Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GLD: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Oct. 20, 2009

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Fri. Jun. 14, 2024)

(SPDR Gold Shares)
GLD latest price $103.4200 (-0.78%) ($102.7900 - $104.3500) on Tue. Oct. 20, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.91% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $103.4200(-0.78%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GLD declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GLD advances 1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GLD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(31%)    LQD(28%)    IGOV(26%)    PCY(21%)    TLT(20%)
Factors Impacting GLD price   GLD will decline at least -0.455% in a week (0% probabilities).
PEJ(1%)    XLY(2%)    XLK(5%)    SPY(5%)    QQQ(5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.455% (StdDev 0.91%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $103.57(-0.14%)
10 Day Moving Average   $103.47(-0.05%)
20 Day Moving Average   $101.14(2.25%)
To recent high   -0.8%
To recent low   13.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GLD price fluctuates within 2.65% (three month std-dev: 0.91%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0.09%(33%) Average negative next day return: -0.43%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -2.93%(100%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.96%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20091120

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_20_2009	95.08	101.14	103.47	103.57	103.38	103.66	103.42(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	41	10	11	131	18.25	72%	0.08	43.4	0.91%	0	0.9	70	NAN
2	Oct_19_2009	95	100.94	103.37	103.74	103.51	103.31	104.23(1.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	50	-20	11	167	13.94	72%	0.08	47.2	0.92%	0	1.2	77	NAN
3	Oct_16_2009	94.92	100.64	102.95	103.61	103.6	103.1	103.18(0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	15	-30	-35	165	14.32	71%	0.09	48.4	0.92%	0	1	76	NAN
4	Oct_15_2009	94.83	100.41	102.51	103.54	103.73	103.7	102.86(-1.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	28	0	-23	181	15.79	72%	0.11	49.6	0.92%	0	1	76	NAN
5	Oct_14_2009	94.73	100.22	102.05	103.7	103.65	104.11	104.18(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	82	30	36	220	17.87	76%	0.11	56.4	0.91%	0	1.6	79	NAN

6	Oct_13_2009	94.63	99.99	101.52	103.33	103.39	103.75	104.26(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	93	30	52	216	17.36	76%	0.11	61.8	0.92%	0	1.9	70	NAN
7	Oct_12_2009	94.53	99.7	100.84	102.94	102.96	103.2	103.56(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	77	20	40	188	9.18	76%	0.11	66.5	0.92%	0	1.9	63	NAN
8	Oct_9_2009	94.43	99.4	100.19	102.19	102.49	103.03	102.84(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	93	50	68	169	15.18	76%	0.1	64	0.91%	0	1.8	65	NAN
9	Oct_8_2009	94.34	99.18	99.61	101.29	101.55	102.71	103.64(1.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	117	90	108	144	24.25	72%	0.12	59.2	0.91%	0	2.6	67	NAN
10	Oct_7_2009	94.23	98.87	98.97	100.14	100.31	101.95	102.36(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	125	120	133	101	16.19	70%	0.13	53.1	0.92%	0	2.4	60	NAN

11	Oct_6_2009	94.11	98.59	98.57	99.44	99.33	100.38	102.28(2.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	124	70	141	73	33.54	70%	0.13	59.7	0.92%	0	3	56	NAN
12	Oct_5_2009	93.99	98.34	98.25	98.47	98.54	98.66	99.82(1.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	38	10	49	4	11.71	67%	0.1	71	0.88%	0	1.6	53	NAN
13	Oct_2_2009	93.9	98.22	98.09	97.92	98.09	98.29	98.37(0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-2	20	8	-32	10.48	62%	0.07	76.1	0.88%	0	0.2	53	NAN
14	Oct_1_2009	93.83	98.17	98.11	97.64	97.85	98.41	97.89(-0.97%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	23	50	41	-30	11.05	64%	0.07	89.9	0.89%	0	-0.3	46	NAN
15	Sep_30_2009	93.76	98.1	98.24	97.58	97.53	97.89	98.85(1.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	19	20	34	-26	18.67	67%	0.09	96	0.89%	0	0.8	56	NAN

16	Sep_29_2009	93.68	97.87	98.33	97.57	97.51	97.3	97.43(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-22	-20	-19	-31	9.26	65%	0.09	75.6	0.89%	0	-0.3	54	NAN
17	Sep_28_2009	93.6	97.7	98.48	98.02	97.97	97.18	97.05(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-48	-60	-57	-21	7.79	65%	0.09	72.5	0.89%	0	-0.4	50	NAN
18	Sep_25_2009	93.52	97.56	98.59	98.28	98.57	97.73	97(-0.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-60	-50	-75	-15	10.73	65%	0.07	69.7	0.89%	0	-0.3	50	NAN
19	Sep_24_2009	93.45	97.39	98.79	98.62	98.84	98.76	97.55(-1.3%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.5	-35	0	-52	16	23.35	65%	0.09	70	0.89%	0	0.1	52	NAN
20	Sep_23_2009	93.37	97.18	98.83	98.97	99.06	99.41	98.83(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	33	30	20	70	14.74	68%	0.12	68.8	0.87%	0	0.7	65	NAN

21	Sep_22_2009	93.26	96.89	98.67	99.19	99.15	98.92	99.67(1.33%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	36	-20	15	99	10.89	64%	0.13	69.5	0.86%	0	1.2	77	NAN
22	Sep_21_2009	93.14	96.53	98.45	99.04	99.2	98.7	98.36(-0.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-4	-30	-38	99	11.12	62%	0.12	67.6	0.88%	0	0.7	76	NAN
23	Sep_18_2009	93.03	96.29	98.37	98.96	99.24	99.38	98.67(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	27	20	-9	135	13.94	62%	0.13	67.9	0.87%	0	0.9	74	NAN
24	Sep_17_2009	92.91	95.98	98.26	98.98	98.95	99.7	99.34(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	83	50	48	188	12.49	62%	0.12	64.7	0.88%	0	1.3	80	NAN
25	Sep_16_2009	92.8	95.64	97.95	98.65	98.77	99.09	99.91(1.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	119	30	86	219	16.59	62%		61.8	0.87%	0	1.7	84	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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