Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Nov. 10, 2009

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Fri. Jun. 7, 2024)

(SPDR Gold Shares)
GLD latest price $108.3900 (0.18%) ($107.7000 - $108.7800) on Tue. Nov. 10, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.95% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $108.3900(0.18%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GLD advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GLD advances 2.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GLD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(31%)    LQD(28%)    IGOV(26%)    PCY(21%)    TLT(20%)
Factors Impacting GLD price   GLD will decline at least -0.475% in a week (0% probabilities).
PEJ(0%)    XLY(2%)    XLK(4%)    XLP(5%)    SPY(5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.475% (StdDev 0.95%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $107.62(0.72%)
10 Day Moving Average   $105.6(2.64%)
20 Day Moving Average   $104.45(3.77%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   18.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GLD price fluctuates within 2.06% (three month std-dev: 0.95%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 10 Average positive next day return: 0.98%(40%) Average negative next day return: -0.68%(60%) Sample size 10 Average positive next three day return: 1.61%(40%) Average negative next three day return: -1.5%(60%) Sample size 10 Average positive next weekly return: 1.48%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.06%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20091210

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_10_2009	96.81	104.45	105.6	107.62	107.75	108.31	108.39(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	69	40	37	165	15.98	72%	0.19	54.9	0.95%	0	1.8	68	0
2	Nov_9_2009	96.63	104.22	104.95	107.23	107.46	107.93	108.19(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	102	40	81	163	18.45	72%	0.17	59.6	0.96%	0	2	68	0
3	Nov_6_2009	96.47	103.97	104.3	106.38	106.65	107.19	107.43(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	73	40	59	115	14.79	72%	0.17	63.7	0.96%	0	2	61	0
4	Nov_5_2009	96.31	103.73	103.87	105.4	105.72	106.99	106.98(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	98	90	97	99	10.2	72%	0.16	67.8	0.97%	0	2.1	64	0
5	Nov_4_2009	96.16	103.54	103.53	104.55	104.56	106.12	107.1(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	138	100	151	100	27.2	72%	0.16	77.6	0.96%	0	2.6	65	0

6	Nov_3_2009	96.01	103.29	103.15	103.27	103.33	104.45	106.46(2.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.8	104	80	124	44	33.61	72%	0.17	77.5	0.97%	0	2.8	56	0
7	Nov_2_2009	95.85	103.07	103.15	102.35	102.35	102.99	103.95(1.38%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.4	46	40	67	-16	15.47	69%	0.13	75.5	0.93%	0	0.8	47	0
8	Oct_30_2009	95.73	102.87	102.8	101.93	101.85	102.21	102.53(-0.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	3	20	19	-47	15.25	70%	0.08	59.4	0.94%	0	-0.2	45	0
9	Oct_29_2009	95.65	102.69	102.86	102.12	101.97	101.7	102.69(1.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-19	-20	-8	-50	15.33	70%	0.09	56.3	0.94%	0	0	50	0
10	Oct_28_2009	95.56	102.47	102.89	102.37	102.4	101.49	100.73(-1.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-74	-60	-74	-75	19.35	64%	0.07	57.1	0.92%	0	-0.9	37	0

11	Oct_27_2009	95.49	102.41	103.24	102.97	103.01	102.25	101.85(-0.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-70	-50	-78	-45	18.42	66%	0.09	59.2	0.94%	0	-0.3	50	0
12	Oct_26_2009	95.4	102.22	103.49	103.29	103.49	103.31	101.86(-1.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-33	-10	-41	-9	21.53	66%	0.08	52.9	0.94%	0	-0.1	50	0
13	Oct_23_2009	95.32	102	103.68	103.76	103.74	103.76	103.49(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	19	0	8	50	11.42	70%	0.07	52.1	0.92%	0	0.6	70	0
14	Oct_22_2009	95.25	101.7	103.63	103.7	103.67	103.68	103.92(0.16%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	24	-0	7	75	11.58	70%	0.11	47.6	0.91%	0	0.8	76	0
15	Oct_21_2009	95.15	101.38	103.6	103.49	103.51	103.72	103.75(0.32%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	30	10	6	102	16.01	70%	0.07	43.1	0.91%	0	0.9	77	0

16	Oct_20_2009	95.08	101.14	103.47	103.57	103.38	103.66	103.42(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	41	10	11	131	18.25	72%	0.08	43.4	0.91%	0	0.9	70	0
17	Oct_19_2009	95	100.94	103.37	103.74	103.51	103.31	104.23(1.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	50	-20	11	167	13.94	72%	0.08	47.2	0.92%	0	1.2	77	0
18	Oct_16_2009	94.92	100.64	102.95	103.61	103.6	103.1	103.18(0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	15	-30	-35	165	14.32	71%	0.09	48.4	0.92%	0	1	76	0
19	Oct_15_2009	94.83	100.41	102.51	103.54	103.73	103.7	102.86(-1.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	28	0	-23	181	15.79	72%	0.11	49.6	0.92%	0	1	76	0
20	Oct_14_2009	94.73	100.22	102.05	103.7	103.65	104.11	104.18(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	82	30	36	220	17.87	76%	0.11	56.4	0.91%	0	1.6	79	0

21	Oct_13_2009	94.63	99.99	101.52	103.33	103.39	103.75	104.26(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	93	30	52	216	17.36	76%	0.11	61.8	0.92%	0	1.9	70	0
22	Oct_12_2009	94.53	99.7	100.84	102.94	102.96	103.2	103.56(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	77	20	40	188	9.18	76%	0.11	66.5	0.92%	0	1.9	63	0
23	Oct_9_2009	94.43	99.4	100.19	102.19	102.49	103.03	102.84(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	93	50	68	169	15.18	76%	0.1	64	0.91%	0	1.8	65	0
24	Oct_8_2009	94.34	99.18	99.61	101.29	101.55	102.71	103.64(1.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	117	90	108	144	24.25	72%	0.12	59.2	0.91%	0	2.6	67	0
25	Oct_7_2009	94.23	98.87	98.97	100.14	100.31	101.95	102.36(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	125	120	133	101	16.19	70%		53.1	0.92%	0	2.4	60	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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