Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Aug. 19, 2009

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Fri. Jun. 21, 2024)

(SPDR Gold Shares)
GLD latest price $92.5300 (0.51%) ($91.6600 - $92.7800) on Wed. Aug. 19, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.99% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $92.5300(0.51%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GLD declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GLD declines -0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GLD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(31%)    LQD(28%)    IGOV(27%)    PCY(21%)    TLT(19%)
Factors Impacting GLD price   GLD will decline at least -0.495% in a week (0% probabilities).
PEJ(1%)    XLY(3%)    XLK(5%)    SPY(5%)    XLP(6%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.495% (StdDev 0.99%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

Resistance Level   $93.09
5 Day Moving Average   $92.58(-0.05%)
10 Day Moving Average   $92.95(-0.45%)
20 Day Moving Average   $93.09(-0.6%)
To recent high   -4%
To recent low   3.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GLD price fluctuates within 1.05% (three month std-dev: 0.99%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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> 20090919

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_19_2009	91.22	93.09	92.95	92.58	92.24	92.06	92.53(0.51%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-9	-20	1	-37	7.12	49%	0.02	-7.6	0.99%	0	-0.6	58	0
2	Aug_18_2009	91.2	93.14	93.17	92.67	92.64	91.76	92.06(0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-40	-70	-43	-32	4.36	49%	0.02	1	0.99%	0	-1.1	58	0
3	Aug_17_2009	91.18	93.2	93.43	92.81	92.87	92.42	91.61(-1.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-58	-30	-70	-22	6.83	49%	0.01	15.8	1%	0	-1.7	50	0
4	Aug_14_2009	91.17	93.29	93.67	93.08	93.16	93.53	93(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	13	30	10	21	6.19	52%	0.01	39.4	0.99%	0	-0.3	47	0
5	Aug_13_2009	91.16	93.24	93.72	93.23	93.06	93.32	93.72(0.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	23	10	20	31	6.76	52%	0.02	54.9	0.98%	0	0.5	51	0

6	Aug_12_2009	91.14	93.16	93.53	93.4	93.14	93.32	92.95(0.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-13	-30	-21	12	7.91	52%	0.02	71.2	0.98%	0	-0.2	49	0
7	Aug_11_2009	91.12	93.13	93.39	93.77	93.58	92.8	92.79(-0.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-44	-60	-58	-3	5.03	52%	0.01	86.2	0.99%	0	-0.3	47	0
8	Aug_10_2009	91.11	93.04	93.34	94.15	94.07	93.49	92.93(-0.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-44	-50	-60	4	6.42	52%	-0.01	85.7	0.99%	0	-0.1	50	0
9	Aug_7_2009	91.12	92.92	93.42	94.34	94.48	94.36	93.75(-0.9%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-1	-0	-13	34	8.04	52%	-0.01	77.1	0.98%	0	0.6	53	0
10	Aug_6_2009	91.13	92.73	93.38	94.26	94.47	94.66	94.6(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	38	20	31	58	13.66	52%	0.02	65.3	0.98%	0	1.2	65	0

11	Aug_5_2009	91.11	92.48	93.23	93.66	94	94.6	94.78(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	54	60	54	54	8.99	52%	0.05	44.6	0.99%	0	1.4	66	0
12	Aug_4_2009	91.06	92.2	93.07	92.94	93.25	94.28	94.68(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	71	90	80	45	11.55	56%	0.04	28.6	0.99%	0	1.6	63	0
13	Aug_3_2009	91.02	92	92.9	92.43	92.45	93.4	93.87(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	63	70	72	37	10.02	56%	0.02	16.4	1.01%	0	1.3	67	0
14	Jul_31_2009	91	91.84	92.82	92.4	92.03	92.21	93.35(1.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	29	0	27	36	14.39	56%	0.03	11.6	1.02%	0	1.1	69	0
15	Jul_30_2009	90.97	91.73	92.69	92.41	92.27	91.51	91.62(0.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-22	-60	-38	26	6.25	52%	0.02	8.7	1%	0	-0.1	66	0

16	Jul_29_2009	90.95	91.76	92.74	92.74	92.73	91.84	91.2(-0.99%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.1	-54	-70	-83	35	9.68	52%	0.03	18.5	1.01%	0	-0.4	65	0
17	Jul_28_2009	90.92	91.77	92.87	93.19	93.23	93.03	92.11(-1.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-8	-10	-40	88	10.89	52%	0.02	28.5	1%	0	0.2	73	0
18	Jul_27_2009	90.9	91.76	92.77	93.39	93.45	93.61	93.71(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	41	10	14	121	5.17	56%	0.01	37.7	1%	0	1.4	69	0
19	Jul_24_2009	90.89	91.67	92.43	93.3	93.32	93.44	93.41(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	40	10	14	117	4.73	56%	0.02	39.6	1%	0	1.3	68	0
20	Jul_23_2009	90.87	91.6	92.06	93.01	93.3	93.3	93.26(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	40	10	20	100	9.76	59%	0.04	37.4	1.01%	0	1.3	62	0

21	Jul_22_2009	90.83	91.5	91.7	92.75	92.97	93.21	93.44(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	25	30	10	70	10.24	59%	0.03	31.1	1.03%	0	1.6	53	0
22	Jul_21_2009	90.8	91.37	91.28	92.51	92.65	93.31	93.13(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	50	50	45	66	9.35	59%	0.03	23.6	1.03%	0	1.6	59	0
23	Jul_20_2009	90.77	91.23	91.02	92.05	92.4	92.73	93.28(1.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	64	40	68	52	13.18	62%	0	10.3	1.03%	0	1.9	54	0
24	Jul_17_2009	90.77	91.15	90.74	91.43	91.76	91.98	91.93(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	17	30	21	3	8.75	60%	-0.01	-7.6	1.04%	0	0.8	46	0
25	Jul_16_2009	90.78	91.13	90.65	90.96	91.21	92.08	91.98(-0.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	38	80	53	-7	4.61	56%		-31.7	1.05%	0	0.9	46	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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