79	108.6	108.78	109.59	109.98(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	35	60	34	39	19.18	48%	0.11	-26.1	1.41%	0	1.7	59	0
25	Feb_17_2010	107.91	107.01	106.6	107.63	107.95	109.48	109.25(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	77	110	87	46	19.59	48%		-48.1	1.41%	0	1.4	58	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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