Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GLD: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Apr. 22, 2009

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Fri. May. 31, 2024)

(SPDR Gold Shares)
GLD latest price $87.3800 (0.56%) ($86.8000 - $87.8200) on Wed. Apr. 22, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.68% (three month average)
RSI   36
Latest Price   $87.3800(0.56%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   GLD declines -0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GLD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(30%)    IGOV(27%)    LQD(27%)    PCY(20%)    TLT(19%)
Factors Impacting GLD price   GLD will decline at least -0.84% in a week (0% probabilities).
PEJ(1%)    XLY(3%)    XLK(5%)    XLP(6%)    SPY(6%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.84% (StdDev 1.68%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $83.02(-4.99%)
Resistance Level   $88.01
5 Day Moving Average   $86.45(1.08%)
10 Day Moving Average   $86.79(0.68%)
20 Day Moving Average   $88.01(-0.72%)
To recent high   -10.7%
To recent low   3.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GLD price fluctuates within 2.37% (three month std-dev: 1.68%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 2.34%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -1.02%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.2%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090522

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_22_2009	87.53	88.01	86.79	86.45	86.66	87.25	87.38(0.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	4	50	13	-23	10.09	61%	0.11	-72.6	1.68%	0	-0.3	36	NAN
2	Apr_21_2009	87.43	88.17	86.72	86.47	86.49	86.91	86.89(-0.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	9	30	22	-32	10.66	61%	0.14	-68.7	1.68%	0	-0.6	38	NAN
3	Apr_20_2009	87.31	88.42	86.57	86.57	86.56	86.91	86.95(2.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-20	-40	-7	-59	12.67	61%	0.08	-62.2	1.68%	0	-0.6	39	NAN
4	Apr_17_2009	87.24	88.74	86.62	86.76	86.79	86.07	85.22(-0.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-53	-60	-43	-82	22.33	59%	-0.02	-51.2	1.68%	0	-1.4	31	NAN
5	Apr_16_2009	87.26	89.19	86.97	86.97	87.4	87.05	85.81(-1.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-31	-10	-15	-78	21.03	61%	0.07	-42	1.69%	0	-1.3	29	NAN

6	Apr_15_2009	87.2	89.55	87.47	87.13	87.35	87.51	87.5(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-20	20	-2	-73	6.86	64%	0.08	-34.5	1.71%	0	-0.8	32	NAN
7	Apr_14_2009	87.13	89.69	87.72	86.98	87.2	87.75	87.37(-0.58%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	2	50	25	-69	7.17	64%	0.07	-33.8	1.71%	0	-0.9	37	NAN
8	Apr_13_2009	87.07	89.87	87.96	86.56	87.04	87.2	87.88(1.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-1	30	27	-85	7.28	64%	0.28	-39.1	1.72%	0	-0.8	35	NAN
9	Apr_9_2009	86.83	90.05	88.22	86.5	86.48	86.65	86.31(-0.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-45	10	-22	-115	9.61	58%	0.17	-43.3	1.76%	0	-1.5	25	NAN
10	Apr_8_2009	86.68	90.3	88.77	87	86.98	86.88	86.61(-0.15%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-29	-10	-3	-107	12.23	58%	0.16	-42.5	1.76%	0	-1.6	24	NAN

11	Apr_7_2009	86.54	90.46	89.31	87.89	87.43	86.32	86.74(1.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-63	-100	-47	-111	11.01	54%	0.17	-33.2	1.78%	0	-1.7	31	NAN
12	Apr_6_2009	86.39	90.57	89.74	88.59	88.46	87.07	85.27(-2.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-79	-110	-71	-104	22.91	54%	0.14	-30.5	1.8%	0	-2.6	40	NAN
13	Apr_3_2009	86.27	90.86	90.46	89.54	89.59	88.54	87.59(-1.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-59	-80	-53	-76	16.35	57%	0.2	-23	1.78%	0	-2	42	NAN
14	Apr_2_2009	86.1	91.11	91.06	90.16	90.09	89.85	88.8(-2.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-41	-20	-38	-51	24.83	57%	0.22	-15.2	1.78%	0	-1.6	44	NAN
15	Apr_1_2009	85.91	91.28	91.62	90.78	90.61	90.63	91.03(0.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-2	-0	1	-12	12.3	60%	0.23	-6.8	1.76%	0	-0.2	51	NAN

16	Mar_31_2009	85.71	91.28	91.82	90.97	90.94	90.33	90.28(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-11	-50	-14	-2	14.4	60%	0.2	-16	1.77%	0	-0.6	56	NAN
17	Mar_30_2009	85.54	91.19	91.83	91.11	91.23	90.59	89.98(-0.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-26	-50	-35	-0	16.43	60%	0.21	-27.8	1.77%	0	-0.8	59	NAN
18	Mar_27_2009	85.36	91.24	91.94	91.53	91.37	91.55	90.69(-1.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-15	10	-25	14	11.62	60%	0.23	-40.5	1.76%	0	-0.4	52	NAN
19	Mar_26_2009	85.16	91.34	92.03	92.11	91.88	91.88	91.93(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	15	-10	8	36	12.37	60%	0.24	-44	1.76%	0	0.4	49	NAN
20	Mar_25_2009	84.96	91.38	91.95	92.59	92.21	91.18	91.98(1.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-17	-90	-32	27	24.8	60%	0.2	-42.4	1.79%	0	0.4	50	NAN

21	Mar_24_2009	84.79	91.42	91.7	92.81	92.81	91.88	90.95(-1.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-17	-70	-34	33	17	60%	0.25	-45.7	1.8%	0	-0.3	57	NAN
22	Mar_23_2009	84.58	91.6	91.47	92.63	92.72	93.24	92.08(-1.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	10	40	0	38	17.66	60%	0.25	-40.7	1.79%	0	0.2	56	NAN
23	Mar_20_2009	84.37	91.85	91.31	92.37	92.04	93.75	93.59(-0.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	62	120	63	57	18.08	60%	0.26	-29	1.77%	0	0.7	56	NAN
24	Mar_19_2009	84.15	92.02	91.15	91.92	91.26	92.19	94.35(1.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	65	50	70	50	35.04	60%	0.25	-25.4	1.78%	0	0.9	53	NAN
25	Mar_18_2009	83.94	92.05	90.86	91.27	90.65	90.34	93.09(3.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	8	-40	8	8	59.51	60%		-25.1	1.79%	0	0.4	49	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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