Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Dec. 2, 2009

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Tue. Jun. 25, 2024)

(SPDR Gold Shares)
GLD latest price $119.1800 (1.53%) ($118.3000 - $119.2700) on Wed. Dec. 2, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.96% (three month average)
RSI   80
Latest Price   $119.1800(1.53%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GLD advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GLD advances 2.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GLD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(31%)    LQD(28%)    IGOV(26%)    PCY(21%)    TLT(20%)
Factors Impacting GLD price   GLD will decline at least -0.48% in a week (0% probabilities).
PEJ(0%)    XLY(2%)    XLK(4%)    XLP(5%)    SPY(5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.48% (StdDev 0.96%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $116.78(2.06%)
10 Day Moving Average   $115.17(3.48%)
20 Day Moving Average   $112.21(6.21%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   23.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GLD price fluctuates within 3.22% (three month std-dev: 0.96%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 8 Average positive next day return: 1.21%(38%) Average negative next day return: -0.9%(63%) Sample size 8 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -2.71%(100%) Sample size 8 Average positive next weekly return: 0.94%(13%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.52%(88%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100102

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_2_2009	100.22	112.21	115.17	116.78	116.39	118.12	119.18(1.53%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	162	90	137	238	31.11	78%	0.29	96	0.96%	0	1.9	80	0
2	Dec_1_2009	99.93	111.56	114.43	115.89	115.71	116.21	117.38(1.5%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	139	30	112	220	27.72	77%	0.27	101.6	0.98%	0	1.7	80	0
3	Nov_30_2009	99.66	110.89	113.84	115.27	115.01	114.66	115.64(0.5%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	32	-30	-15	173	16.42	76%	0.27	98.4	0.97%	0	1.4	78	0
4	Nov_27_2009	99.39	110.25	113.27	114.73	114.88	115.21	115.06(-1.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	59	20	17	186	21.23	76%	0.35	87.8	0.97%	0	1.3	79	0
5	Nov_25_2009	99.04	109.64	112.61	114.18	114.39	115.37	116.62(1.65%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	126	70	96	216	24.57	79%	0.26	73.2	0.94%	0	1.7	88	0

6	Nov_24_2009	98.78	108.85	111.88	113.3	113.3	114.54	114.73(0.38%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	118	80	89	205	22.62	75%	0.24	66.3	0.93%	0	1.4	85	0
7	Nov_23_2009	98.54	108.2	111.25	112.75	112.77	113.4	114.29(1.2%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	129	40	104	204	24.46	75%	0.16	62.1	0.95%	0	1.5	86	0
8	Nov_20_2009	98.38	107.58	110.63	112.22	112.02	112.06	112.94(0.57%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	56	-0	16	176	17.31	75%	0.22	59	0.96%	0	1.4	88	0
9	Nov_19_2009	98.16	107.09	110.08	111.58	111.76	112.14	112.3(0.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	84	30	46	198	21.25	75%	0.2	57.6	0.96%	0	1.4	89	0
10	Nov_18_2009	97.96	106.66	109.55	110.76	111.06	111.97	112.25(0.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	104	70	69	208	22.34	75%	0.21	55.7	0.96%	0	1.6	88	0

11	Nov_17_2009	97.75	106.21	109.02	110.23	110.13	111.39	111.97(0.3%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	132	80	95	241	19.83	72%	0.22	54.7	0.96%	0	1.8	89	0
12	Nov_16_2009	97.54	105.77	108.46	109.51	109.62	110.14	111.63(1.72%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	135	40	99	243	25.02	72%	0.2	52.1	0.99%	0	2	81	0
13	Nov_13_2009	97.35	105.37	107.69	108.83	108.86	108.88	109.74(1.41%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	52	0	2	200	17.25	71%	0.19	52.3	0.98%	0	1.6	79	0
14	Nov_12_2009	97.17	105.02	107	108.36	108.71	109.11	108.21(-1.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	71	40	29	198	17.86	70%	0.18	51.7	0.97%	0	1.3	67	0
15	Nov_11_2009	97	104.75	106.47	108.12	108.38	108.84	109.6(1.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	93	40	57	202	17.67	73%	0.2	50.6	0.95%	0	2	70	0

16	Nov_10_2009	96.81	104.45	105.6	107.62	107.75	108.31	108.39(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	69	40	37	165	15.98	72%	0.19	54.9	0.95%	0	1.8	68	0
17	Nov_9_2009	96.63	104.22	104.95	107.23	107.46	107.93	108.19(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	102	40	81	163	18.45	72%	0.17	59.6	0.96%	0	2	68	0
18	Nov_6_2009	96.47	103.97	104.3	106.38	106.65	107.19	107.43(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	73	40	59	115	14.79	72%	0.17	63.7	0.96%	0	2	61	0
19	Nov_5_2009	96.31	103.73	103.87	105.4	105.72	106.99	106.98(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	98	90	97	99	10.2	72%	0.16	67.8	0.97%	0	2.1	64	0
20	Nov_4_2009	96.16	103.54	103.53	104.55	104.56	106.12	107.1(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	138	100	151	100	27.2	72%	0.16	77.6	0.96%	0	2.6	65	0

21	Nov_3_2009	96.01	103.29	103.15	103.27	103.33	104.45	106.46(2.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.8	104	80	124	44	33.61	72%	0.17	77.5	0.97%	0	2.8	56	0
22	Nov_2_2009	95.85	103.07	103.15	102.35	102.35	102.99	103.95(1.38%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.4	46	40	67	-16	15.47	69%	0.13	75.5	0.93%	0	0.8	47	0
23	Oct_30_2009	95.73	102.87	102.8	101.93	101.85	102.21	102.53(-0.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	3	20	19	-47	15.25	70%	0.08	59.4	0.94%	0	-0.2	45	0
24	Oct_29_2009	95.65	102.69	102.86	102.12	101.97	101.7	102.69(1.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-19	-20	-8	-50	15.33	70%	0.09	56.3	0.94%	0	0	50	0
25	Oct_28_2009	95.56	102.47	102.89	102.37	102.4	101.49	100.73(-1.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-74	-60	-74	-75	19.35	64%		57.1	0.92%	0	-0.9	37	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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